SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2:30 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2003
AN AIR FORCE PLANE HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND SO FAR IT HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO FIND A
CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...IT MEASURED WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OF LOWEST
PRESSURE WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. BECAUSE SATELLITE IMAGES
SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND
A TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE WESTWARD BRINGING SQUALLY WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...FLORIDA AND THE KEYS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL WEATHER
CAN BE FOUND IN STATEMENTS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES.
FORECASTER AVILA
Special Statement Issued by NHC
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Special Statement Issued by NHC
0 likes
I guess a picture tells a thousand words!!! 
-
Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
-
Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
-
mf_dolphin
- Category 5
- Posts: 17758
- Age: 68
- Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
- Location: St Petersburg, FL
- Contact:
-
Rainband
-
Guest
Date is wrong...
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25.0N7 77.0W4 TO 24.0N6 73.0W0
SOUTH OF 26.0N8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT
JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 40 KNOTS. METSAT IM
AGERY AT 131200Z7 INDICATES ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
2. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ANALYZING A 1011MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
NR 23.4N9 75.4W6 AT 1200Z.UPPER LEVEL MINIMAL SHEAR EXIST OVER LOW AT
THIS TIME AND FORECASTS INDICATE SHEAR WILL REMAIN LIGHT FOR THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS ANALYZED TO BE 83F (28C).
3. REF A OTSR TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY THIS SYSTEM.
4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 141330Z2.//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25.0N7 77.0W4 TO 24.0N6 73.0W0
SOUTH OF 26.0N8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT
JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 40 KNOTS. METSAT IM
AGERY AT 131200Z7 INDICATES ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
2. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ANALYZING A 1011MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
NR 23.4N9 75.4W6 AT 1200Z.UPPER LEVEL MINIMAL SHEAR EXIST OVER LOW AT
THIS TIME AND FORECASTS INDICATE SHEAR WILL REMAIN LIGHT FOR THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS ANALYZED TO BE 83F (28C).
3. REF A OTSR TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY THIS SYSTEM.
4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 141330Z2.//
0 likes
-
mf_dolphin
- Category 5
- Posts: 17758
- Age: 68
- Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
- Location: St Petersburg, FL
- Contact:
Here is the reissue
693
WONT41 KNHC 131844
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2:30 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2003
AN AIR FORCE PLANE HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND SO FAR IT HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO FIND A
CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...IT MEASURED WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OF LOWEST
PRESSURE WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. BECAUSE SATELLITE IMAGES
SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND
A TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE WESTWARD BRINGING SQUALLY WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...FLORIDA AND THE KEYS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL WEATHER
CAN BE FOUND IN STATEMENTS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES.
FORECASTER AVILA
693
WONT41 KNHC 131844
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2:30 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2003
AN AIR FORCE PLANE HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND SO FAR IT HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO FIND A
CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...IT MEASURED WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OF LOWEST
PRESSURE WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. BECAUSE SATELLITE IMAGES
SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND
A TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE WESTWARD BRINGING SQUALLY WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...FLORIDA AND THE KEYS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL WEATHER
CAN BE FOUND IN STATEMENTS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES.
FORECASTER AVILA
0 likes
-
southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
my Cowboys 
