Disturbed area in ITCZ
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cycloneye
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Re: STRONG WAVE OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA
No mention on the 8 PM TWO.
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I find it baffling that the NHC didn't at least mention it, afterall its been there for the past 24hrs and its not been jotting about, the convection has remained in a solid ball, even if it is no doubt being enhanced by the ITCZ.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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cycloneye
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Re: STRONG WAVE OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA
From 8 PM Discussion:
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W S OF 21N MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES CLEAR LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ABOUT THE
WAVE AXIS CONFIRMED BY EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA AS WELL AS
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. A SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN
30W-35W. SCATTERED WEAK CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W S OF 21N MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES CLEAR LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ABOUT THE
WAVE AXIS CONFIRMED BY EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA AS WELL AS
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. A SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN
30W-35W. SCATTERED WEAK CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.
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Re: STRONG WAVE OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA
Early but hanging together. See if it's there tomorrow.
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Convection still hanging on so I really think this one is going to need watching if only because it has been very presistant right now.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The Pro Mets on the board can correct me but I believe the blob of cloud in the ITCZ in association with this wave can be classified as an area of disturbed weather since, according to what I read in a book on meteorology many years ago, an area of thunderstorms that maintains its identity for 24 hours or more is called disturbed weather.
As to if it will eventually develop into a TD, I doubt it. I see this sort of thing in the ITCZ every hurricane season.
As to if it will eventually develop into a TD, I doubt it. I see this sort of thing in the ITCZ every hurricane season.
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Gustywind
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000
AXNT20 KNHC 201050
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE JUL 20 2010
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC...
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 32W/33W S OF 22N MOVING W 20 KT.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ABOUT THE
WAVE AXIS CONFIRMED BY EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA AS WELL AS
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. A SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN
34W-38W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
FORMOSA
AXNT20 KNHC 201050
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE JUL 20 2010
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC...
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 32W/33W S OF 22N MOVING W 20 KT.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ABOUT THE
WAVE AXIS CONFIRMED BY EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA AS WELL AS
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. A SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ALSO
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN
34W-38W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
FORMOSA
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cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed area in ITCZ
OURAGAN, I edited the title to show the real system as it may cause some confusion as the other title that you had was STRONG WAVE OFF AFRICA, and there is another one emerging right now.
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