ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[emeraldislencguy]

it is not that we are worried but just concerned
it is easy to say dont worry when you are not in the cone
and each shift westard gives us a moment of palse
the next 24 hours will be really important
and this is a big holiday week end coming up espeiclaly for those us with a business at the beach
oour last big week end till memorial day

[Gustywind]

[CJPILOT]

oour last big week end till memorial day

Excellent point. I would imagine there is a large number of people getting ready to head to the beach for one last summer bash this wekeend who have no idea this storm is potentially heading that way. However, I would imagine the local mets and stations will flood the airwaves starting tonight.

[Gustywind]

[eastcoastFL]

Any Chance that weakness in the ridge builds in, with the departure of earls sister?

[GCANE]

Raw T# just went to 6.3.

The eyewall hot-tower did the trick.

Eyewall is closing up.

I am afraid RI maybe underway.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real ... dt07L.html

[Riptide]

Patiently waiting for the eye to become more defined! It looks really good on the visible.

[Gustywind]

Another closeup

[SoupBone]

METEO FRANCE IMAGE

Are these Meteo france images distorted? 97L looks a whole lot closer to Earl than is depicted on other maps....just curious.

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

METEO FRANCE IMAGE

Are these Meteo france images distorted? 97L looks a whole lot closer to Ealr than is depicted on other maps....just curious.

Certainly... they are not better than a good visible

[GCANE]

Overshooting tops are concentrating near the core.

[tolakram]

Thankfully it appears the NW motions is beginning.

LOOP:

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[Stephanie]

You guys up north are worrying too much at this point...its still at least 4 days away.

If this thing was potentially heading in your direction, I think you'd be a little concerned. We don't have these kind of storms up here like you and are WAAAAY overdue for one.

[GCANE]

I think as this intensifys, the wobble may be due to vortex tilting.

The tilting allows the core to stretch and spin faster.

Most likely it will settle down and stay on track.

[caribepr]

Thanks for the close ups, Gustywind...hope all stays safe and well with you and yours. I'm getting reports of the outer rain bands hitting San Juan, St. Thomas and St. Croix. I'll check with the local thread now!

[TropicalWXMA]

Thankfully it appears the NW motions is beginning.

LOOP:

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Will be able to verify this with the next few radar scans but, Earl's been doing NW/W jogs all morning so, we'll see.

[boca]

You guys up north are worrying too much at this point...its still at least 4 days away.

If this thing was potentially heading in your direction, I think you'd be a little concerned. We don't have these kind of storms up here like you and are WAAAAY overdue for one.

Lets hope if you get this you'll get the west side of the storm. Alot of the homes are wood frame construction up north,not like Florida.If this can stay 100 to 200 miles to your east I think you'll be ok. Lets hope.

[Gustywind]

Thanks for the close ups, Gustywind...hope all stays safe and well with you and yours. I'm getting reports of the outer rain bands hitting San Juan, St. Thomas and St. Croix. I'll check with the local thread now!

Glad to see that. Be safe Caribepr.

[UpTheCreek]

Starting to look like a beautiful 'cane! For those that are in the cone (as I am here in east NC), just stay vigilant and prepare what you need to prepare. We don't know where this is going and won't know for CERTAIN for a good 2-3 days from now. Get prepared and relax in knowing you've done all you can do. If it affects you, ride it out as best you can. Prepare for worst, hope for best. Personally, I am cautiously optimistic that this thing will be shushed out to sea and not make any direct landfall on the east coast at all.