Long-range hurricane forecasting

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rob8303
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Long-range hurricane forecasting

#1 Postby rob8303 » Wed Aug 13, 2003 5:05 pm

All right, I remember about this time last week, there were many posts about how the MJO was becoming positive and how the GFS was going wild in about 284 hours or something like that. With that in mind, here are my questions:
1. Has the SAL lessened in any significant way?
2. Is the GFS still going wild in the late this week to early next week time frame?
3. What is the earliest date based on current conditions and models, that a major storm threat could threaten U.S mainland?
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Aug 13, 2003 5:33 pm

1... Yes
2... Yes
3... Invest 91L poses a threat in the GOM
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