ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

[Fego]

I understood that right now we are in the "eclipse shadow". When we will have updated images?

[Aric Dunn]

I understood that right now we are in the "eclipse shadow". When we will have updated images?

615 image will be the first I think

[Aric Dunn]

we do still have EUMETSAT

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MS ... /index.htm

[Aric Dunn]

well its sure does look like the beginnings of an eye... we will have to see what happens since we will not have any microwave images for a while. so we are just blind except for satellite..

[SouthFLTropics]

If the convection that is to the south of the center wraps around I could foresee this ramping up quickly...We'll have to watch and see if it gets the super cold tops near the center and makes the "fist of death" as I heard it referred to when Earl was ramping up...

SFT

[dixiebreeze]

I am glad that I am not the only one who seems to notice a possible wsw movement.

I mentioned it much earlier this evening, glad too, I'm not the only one.

[Aric Dunn]

[Aric Dunn]

Yeah the center is farther south and that is an eye developing ... latest microwave.. which means its close to a hurricane..

[TwisterFanatic]

Oh wow, the center is almost to 16 north now.

[Brent]

AL, 11, 2010091106, , BEST, 0, 170N, 369W, 60, 995, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1012, 220, 20, 0, 0, L,

60 kts!!!!!! Almost a hurricane!

[Hurricaneman]

this is ramping up pretty quickly, and may have a visible eye by tomorrow afternoon

[Battlebrick]

AL, 11, 2010091106, , BEST, 0, 170N, 369W, 60, 995, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1012, 220, 20, 0, 0, L,

60 kts!!!!!! Almost a hurricane!

WHAT.

At this rate, it might be a hurricane by 11 AM!

Rapid strengthening indeed..

[dwsqos2]

The increased intensity is not a shock. SAB was T 3.5/3.5, or 55 knots, at 0615Z.

[KWT]

Its strengthening but I agree with Wxman57 it doesn'ty look like an eye and microwave shows no real eyewall at all which you'd typically find if that was a real eye, instead seems like the northern convection has eroded showing the curveature of the system better.

Still that won't take much of a big blow up to form eyewalls from now on.

[WeatherGuesser]

Seems lopsided.

[KWT]

That is what gave the illusion of a SW dip then, it was the system becoming increasingly lopsided as probably some dry air moved into the northern quadrant...reminds me of Ike at one point when it lost its northern quadrant.

[tolakram]

Looks to me like it's run into another high shear area, this time from the NW. Igor is getting blown all over the place.

[WeatherGuesser]

Code: Select all

AL, 11, 2010091006,   , BEST,   0, 159N,  287W,  30, 1004, TD,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1008,   90,  30,  40,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       IGOR, S,
AL, 11, 2010091012,   , BEST,   0, 163N,  304W,  35, 1004, TS,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,   30,   30, 1012,  200,  30,  45,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       IGOR, M,
AL, 11, 2010091018,   , BEST,   0, 166N,  323W,  40, 1002, TS,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,   40,   40, 1012,  220,  35,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       IGOR, M,
AL, 11, 2010091100,   , BEST,   0, 171N,  350W,  45, 1000, TS,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,   40,   40, 1012,  220,  35,  55,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       IGOR, M,
AL, 11, 2010091106,   , BEST,   0, 170N,  369W,  60,  995, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1012,  220,  20,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       IGOR, M,
AL, 11, 2010091106,   , BEST,   0, 170N,  369W,  60,  995, TS,  50, NEQ,   20,    0,    0,   20, 1012,  220,  20,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       IGOR, M,

This says from 15.9 to 17.1, then back south slightly to 17.0

[USTropics]

First visible image of the morning:

[WeatherGuesser]

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
500 AM AST SAT SEP 11 2010

...IGOR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 37.8W
ABOUT 915 MI...1475 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES