ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Sanibel]

thats anguilla getting hammered right now ?

Yep, direct hit. Sombrero Island should get an even more direct hit.

[TheBurn]

If interested, here's NOAA Weather Radio (San Juan) streaming link in both English & Spanish:

http://www.streamingthe.net/WXJ69-NOAA- ... 5&player=1

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[ravyrn]

12z Best Track

AL, 07, 2010083012, , BEST, 0, 185N, 630W, 100, 965, HU

Major cane.

Two majors in the last 54 hrs.

[WmE]

thats anguilla getting hammered right now ?

Yep, direct hit. Sombrero Island should get an even more direct hit.

Thank god Sombrero is uninhabited.

[CapeCod1995]

what category did katrina hit new orleans as?

[TheBurn]

[WmE]

what category did katrina hit new orleans as?

Cat 3.

[Scorpion]

i've always wanted to be in a hurricane like earl. i was in a hurricane in 2007, noel, but that didn't really count because it was extratropical when it made landfall. i mostly likely will not evacuate, perhaps there's a slight chance i might evacuate if there's a mandatory evacuation. when will there be a defenite track forecast?

You live in Cape Cod, the chances of you being in a real hurricane are extremely small.

[ravyrn]

what category did katrina hit new orleans as?

Cat 1 or Cat 2 winds. It wasn't the winds that whooped NO though, it was the flooding.

[CapeCod1995]

does anyone know what a 105 MPH hurricane do to cape cod?

[AdamFirst]

British virgin islands right in the crosshairs. A ton of members on this forum are being impacted by big bad earl. Hopefully everyone is ok.

[ronjon]

7 am Obs from St Maarten Juliana Airport:

Wind from the NW (310 degrees) at 41 MPH (36 KT) gusting to 61 MPH (53 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Weather Towering cumulus clouds observed
Temperature 82 F (28 C)
Dew Point 78 F (26 C)
Relative Humidity 88%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.18 in. Hg (0988 hPa)

[pimentel2]

the track forecast just keeps getting shifting ...

Yep. Its changed about 3 times in the past 24 hours.

[ronjon]

Current Weather Conditions from VI:
Charlotte Amalie St. Thomas, Cyril E. King Airport, Virgin Islands
(TIST) 18-20N 064-59W

Conditions at Aug 30, 2010 - 08:36 AM EDTAug 30, 2010 - 07:36 AM
Wind from the NNW (330 degrees) at 17 MPH (15 KT) gusting to 47 MPH (41 KT)
Visibility 5 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Weather Rain
Mist
Temperature 78 F (26 C)
Dew Point 77 F (25 C)
Relative Humidity 94%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.65 in. Hg (1004 hPa)

[BatzVI]

The airport is on the southside of the island...I'm about 900ft up and it's definitely blowing harder than 17mph on the northside....of course it's always worse the higher up you go

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Surprised to see Earl so close to PR this morning. I thought the recurve was supposed to happen sooner so it wouldn't be such an impact. Been busy at work, so it fell off of my "radar". But obviously, it is keenly being followed by San Juan's. Looks to still be going primarily westward or WNW at this time.
Is there a threat of PR landfall, or is it really expected to turn away before PR gets the outer bands? Looks like continued direction would clip or stay just offshore of the island.
I'm on a conference call with staff in PR in a few minutes actually...if they aren't evacuating/under watches/warnings that is.

[terrapintransit]

WOW...That's getting to be one big Cane

[ravyrn]

does anyone know what a 105 MPH hurricane do to cape cod?

Just chillax. You've got about 48 hours before you're *POSSIBLY* in the three day cone.

Today fill up your gas tank on all of your family's vehicles all the way. Top them off again on Wed. Tomorrow evening, if you're in the 3-day cone, I'd go do some grocery shopping for non-perishable goods, bottled water, batteries, propane, etc. I'd suggest taking care of this shopping immediately.

As for whether or not you need to evacuate will be left up to your local and state government.

Until you find yourself in the three day cone, just chill out some. You're not even in it yet which means we really can't give you any solid answers to your questions. At this point, the only question we can answer is "Do I need to be concerned?". The answer is Yes.

EDIT: I am sending you a PM - CapeCod.

[CronkPSU]

does anyone know what a 105 MPH hurricane do to cape cod?

Just chillax. You've got about 48 hours before you're *POSSIBLY* in the three day cone.

Today fill up your gas tank on all of your family's vehicles all the way. Top them off again on Wed. Tomorrow evening, if you're in the 3-day cone, I'd go do some grocery shopping for non-perishable goods, bottled water, batteries, propane, etc. I'd suggest doing this around midnight.

As for whether or not you need to evacuate will be left up to your local and state government.

Until you find yourself in the three day cone, just chill out some. You're not even in it yet which means we really can't give you any solid answers to your questions. At this point, the only question we can answer is "Do I need to be concerned?". The answer is Yes.

i don't have the heat potential but i don't think it will be a cat 3 by the time it hits Cape Cod

[deltadog03]

Heads up PR?