Invest 91L earlier this afternoon ...
http://stormsfury1.com/Temp/91Laftloop.gif
You'll notice the outflow and a very rapid moving line moving north of due west over the northern end of the deep convection this morning and earlier we had a clear-cut LLC near 22.5ºN, 71º-73ºW ...
What concerns me now it the fact that the LLC is opening up. It's a low-level swirl ... NHC has still left the possibility of the LLS forming into a depression in the next 24 hours ...
The situation that occurs in the next 6-12 hours is key. IF convection re-initiates around the LLS tonight - the LLS will probably remain a dominant feature. However, if the LLS continues to unravel convectionless - the surface trough to the north has a better chance of closing itself off with some help of a MLC aiding this (uninterrupted moisture flow) ... this in turn would not be a re-formation, but an actual new formation given the 300 mile difference in distance - a totally separate LL entity - ...
Edit: Considering the fact the area of deep convection has good outflow and the convection continues to initiate there in that region and seems to be increasing in that area really has me concerned ... looking at the globals, the GFS dissipates the upper ridging around 25ºN, 70ºW as the large scale upper high (DOME) retrogrades and builds westward ...
PLEASE NOTE: whatever scenario plays out, the track of the system will likely be WEST! The strength of the mean layer ridging (hell, it's a DOME!)which is building in - close to 600DM in the Eastern US - ... this is key, because whichever scenario plays out will determine if Florida will a system pass to the south or a slightly stronger system crossing Florida...this is especially key later in the period to determine if we have a MX storm or a storm further upstream in the GOM towards TX ...
my Cowboys 
