ATL: GASTON - Models

[boca]

Your right I'm tired.

[Ivanhater]

Your right I'm tired.

Can't blame you on that..it's been a long day!

[South Texas Storms]

Does this only make it up the EC because it spends so long traveling at a snail's pace that the high finally recedes? If that is the case then I see this as an unlikely scenario because I doubt it makes its way across the Atlantic that slow. I am still leaning towards a FL and Gulf threat.

agree BigB. im with you on a FL and gulf threat. the 18z gfs looked like a plausible scenario to me.

[Ivanhater]

00z Canadian

[South Texas Storms]

ivan 10 mins until the long range canadian?

[Ivanhater]

Long range not loading for me..how about yall?

http://www.canadianweather.org/models/gem00.php

[southerngale]

It doesn't go past 144 hours on raleighwx either.

[Ivanhater]

It doesn't go past 144 hours on raleighwx either.

Just perfect

[South Texas Storms]

is it usually updated by now?

[Ivanhater]

is it usually updated by now?

Yeah, usually 12:30 on the dot.

[South Texas Storms]

hmm maybe its running a little late because of earl hitting there soon? idk...

[Ivanhater]

Found it...pretty much the same..recurves

[fci]

Oohhh, I fear for a strike from the remnant low!

[South Texas Storms]

so the cmc and euro are the only ones that dont take this into the caribbean right?

[Ivanhater]

It's a split between reliable models

00z Euro 24 hours

[South Texas Storms]

i think the euro will show another recurve in this run. this is going to be a crazy 10 days coming up tracking this one.

[Ivanhater]

[Wx_Warrior]

Apparently 0z EURO fails to re-develop Gaston.

[South Texas Storms]

i cant tell what the euro does with it this run. does it even re-develop it?

[KWT]

From the looks of things no it doesn't, but I just don't buy this idea that it sits there and just poofs into totaly nothing...even a wave at this time of year needs close watching.