ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - MODELS

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs para running as well...

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs op 36h

[rockyman]

GFS creeping NW toward Tex-Mex border through 36 hours

[A1A]

Do these things ever creep when they are that far north?

[Ikester]

Do these things ever creep when they are that far north?

In a word...ALLISON

[Nederlander]

Do these things ever creep when they are that far north?

Ask Houston, ala Allison

[jenmrk]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

[Wx_Warrior]

op 48h

[Ikester]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

Well, I wouldn't go buy plywood at this time. Always worth watching...

[Nederlander]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

I would feel safe to say that you are in the clear.. youve got a ridge protecting you..

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[clfenwi]

00Z operational GFS a bit to the right of this morning's 12Z at 36h, but comes back together at 42h. Looks like a hard turn to the west occurs during that time interval.

[jenmrk]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

Well, I wouldn't go buy plywood at this time. Always worth watching...

No need have plenty ready ...just curious, I am not a weather expert so most of this talk is hard to understand.

[jenmrk]

I know it is not being discussed, but being here I need to ask, is the Florida Panhandle out of the woods or is there "any" chance that we may need to watch this closer, what would we need to watch for? I am just curious with all of the NNE talk and remembering it being discussed stronger storms will move poleward.

I would feel safe to say that you are in the clear.. youve got a ridge protecting you..

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I assume that ridge is predicted to stay in place for a few days? Thanks!

[Ikester]

It's cool. I've bought plywood and brought it back 3 times for Alex already. (that was a joke)

[Nederlander]

GFS looks to be stalling Alex right off the coast.. thats not good

Drifting North in the 30 - 42 hr range..

[Ikester]

GFS--Inland south of Brownsville at 54 hours.

[jenmrk]

It's cool. I've bought plywood and brought it back 3 times for Alex already. (that was a joke)

Oh I know, we have have it cut and keep it on hand...living here you never know.

[Nederlander]

GFS--Inland south of Brownsville at 54 hours.

I dont like how long the GFS has Alex hanging out on the coast.. bad news for flooding concerns

[wx247]

Is the Gulfstream data in this model run?

[Ikester]

Is the Gulfstream data in this model run?

Yes. (i think)