ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

[artist]

Igor is starting to look a bit more organized on the visible loop, and is that an eye starting to appear again!

how are things there lost? Stay safe!

[sunnyday]

I have a question about the fact that many of this year's Atlantic hurricanes have recurved in a similar manner. I don't totally understand why they went in that direction, more or less one after another, but I'd like to know if that pattern is likely for the rest of this hurricane season.
Thank you for your explanation.

[CrazyC83]

This has to be one of the largest hurricanes ever recorded. 345 miles out is the TS wind field now...the IKE also has to be EXTREMELY high.

[Battlebrick]

Igor is looking quite awesome right now, expect intensification very soon.

When is recon going out again?

[CrazyC83]

The IKE is off the charts: 153 TJ, with a HDP of 5.4. Even though it is only a Cat 2, those kind of numbers make it EXTREMELY dangerous.

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/2 ... tour02.png

[Blown Away]

NHC been shifting their track slightly east of Bermuda over the past few runs and maybe by the time Igor is near Bermuda the hurricane force winds will remain offshore.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/gr ... 5NLW.shtml

[CrazyC83]

http://img37.imageshack.us/img37/5624/igordd.jpg

NHC been shifting their track slightly east of Bermuda over the past few runs and maybe by the time Igor is near Bermuda the hurricane force winds will remain offshore.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/gr ... 5NLW.shtml

That would take a big miss as Igor is ENORMOUS. At least the maximum waves and surge would stay away if it went east of the island.

[hurricaneCW]

I think some people have explained this before but the hurricane is not going to go directly from one point to the other. Igor will most likely approach the point past Bermuda while it's gradually curving from the N to the NNE and NE. This means that Igor could curve right on top of Bermuda and even just to the west of it.

[CapeCod1995]

Will Igor beat the record of the largest hurricane in the atlantic basin? Anyone have any thoughts?

[pricetag56]

Will Igor beat the record of the largest hurricane in the atlantic basin? Anyone have any thoughts?

Man I think Igor is definately the largest hurricane ever recorded. its wind field is 100 miles more than Katrina and over 50 miles larger than Ike.

[wxman57]

Will Igor beat the record of the largest hurricane in the atlantic basin? Anyone have any thoughts?

Man I think Igor is definately the largest hurricane ever recorded. its wind field is 100 miles more than Katrina and over 50 miles larger than Ike.

Depends on how you define size. Tropical storm force radii are a little larger, but Ike and Katrina's hurricane force winds were considerably larger than Igor's.

[TheBurn]

[CapeCod1995]

By size I mean the outflow of the tropical storm force winds.

[pricetag56]

Will Igor beat the record of the largest hurricane in the atlantic basin? Anyone have any thoughts?

Man I think Igor is definately the largest hurricane ever recorded. its wind field is 100 miles more than Katrina and over 50 miles larger than Ike.

Depends on how you define size. Tropical storm force radii are a little larger, but Ike and Katrina's hurricane force winds were considerably larger than Igor's.

Igors hurricane force winds extend almost 130 miles from the center now if not more.

[wxman57]

I have a question about the fact that many of this year's Atlantic hurricanes have recurved in a similar manner. I don't totally understand why they went in that direction, more or less one after another, but I'd like to know if that pattern is likely for the rest of this hurricane season.
Thank you for your explanation.

The reason for all the recurves east of the Caribbean & U.S. has to do with the strength of the Bermuda High to the north. Storms normally recurve on the westerly periphery of the Bermuda High. This year, as predicted, low pressure off the East U.S. Coast was deeper/stronger than normal and the Bermuda High was weaker and shunted more to the east. Thus, the western periphery of the Bermuda High often extended only to about 60W vs. all the way to the East U.S. Coast or even the Gulf of Mexico.

I don't expect this to change in the next few months. However, I do expect that the east Atlantic will slowly shut down and the African waves will develop farther west - into the Caribbean Sea or the southwest Atlantic. These hurricanes will be much more likely to impact the Caribbean Islands and the U.S.

And now, back to our regularly-scheduled hurricane...

[Gustywind]

[cpdaman]

this is a swell producing monster. gonna be some hiiighhh surf on the outer banks rught up to southern jersey... then long island and the south coast of new england

[cycloneye]

Luquillo Beach in north coast of Puerto Rico. Look at the waves and rip currents.

http://www.comoestaeso.com/forums/content/

[cpdaman]

nice pic cyclone eye.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-ir2.html

almost looks like the ridge is building in for a short lived (18 hour) w/wnw motion or am i out to lunch

[artist]

Brian Norcross on TWC said he really thinks it is possible that Igor may be going through another eyewall replacement cycle.