ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models

[ROCK]

if this moves slower than expected, could it possibly miss the trough coming down and be steered more westerly because of the ridge building back in after the trough?

it would have deepened by then and started poleward......I am curious how far to the SW this drifts before getting its act together...though

[Ivanhater]

Of course the higher resolution Allan's site isn't updating

[ROCK]

Of course the higher resolution Allan's site isn't updating

I know....been hitting refresh so much my fingers are bleeding....

[ROCK]

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP000.gif

initialization looks good...

[Ivanhater]

Edit: Nola/Mississippi area

[Wx_Warrior]

Well...6:30 am...is soon...see you guys then...! Thanks for the updates Rock/Ivan.

[HouTXmetro]

Yeah Thanks, got to get some shut eye

[hurricanehunter69]

I'm very impressed with 94L tonight. I see a massive inflow of deep moisture feeding in out of the south. Consequently, 94L seems to be winning the battle with the ULL in the NW quadrant. Although, the ULL is currently winning the battle on 94L's NE quadrant. Can our invest win that battle also? I'm thinking "Yes". And it may be a very short fight. The odds may have increased tonight of this thing actually turning out to be a serious situatiuon? As for my take on where the storm will be heading.....I'm gonna go with the storm riding up the break in the ridge and affecting the northern gulf areas.

[Ivanhater]

Well...6:30 am...is soon...see you guys then...! Thanks for the updates Rock/Ivan.

Don't work them too hard warrior

[ROCK]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 10081000!/

[Wx_Warrior]

I'll take some work breaks...LOL....

Keep up the good work guys....Try to keep the lid on Ivan!

Rock, rest that finger....Don't want you to under count those C-notes!!

[chzzdekr81]

144 Euro. Nothing.

[southerngale]

Did you mean to post the 144 hour Euro in the 94L thread?

[Weatherfreak000]

Consensus shifting east somewhat it seems actually...Morgan City to Pensacola still looking good.

Edit: Models seeing intensification as well.

[chzzdekr81]

Did you mean to post the 144 hour Euro in the 94L thread?

I thought I did post it in the 94L thread?

[southerngale]

Did you mean to post the 144 hour Euro in the 94L thread?

I thought I did post it in the 94L thread?

You did. Gotcha. Just seemed like a long way off for 94L to still be around, but if it doesn't move much and continues drifting wsw, who knows how long it will be around?

[chzzdekr81]

Did you mean to post the 144 hour Euro in the 94L thread?

I thought I did post it in the 94L thread?

You did. Gotcha. Just seemed like a long way off for 94L to still be around, but if it doesn't move much and continues drifting wsw, who knows how long it will be around?

Yeah, I wasn't thinking lol. Either way Euro shows nothing.

[southerngale]

FWIW, the 06z NAM

[KWT]

Models seem pretty keen on LA/MS/AL region for this to make landfall and aren't all that agressive with it either...but clearly this one isn't gaining any latitude just yet either so we will see.

[southerngale]

06z GFS - looks way too far west