ATL: Ex COLIN - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

vorticity is the highest it ever been for this system...

[cycloneye]

tolakram, here is the long range radar from San Juan showing that.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[wxman57]

Looks like we'll have a real TS Colin by this time tomorrow or more likely on Friday. Could even be a hurricane over the weekend. Good news is that it looks like it'll pass between Bermuda and the East U.S. Coast.

[HURAKAN]

The best it has ever looked

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Frank2]

Looks like former Colin is on the rebound (at least in the mid levels):

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

go ULL (lol)...

[bahamaswx]

Just checked it out for the first time today. Definitely wrapping up again.

[HURAKAN]

LOOP

[jaxfladude]

Looks like we'll have a real TS Colin by this time tomorrow or more likely on Friday. Could even be a hurricane over the weekend. Good news is that it looks like it'll pass between Bermuda and the East U.S. Coast.

That would be good!

[ColinDelia]

My namesake looks to be coming back for sure

[Lowpressure]

Nice convective burst going on currently.

[HURAKAN]

Floater moved

[caneseddy]

If it does regenerate, kudos to the NHC for calling it to yesterday. I know some posters were doubting them when they stated in their forecast yesterday it would regenerate but that is why the NHC are the experts; they saw something we were not seeing

Hopefully it does recurve and go fishing

[hurricaneCW]

I was going to go down the shore this weekend, I hope we don't see a lot of rip currents. Hopefully it stays well east, very near Bermuda.

Where's the center, its direction of movement, and its speed of movement.

[Blown Away]

Maybe I'm seeing things but it almost looks like ex-Colin has slowed way down over the past few hours?

Unchanged SSD Dvorak classification:

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
04/1745 UTC 19.5N 60.8W T1.5/1.5 COLIN -- Atlantic

[KWT]

Colin probably could be a system agian tomorrow...

This is what happens when a TUTT may actually be in a position to help the system out, notice its probably slowed the surface flow down now and is allowing a stronger circulation to try and work down from the MLC.

Thats an impressive MLC by the way, probably could go right upto a TS if recon finds a closed center tomorrow.

ps, if it does form now then a hurricane is quite possible, the northerly motion I've found in the past in this synoptic set-up with some slowly increasing extra-tropical influences tends to allow systems to steadily strengthen.

[OuterBanker]

Colin ideal sceneario for the OBX.

Between US and Bermuda bothering no one.

Seven to nine ft waves with a sw breeze to clean them up.

Sunny and pleasent.

Could just happen that way, looking like it just might

[HURAKAN]

very strong convection

[CrazyC83]

Colin probably could be a system agian tomorrow...

This is what happens when a TUTT may actually be in a position to help the system out, notice its probably slowed the surface flow down now and is allowing a stronger circulation to try and work down from the MLC.

Thats an impressive MLC by the way, probably could go right upto a TS if recon finds a closed center tomorrow.

ps, if it does form now then a hurricane is quite possible, the northerly motion I've found in the past in this synoptic set-up with some slowly increasing extra-tropical influences tends to allow systems to steadily strengthen.

It would be a TS immediately since Recon found winds as high as 45-50 kt.