ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Cryomaniac]

so i wouldn't be able to see the eye clearly becuase of darkness?

If it's as strong as forecast by then I wouldn't recommend being there to see it.

[TampaFl]

Hurricane Earl 8:00am position& wind field. Map courtesy http://www.BoatUS.com

[HURAKAN]

Vortex Message reporting 964 mb, open north and C16, compared to C30 from yesterday.

[CapeCod1995]

so cryomaniac, you would recommend me evacuating?

[janswizard]

i live on cape cod and i'm starting to get worried. what's the timeframe that i could be looking at a direct landfall from earl if it were to happen?

You're looking at Friday afternoon, maybe as late as late Friday night/early Saturday (wee hours).

My parents are in Falmouth, so I'm watching this real close too.

I'm supposed to be leaving for the Cape on Saturday - hopefully, should be all clear by then. But while I'm gone, my home could be in line for the next one.

[cycloneye]

Eye at the San Juan long range radar.

[Cryomaniac]

so cryomaniac, you would recommend me evacuating?

Not yet. I'd wait for the forecast.

I'd also recommend following the advice of someone with more experience than me.

[artist]

Vortex Message reporting 964 mb, open north and C16, compared to C30 from yesterday.

so what does that c16 and c30 mean, the temp?

[WmE]

Vortex Message reporting 964 mb, open north and C16, compared to C30 from yesterday.

so what does that c16 and c30 mean, the temp?

Eye is circular with 16nm diameter, compared to 30nm yersterday.

[HURAKAN]

Vortex Message reporting 964 mb, open north and C16, compared to C30 from yesterday.

so what does that c16 and c30 mean, the temp?

C = Circular, shape of the eye, and the number is how big it's in nautical miles. In Earl's case, it's getting smaller which helps it intensify

[artist]

Vortex Message reporting 964 mb, open north and C16, compared to C30 from yesterday.

so what does that c16 and c30 mean, the temp?

C = Circular, shape of the eye, and the number is how big it's in nautical miles. In Earl's case, it's getting smaller which helps it intensify

ok, so it has contracted down to 16. Wow! that means that St. Martin has gone through the edge of the eye since nearest approach of the center was 14 something miles.

[TheBurn]

[CapeCod1995]

i've always wanted to be in a hurricane like earl. i was in a hurricane in 2007, noel, but that didn't really count because it was extratropical when it made landfall. i mostly likely will not evacuate, perhaps there's a slight chance i might evacuate if there's a mandatory evacuation. when will there be a defenite track forecast?

[WeatherGuesser]

East coast should remain vigilant, but not panic yet. It still may skirt the coastline and just be a huge rain maker with winds and swells as it turns out to sea.

[WeatherGuesser]

i've always wanted to be in a hurricane like earl.

No you don't. Not if it makes a direct hit.

[Aric Dunn]

thats anguilla getting hammered right now ?

[WmE]

thats anguilla getting hammered right now ?

Yep, I guess so.

[HURAKAN]

thats anguilla getting hammered right now ?

Yep, I guess so.

yes

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track

AL, 07, 2010083012, , BEST, 0, 185N, 630W, 100, 965, HU

Major cane.

[artist]

thats anguilla getting hammered right now ?

and St. Martin is just a few miles s and a tad w of Anguilla, literally. I think msbee said yesterday it is like 8-10 miles away.