Intensity forecasts only bring 91L to 50 kts before landfall.
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03081412
Model Maps/Info - 12z - August 14th, 2003
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Stormsfury
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Model Maps/Info - 12z - August 14th, 2003
PSU site is still down and unable to ingest the globals ... the tropical models have once initialized further south (24.8ºN, 80.8ºW).
Intensity forecasts only bring 91L to 50 kts before landfall.
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03081412
Intensity forecasts only bring 91L to 50 kts before landfall.
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03081412
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Stormsfury
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Hold on, everyone ... I was unable to digest globals into the model maps.
Just went through the globals and ALL of the globals insist on development .. most about halfway through the GOM ... the ETA/GFS indicate a Northern Central Mexico hit, the ECMWF/UKMET are indicating a North Mexico landfall, and the Canadian/NOGAPS right along the MX/TX border, with the Canadian a little further north into Southern TX ...
Just went through the globals and ALL of the globals insist on development .. most about halfway through the GOM ... the ETA/GFS indicate a Northern Central Mexico hit, the ECMWF/UKMET are indicating a North Mexico landfall, and the Canadian/NOGAPS right along the MX/TX border, with the Canadian a little further north into Southern TX ...
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GalvestonDuck
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ticka1 wrote:DUD STORM really not worth the effort to watch.
LOL, Ticka! You're still holding off til after Labor Day also.
I gotta admit, I was sort of hoping this one would strengthen a bit so we could watch it swim westward in the GOM and then fizzle out before causing a catastrophe at landfall.
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wx247
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Still to early to tell I think. Remember Claudette??
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Stormsfury
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Stormsfury
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ticka1 wrote:How many storms has the GFS progs and have yet to develop? If its in jeopardy - yippee - if it holds - I'm a genius. NOT.
91L still a taco storm - no way the models can do anything else with it.
Funny actually, the GFS hasn't harped many, and hadn't missed as many as normal. :o :o :o
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