ATL: GASTON - Models

[BigB0882]

I agree, otowntiger. The models ended where they did because anything beyond that is a shot in the dark. It is very silly to state model runs that far out as fact and to completely dismiss the storm. Whomever he was, he should have known better. I hope this doesn't bite him in the butt down the road!

[Vortex]

00z GFS about to roll....

[Vortex]

notice on the 245utc loop gaston bumps into the ridge and the due west motion is now beginning....may even see wsw/sw by sunday...not going any further up in latitude for the next 5 days..



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ir2.html

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

00Z GFS 108 hrs

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

00Z GFS 114 hrs

[BigB0882]

Is the GFS rolling yet?

Obviously it is!! Nevermind...

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

00Z GFS 120 hrs

[Jinkers]

Our local met, said it still needs to be watched, he hasn't dismissed it yet, he said yesturday it would most likely regenerate, and it looks to be so, and he said it's still to early to know exactly where it's going to go, but that he's watching it very closely

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

00Z GFS 126 hrs (just SW of PR)

[BigB0882]

Is this run already farther south and west than previous runs? I think at this point it was heading north across PR and it still appears to be moving about due west south of PR this run. Also not looking very strong. I see another storm brewing out there, as well..

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

00Z GFS 132 hrs

[MWatkins]

Further south and a LOT faster. 12Z wasn't where the 0Z run is at 120 until a full day and a half later. Puerto Rico needs to keep an eye on this one!

MW

[caneseddy]

It has shifted more

Is this run already farther south and west than previous runs? I think at this point it was heading north across PR and it still appears to be moving about due west south of PR this run.

Yep, it seems to be shifting south and west and it looks like it's going to make landfall in the Dominican Republic

Also, look what the GFS develops behind Gaston towards the CV Islands

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

00Z GFS 144 hrs (Watch out DR)

[caneseddy]

At 138 hours about to make landfall on the southeastern portion of DR

[cycloneye]

Further south and a LOT faster. 12Z wasn't where the 0Z run is at 120 until a full day and a half later. Puerto Rico needs to keep an eye on this one!

MW

Definitly. And after that 18z GFDL at 108 kts nearby,more so.

[BigB0882]

That new CV storm isn't gaining any latitude at all, might be another to watch!

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Further south and a LOT faster. 12Z wasn't where the 0Z run is at 120 until a full day and a half later. Puerto Rico needs to keep an eye on this one!

MW

Yes MW! Let's see how this potential threat pans out. I will look forward to your always great posts as Im from PR and watching very closely this one.

[gatorcane]

Further south and a LOT faster. 12Z wasn't where the 0Z run is at 120 until a full day and a half later. Puerto Rico needs to keep an eye on this one!

MW

Agreed and looks like Haiti could be in the crosshairs

[caneseddy]

150 hours landfall in Dominican Republic