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Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
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Siberian Express
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- Location: Minnesota, USA
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
RLA....are you going to put up some radar shots? That cell by Albert Lea is tracking right up towards Red Wing.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
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- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Albert Lea is in peril right now...
WWUS53 KMPX 172354
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
654 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180030-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-100618T0030Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
654 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 652 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CONGER...OR 6 MILES WEST OF ALBERT LEA...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.
WWUS53 KMPX 172354
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
654 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180030-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-100618T0030Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
654 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 652 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CONGER...OR 6 MILES WEST OF ALBERT LEA...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.
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Siberian Express
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 99
- Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:13 pm
- Location: Minnesota, USA
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Siberian Express wrote:RLA....are you going to put up some radar shots? That cell by Albert Lea is tracking right up towards Red Wing.
WWUS53 KMPX 172354
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
654 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180030-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-100618T0030Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
654 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 652 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CONGER...OR 6 MILES WEST OF ALBERT LEA...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALBERT LEA...HAYWARD...MANCHESTER...GLENVILLE...CLARKS GROVE...
MYRTLE...ELLENDALE...GENEVA...HOLLANDALE...BIXBY...STEELE CENTER
AND HARTLAND.
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Siberian Express
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- Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:13 pm
- Location: Minnesota, USA
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
KSTP met Dave Dahl, Albert Lea a large wedge tornado.......ouch...
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OverlandHurricane
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- Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2008 4:50 pm
- Location: Minnesota
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Belinda Jensen at KARE-11 just said the same thing. Wedge tornado rolling along Interstate 90 west of Albert Lea.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Mankato cell
WWUS53 KMPX 180004
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
704 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC013-103-180015-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0021.000000T0000Z-100618T0015Z/
NICOLLET MN-BLUE EARTH MN-
704 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLUE EARTH AND
SOUTHEASTERN NICOLLET COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...
AT 701 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GOOD THUNDER...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANKATO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANKATO...NORTH MANKATO...ST CLAIR...EAGLE LAKE...SKYLINE AND
MADISON LAKE.
LAT...LON 4399 9437 4407 9437 4424 9401 4423 9377
4407 9379 4390 9429
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 252DEG 22KT 4406 9404
$$
WWUS53 KMPX 180004
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
704 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC013-103-180015-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0021.000000T0000Z-100618T0015Z/
NICOLLET MN-BLUE EARTH MN-
704 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLUE EARTH AND
SOUTHEASTERN NICOLLET COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...
AT 701 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GOOD THUNDER...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANKATO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANKATO...NORTH MANKATO...ST CLAIR...EAGLE LAKE...SKYLINE AND
MADISON LAKE.
LAT...LON 4399 9437 4407 9437 4424 9401 4423 9377
4407 9379 4390 9429
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 252DEG 22KT 4406 9404
$$
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Siberian Express
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 99
- Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:13 pm
- Location: Minnesota, USA
Re:
RL3AO wrote:Three supercells worth watching in SC Minnesota.
Tom Stolze is chasing East of Mankato.
http://www.severestudios.com/livechase
Well he was, he went dark.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Second tornado pointing straight at Albert Lea.
WWUS53 KMPX 180020
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
720 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180030-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-100618T0030Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
720 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 714 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CLARKS GROVE...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF ALBERT LEA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
A SECOND TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF ALDEN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ALBERT
LEA...HOLLANDALE...GENEVA...ELLENDALE...STEELE CENTER AND BIXBY.
LAT...LON 4353 9363 4383 9363 4386 9357 4385 9341
4392 9341 4406 9306 4352 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 232DEG 23KT 4378 9329
$$
WWUS53 KMPX 180020
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
720 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180030-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-100618T0030Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
720 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 714 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CLARKS GROVE...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF ALBERT LEA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
A SECOND TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF ALDEN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ALBERT
LEA...HOLLANDALE...GENEVA...ELLENDALE...STEELE CENTER AND BIXBY.
LAT...LON 4353 9363 4383 9363 4386 9357 4385 9341
4392 9341 4406 9306 4352 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 232DEG 23KT 4378 9329
$$
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0997
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...EAST HALF OF MN/WESTERN WI AND FAR EASTERN NEB/MUCH
OF IA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 334...335...338...
VALID 180039Z - 180215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
334...335...338...CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCHES 334/335 CONTINUE UNTIL 02Z...WITH TORNADO WATCH 338
CONTINUING UNTIL 06Z. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A REPLACEMENT
WATCH/PERHAPS WFO EXTENSION WILL BE REQUIRED ACROSS IA FOR A
POST-02Z SEVERE RISK.
