ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO - DISCUSSION
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- Military Met
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Not sure what more people could ask for in a TD. It's not like a TS or a hurricane...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-93&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=24&map=latlon
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-93&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=24&map=latlon
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- HURAKAN
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ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Air Force Met wrote:Not sure what more people could ask for in a TD. It's not like a TS or a hurricane...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-93&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=24&map=latlon
The problem is that the convection is over the center, not 200 miles away! (sarcasm here!)
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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Air Force Met wrote:Not sure what more people could ask for in a TD. It's not like a TS or a hurricane...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-93&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=24&map=latlon
This is a bit of change of pace. Pro met trying to get people to believe it's a TD and others not sold on it. It's refreshing

If you think it is, I'll take your word for it
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Michael
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ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Looks like a TD on the visible loops now, but we need recon to verify.
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- lrak
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Its TD2 

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AKA karl
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
It really does look a mess, but it does probably meet what is needed for a tropical depression, I can certainly see the NHC upping the odds into the high risk next time round, I'd gowith 70% right now.
Bet the NHC are regretting being so hasty to cancel recon so far in advanced.
Bet the NHC are regretting being so hasty to cancel recon so far in advanced.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
lrak wrote:Its TD2
I believe 'em, yo.....I dont know why but I do.
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Re:
Cyclone1 wrote:Tropical depression is a loose enough definition. If you told me this was TD2, I would believe it.
And that's the problem with TD's...interpretation. If I was working the desk...it would be a TD....but I follow a strict definition and really don't care if it's a TD now and falls apart in 6 hours. The NHC wants to see it maintained for an arbitrary period of time (depending on the forecater).
Given the strength of the low level inflow on the west side...I bet the pressures are at least 1005 mb...if not lower...
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Re:
Stormcenter wrote:So my question is if this (96L) is a TD then what was 95L?
Well thats the thing stormcenter, I think there is no doubt 95L was a TD at one point, but then again this probably is close to depression status as well, even though its not got the most impressive look.
As has been said before, this probably will have the same impacts whether it develops or not.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- Comanche
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Well then, I am going to take my tropically pessimistic self down to Sams Boat on Clear Lake now, have a rum laden "Hurricane", and see if it changes my tune!!!!
Be back in a bit!
Be back in a bit!
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- Tireman4
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Air Force Met wrote:Not sure what more people could ask for in a TD. It's not like a TS or a hurricane...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-93&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=24&map=latlon
If AFM says it is a TD, then by goodness it is a TD. Take it the bank folks. I agree with AFM.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - DISCUSSION
Tireman4 wrote:Air Force Met wrote:Not sure what more people could ask for in a TD. It's not like a TS or a hurricane...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-93&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=24&map=latlon
If AFM says it is a TD, then by goodness it is a TD. Take it the bank folks. I agree with AFM.
I just can't help but think the NHC are holding back till they up the chances to a red alert to help thier verfication rates...
That being said it could be the NHC just want to see the convection hold and get a little more organised then what it currently is...
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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