ATL: Ex COLIN - Discussion

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Vortmax1
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#841 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:00 pm

Yes, that's a real mess.


http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early1.png
Last edited by Vortmax1 on Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#842 Postby Hurricane » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:05 pm

While TD 4 won't be doing anything anytime soon, how about we talk on the new thread about the storm in the Caribbean? GFS shows Danielle making landfall in LA!!
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=108826&start=80
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#843 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:06 pm



This just made me laugh when I first saw it. Talk about no consensus & being all over the place LOL I'm certainly glad to not be a forecaster when storms like this appear.....
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#844 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:09 pm

Thank you Canelaw! LOL
I thought so too...but unfortunately Admin has removed the graphic.
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#845 Postby Gladstone » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:16 pm

Vortmax1 wrote:I have no problem believing this Xtrap is correct right now in the short term:


https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... s/storm_04


Wouldn't it be hysterical beyond words if Xtrap ended up being the correct "forecast" track? I wonder if that's ever happened?
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#846 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:17 pm

Latest
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#847 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:21 pm

Wouldn't it be hysterical beyond words if Xtrap ended up being the correct "forecast" track? I wonder if that's ever happened?



Yes it would be histerical...no, it has never been correct simply because it is just a measure of the current motion.
Not a predictor of it.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#848 Postby boca » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:23 pm

It looks like TD#4 is forecast to be a fish.Will it behave like a fish.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#849 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:37 pm

boca wrote:It looks like TD#4 is forecast to be a fish.Will it behave like a fish.

Fishing a bit more west? :cheesy:
Atlantic Ocean Basin: Imagery

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
02/2345 UTC 13.1N 44.3W T2.0/2.0 04L
02/1745 UTC 12.8N 41.7W T2.0/2.0 04L
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#850 Postby LaBreeze » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:39 pm

Hurricane wrote:While TD 4 won't be doing anything anytime soon, how about we talk on the new thread about the storm in the Caribbean? GFS shows Danielle making landfall in LA!!
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=108826&start=80


Don't mention anything about the possibility of "Danielle." It's not to be spoken of.
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#851 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:41 pm

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#852 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:43 pm

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#853 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:54 pm

Gee...I don't know...does anyone think dry air is involved?


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#854 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:06 pm

Here's the Central Atlantic WV loop...switch on the forecast points:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-wv.html
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#855 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:26 pm

Overall System looks to be moving WSW to me.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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Re:

#856 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:33 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Overall System looks to be moving WSW to me.


doesn't look on point with the NHC track.a little south to my eyes.
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Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#857 Postby Tropics Guy » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:42 pm

Dry air & the fast fwd speed seems to be inhibiting further development IMO, also seems to be tracking south of the NHC fcst points. Think if it holds together that the NE islands may still get weather from this system (or what ever is left of it by then ).

TG
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Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#858 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:51 pm

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

west....I wonder when it will get out of this easterly flow....staying weak aint helping it....
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Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#859 Postby lebron23 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 1:10 am

I still think Florida the east coast and bermuda should watch this..
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Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#860 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 03, 2010 2:30 am

AL, 04, 2010080306, , BEST, 0, 137N, 462W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1011, 100, 25, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, FOUR, M

COLIN IS HERE! Likely at 5am ET...
Last edited by Brent on Tue Aug 03, 2010 2:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
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