ATL: JULIA - Ex-TC - Discussion

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KWT
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#201 Postby KWT » Tue Sep 14, 2010 6:33 pm

The Microwave does look quite decent though the southern eyewall is sort of not there at all...still looks like a solid category-1 to me!
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#202 Postby hurricaneCW » Tue Sep 14, 2010 6:33 pm

If it weren't for Igor giving it shear problems, Julia would have probably been a major or at least very close to it.
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#203 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 14, 2010 6:34 pm

Image

could be intensifying
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#204 Postby KWT » Tue Sep 14, 2010 6:42 pm

That IR does look somewhat better Hurakan then it was before, IMO as I said in my last post it looks like a decent cat-1, so something between 70-75kts seems reasonable!

This CV season just keeps on giving doesn't it...biggest CV season since 1995 no doubts!
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#205 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 7:36 pm

15/0000 UTC 16.5N 30.5W T5.0/5.0 JULIA -- Atlantic

Supports Cat 2
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#206 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 7:45 pm

AL, 12, 2010091500, , BEST, 0, 163N, 305W, 90, 974, HU

90kts Cat 2
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#207 Postby JtSmarts » Tue Sep 14, 2010 7:50 pm

Hopefully she makes a run at Cat 3 and ups the ACE.
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#208 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 14, 2010 7:51 pm

Image

shear keeps hammering it
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#209 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 7:53 pm

shear keeps hammering it


Yes,despite that, it's going to be a cat 2 at 11 PM.
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#210 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 14, 2010 8:42 pm

Image

quite impressive on microwave
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#211 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 8:44 pm

:uarrow: That image was the main factor for the cat 2 upgrade.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#212 Postby Macrocane » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:00 pm

In IR looks pretty weird but in that microwave looks pretty good, looks can be deceiving. Julia is ugly outside but pretty inside.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#213 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:15 pm

Crazy, you think 90kts is good at 11?
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#214 Postby leanne_uk » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:15 pm

Igors beautiful little sister keeps trying to give despite the problems its facing :-)
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#215 Postby cwachal » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:17 pm

I can not believe that Julia is making a run for major status... I think that major hurricane will be forecasted at 11 PM
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#216 Postby Macrocane » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:22 pm

Though I believe that a cat 3 is not out of question, I think that the NHC will go for 95 kt as maximum intensity and maybe some lines like "little change in intensity is expected for the next day or so".
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#217 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:29 pm

Image

Latest
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#218 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:39 pm

Macrocane wrote:Though I believe that a cat 3 is not out of question, I think that the NHC will go for 95 kt as maximum intensity and maybe some lines like "little change in intensity is expected for the next day or so".


There you go. :)

INITIAL 15/0300Z 16.7N 30.9W 90 KT
12HR VT 15/1200Z 17.8N 32.1W 95 KT
24HR VT 16/0000Z 19.4N 34.2W 90 KT
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#219 Postby cwachal » Tue Sep 14, 2010 9:42 pm

Macrocane wrote:Though I believe that a cat 3 is not out of question, I think that the NHC will go for 95 kt as maximum intensity and maybe some lines like "little change in intensity is expected for the next day or so".



Spot on....although I think it will achieve major status
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#220 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 10:00 pm

At this rate, 2010 may set a record for major hurricanes...even if it doesn't get other records...
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