ATL: JULIA - Ex-TC - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Quote:
Poor soon to be girl is being ignored...

Yes,this thread is dead.

[Florida1118]

Poor soon to be girl is being ignored...

Yes,this thread is dead.

Well with a near Cat. 5 in the basin a TS gets kinda less important...

[HURAKAN]

very impressive vorticity

[SouthFLTropics]

Poor soon to be girl is being ignored...

Yes,this thread is dead.

Well with a near Cat. 5 in the basin a TS gets kinda less important...

Especially a TS that's all the way out by the African coast...

SFT

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 23.5W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


Hey peeps,I know Igor is the main event,but if you are an avid tropical weather follower, come and make comments also about Julia

[dixiebreeze]

Lots of Julias in our family, so this is a first. Been watching her for quite a while.

[TYNI]

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 23.5W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


Hey peeps,I know Igor is the main event,but if you are an avid tropical weather follower, come and make comments also about Julia

Another long tracker... looks like little sleep again this week... interesting to see if Dr. Masters interaction scenario with Igor/Julia happens. I love weddings

[Florida1118]

I dont know why but I just find her track odd...Its just so...wavy. As for loo...wait there's no floater.

[JtSmarts]

I dont know why but I just find her track odd...Its just so...wavy. As for loo...wait there's no floater.

I was about to post something similar. I guess after that bend to wnw she will eventually lift out towards the north and northeast.

[Macrocane]

So it's official, 2010 numbers are 10/4/3, a comparison with other seasons at this time

2008 10/5/2 the final numbers were 16/8/5
2007 9/3/2 the final numbers were 15/6/2
2004 9/6/4 the final numbers were 15/9/6
2003 9/5/2 the final numbers were 16/7/3
2001 7/3/2 the final numbers were 15/9/4
2000 6/3/1 the final numbers were 15/8/3
1998 6/3/1 the final numbers were 14/10/3
1996 8/6/4 the final numbers were 14/10/6
1995 12/7/3 the final numbers were 19/11/5

As you can see a season with 15-16 storms is not out of question, it's incredible how fast this season picked up after a relative slow start.

[dexterlabio]

I'm interested whether Julia is gonna make some interaction with Igor once it becomes a hurricane.

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

I'm interested whether Julia is gonna make some interaction with Igor once it becomes a hurricane.

Yes,that will be interesting to watch as it may induce a more west track for Igor.

[vbhoutex]

It will definitely be interesting to watch. Some of the models, at least yesterday, seemed to me to suggest that the fujiwhara effect may come into play. If Julia gets closer to Igor it will become more likely. I posted a question about it in TT yesterday, but no one responded, so I ask again. Is this a possibility?

[RL3AO]

As you can see a season with 15-16 storms is not out of question, it's incredible how fast this season picked up after a relative slow start.

15 or 16 is all but guaranteed. At this pace, 19 or 20 isn't out of the question.

[cycloneye]

It will definitely be interesting to watch. Some of the models, at least yesterday, seemed to me to suggest that the fujiwhara effect may come into play. If Julia gets closer to Igor it will become more likely. I posted a question about it in TT yesterday, but no one responded, so I ask again. Is this a possibility?

David, I think this is a facinating moment for all of us who like to track hurricanes to see a posible interaction take place if it comes to that. Lets see if any of our pro mets comes to explain about how interaction between tropical cyclones work and in this case between Igor and Julia.

[BigA]

I don't understand how the Fujiwara effect would drive Igor westward (though I do not have the knowledge to discount this possibility). I thought that the Fujiwara effect would cause the two storms to cyclonically rotate around a central point, which would cause Igor to move more to the north and east, and Julia to move more to the south and west than they ordinarily would.

[vbhoutex]

I don't understand how the Fujiwara effect would drive Igor westward (though I do not have the knowledge to discount this possibility). I thought that the Fujiwara effect would cause the two storms to cyclonically rotate around a central point, which would cause Igor to move more to the north and east, and Julia to move more to the south and west than they ordinarily would.

I obviously don't know the answer or I wouldn't have asked the question, but what I saw in the models appeared to be just the opposite of what you said. It appeared that Igor was being held stationary or moving more West while Julia was rotating counter clockwise towards the North.

[AtlanticWind]

In a Fujiwara effect they rotate counterclockwise around each other, so Igor would be forced somewhat more west if this would occur.

[ConvergenceZone]

As much as I enjoy watching strong storms spin out to sea...I think after Ivan, unless something threatens land, it's just not going to draw much attention.....Just my opinion..