plasticup wrote:fasterdisaster wrote:If some of these models verify then Bermuda could be absolutely devastated.
If anywhere in the world can handle direct hit from a Category 4 storm, it is Bermuda.
??? Please explain.
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plasticup wrote:fasterdisaster wrote:If some of these models verify then Bermuda could be absolutely devastated.
If anywhere in the world can handle direct hit from a Category 4 storm, it is Bermuda.
Stephanie wrote:plasticup wrote:fasterdisaster wrote:If some of these models verify then Bermuda could be absolutely devastated.
If anywhere in the world can handle direct hit from a Category 4 storm, it is Bermuda.
??? Please explain.
shah8 wrote:Morakot just killed them last year.
That being said. Nothing really survives a true high end cat4 cat5 strikes. Nuke bunkers. maybe.
Stephanie wrote:plasticup wrote:fasterdisaster wrote:If some of these models verify then Bermuda could be absolutely devastated.
If anywhere in the world can handle direct hit from a Category 4 storm, it is Bermuda.
??? Please explain.
Cat 4/5 would be a big deal, but better Bermuda than somewhere less hardy.
shah8 wrote:Okay...
Someone needs to have a good look at what the Caymans looked like after Ivan just *brushed* them. Those guys don't have any less strong building codes.
LarryWx wrote:Fwiw, the 12Z Sun JMA per Accuwx, has Igor at:
~25.3N, 72.8W day 7
~27.5N, 75.0W day 8
With no strong trough at 500 mb at that time nearby and upper ridging over the E US per this JMA model run, this would imho imply a U.S. east coast hit later on this run most likely...probably around day 10-11 (9/22-3) based on ths run.
BigA wrote:LarryWx wrote:Fwiw, the 12Z Sun JMA per Accuwx, has Igor at:
~25.3N, 72.8W day 7
~27.5N, 75.0W day 8
With no strong trough at 500 mb at that time nearby and upper ridging over the E US per this JMA model run, this would imho imply a U.S. east coast hit later on this run most likely...probably around day 10-11 (9/22-3) based on ths run.
I'm not familiar with this model. Is it only on Accuweather's pro site?
LarryWx wrote:Fwiw, the 12Z Sun JMA per Accuwx, has Igor at:
~25.3N, 72.8W day 7
~27.5N, 75.0W day 8
With no strong trough at 500 mb at that time nearby and upper ridging over the E US per this JMA model run, this would imho imply a U.S. east coast hit later on this run most likely...probably around day 10-11 (9/22-3) based on ths run.
gatorcane wrote:Models are in close agreement on a curve away from the united states. There is a threat to Bermuda but just about no chance of a united states threat here no matter how strong igor gets. The trough extends well up into the atmosphere.
BigA wrote:Thanks, not sure I buy it, but this + CMC is indicative that the turn north is not automatic.
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