ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion

[cycloneye]

LATCUR = 17.0N LONCUR = 34.2W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 18KT

[OURAGAN]

I don't agree, i don't think the center is at 17°N, they made a continuity of the 5 PM position, waiting for the visible. tomorrow, may be they will adjust southward

[cycloneye]

SAB is at 16.9N.

10/2345 UTC 16.9N 33.9W T3.0/3.0 IGOR -- Atlantic

[hurricaneCW]

According to best track, it's moving 285 degrees, I don't think so. The position also seems to far to the northeast.

[cycloneye]

Well,SAB has it moving WSW if you see the last two positions.

10/2345 UTC 16.9N 33.9W T3.0/3.0 IGOR -- Atlantic
10/1800 UTC 17.3N 31.9W T2.0/2.0 IGOR -- Atlantic

[dixiebreeze]

From IR floater obs it appears Igor is dipping SW. 8:44 p.m.

[hurricaneCW]

I mean unless the previous position was too far south, then the 17N would make sense, but at 34W, the center is still on the eastern edge of the convective ball.

[OURAGAN]

It continue diving southwest

[Crostorm]

[AJC3]

It continue diving southwest

Again...maybe this is true, but you can't be sure yet. While the CDO appears to be moving WSW, it is not clear whether the LLC is doing the same, since we have a sheared TC on our hands.

[Aric Dunn]

so I have been doing a little tracking this evening ... and from what i can tell by tracking the a few of the low level bands exposed on the east side of the circ from day light and extrapolating as night fell till now the center has moved wsw for the last almost 2 hours. A good microwave pass would be helpful right about now. The ridge to the north rather strong and wsw motion is plausible ...

[cycloneye]

Certainly,most of the deep convection is south of 17N. Waiting eagerly for the pass.

[gatorcane]

It continue diving southwest

Again...maybe this is true, but you can't be sure yet. While the CDO appears to be moving WSW, it is not clear whether the LLC is doing the same, since we have a sheared TC on our hands.

It certainly happens. Remember Ike? Katrina when when east of Florida?

[Vortex]

When should we get the next pass?

[AJC3]

Certainly,most of the deep convection is south of 17N. Waiting eagerly for the pass.

Unfortunately, Luis, according to the pass log, it appears that the next useful M/I pass is not until 0423 UTC (1223 AM EDT) and these passes are delayed by 1 to as much as 3 hours before they get to the NRL site.

[AJC3]

It continue diving southwest

Again...maybe this is true, but you can't be sure yet. While the CDO appears to be moving WSW, it is not clear whether the LLC is doing the same, since we have a sheared TC on our hands.

It certainly happens. Remember Ike? Katrina when when east of Florida?

Well, of course it happens. I'm merely talking about the appearance of the CDO moving toward the WSW versus in situ evidence that the LLC is doing likewise. Nothing more, nothing less.

[Stephanie]

He's a good looking storm, regardless of where his eye is located right now. I'd hate to see what he will become once the eye aligns more with the convection.

[AJC3]

He's a good looking storm, regardless of where his eye is located right now. I'd hate to see what he will become once the eye aligns more with the convection.

Very true. Once the mid level shear abates, a period of R/I seems very likely to ensue.

[OURAGAN]

You can see the cloud mass expanding south of 15N now.

[cycloneye]

Certainly,most of the deep convection is south of 17N. Waiting eagerly for the pass.

Unfortunately, Luis, according to the pass log, it appears that the next useful M/I pass is not until 0423 UTC (1223 AM EDT) and these passes are delayed by 1 to as much as 3 hours before they get to the NRL site.

In that case, bed will be my destination. Hopefully,in the morning we will know more.