SCATTERED SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH HISTORY OF TORNADOES/SEVERE
HAIL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF
EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MN...WHERE 50 KT SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND 1 KM
PER THE MINNEAPOLIS WSR-88D VWP IS SUPPORTING 200-500 MS/S2 OF 0-1
KM SRH WITHIN A CORRIDOR ALONG AN EAST-NORTHEAST RETREATING SURFACE
WARM FRONT. WHILE THE PEAK TORNADO RISK MAY EXIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MN EITHER SIDE OF I-35 IN THE SHORT TERM...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT
STORMS WILL GRADUALLY CONGEAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN INTO WEST-CENTRAL
WI OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT/QUASI-LINEAR UPSCALE GROWTH FARTHER SSW...AS IS ALREADY
APPARENT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL/WESTERN IA WITHIN A STRONGLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS /3000 PLUS J PER KG MLCAPE/. ACCORDINGLY...DAMAGING WINDS
ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
WI AND CENTRAL/EASTERN IA LATER THIS EVENING.
..GUYER.. 06/18/2010
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 47159406 47669233 46589088 43409086 41909093 41169242
41629584 42829490 44479377 45549382 47159406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...EAST HALF OF MN/WESTERN WI AND FAR EASTERN NEB/MUCH
OF IA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 334...335...338...
VALID 180039Z - 180215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
334...335...338...CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCHES 334/335 CONTINUE UNTIL 02Z...WITH TORNADO WATCH 338
CONTINUING UNTIL 06Z. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A REPLACEMENT
WATCH/PERHAPS WFO EXTENSION WILL BE REQUIRED ACROSS IA FOR A
POST-02Z SEVERE RISK.
SCATTERED SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH HISTORY OF TORNADOES/SEVERE
HAIL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF
EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MN...WHERE 50 KT SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND 1 KM
PER THE MINNEAPOLIS WSR-88D VWP IS SUPPORTING 200-500 MS/S2 OF 0-1
KM SRH WITHIN A CORRIDOR ALONG AN EAST-NORTHEAST RETREATING SURFACE
WARM FRONT. WHILE THE PEAK TORNADO RISK MAY EXIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MN EITHER SIDE OF I-35 IN THE SHORT TERM...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT
STORMS WILL GRADUALLY CONGEAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN INTO WEST-CENTRAL
WI OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT/QUASI-LINEAR UPSCALE GROWTH FARTHER SSW...AS IS ALREADY
APPARENT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL/WESTERN IA WITHIN A STRONGLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS /3000 PLUS J PER KG MLCAPE/. ACCORDINGLY...DAMAGING WINDS
ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
WI AND CENTRAL/EASTERN IA LATER THIS EVENING.
..GUYER.. 06/18/2010
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 47159406 47669233 46589088 43409086 41909093 41169242
41629584 42829490 44479377 45549382 47159406
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
DOUBLE TROUBLE
WWUS53 KMPX 180043
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
743 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180115-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-100618T0115Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
743 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...
AT 737 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR ELLENDALE...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF HAYWARD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
ANOTHER LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST
NORTHEAST OF ALBERT LEA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STEELE CENTER...BIXBY...CLARKS GROVE AND ELLENDALE.
LAT...LON 4351 9365 4384 9363 4386 9358 4385 9341
4393 9341 4406 9306 4352 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 223DEG 23KT 4389 9322
$$
WWUS53 KMPX 180043
SVSMPX
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
743 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC047-147-180115-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-100618T0115Z/
STEELE MN-FREEBORN MN-
743 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FREEBORN AND SOUTHERN
STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...
AT 737 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR ELLENDALE...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF HAYWARD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
ANOTHER LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST
NORTHEAST OF ALBERT LEA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STEELE CENTER...BIXBY...CLARKS GROVE AND ELLENDALE.
LAT...LON 4351 9365 4384 9363 4386 9358 4385 9341
4393 9341 4406 9306 4352 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 223DEG 23KT 4389 9322
$$
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Tornado risk down to 5%, surprisingly...
SPC AC 180053
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
VALID 180100Z - 181200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVE ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/ERN
IOWA...SERN MINNESOTA AND WRN WISCONSIN...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES
REGION...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SRN PLAINS...
...PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION...
STRONG MID-LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS NOW IN THE PROCESS OF
LIFTING NORTH OF THE CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...WITH THE
EXIT REGION OF A 50-70+ KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB JET STREAK NOSING
TOWARD NORTHWEST ONTARIO. AS THIS OCCURS...AND THE ASSOCIATED DEEP
OCCLUDING SURFACE CYCLONE MIGRATES INTO MANITOBA ...THE PRE-FRONTAL
40-50+ KT SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
IS PROGGED SHIFT TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
EVENING...THEN WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY OVERNIGHT.
WHILE A MODEST LOW-LEVEL JET MAY PERSIST EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...FLOW FIELDS AND SHEAR
NEAR/EAST OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY AREA...WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER
HAS BECOME VERY MOIST AND MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE...APPEARS
LIKELY TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT... THE SEVERE THREAT
SEEMS MORE LIMITED THAN PERHAPS EARLIER ANTICIPATED ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA INTO CENTRAL IOWA.
HOWEVER...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY STILL EXISTS FOR FURTHER UPSCALE
CONVECTIVE GROWTH TO A STORM CLUSTER NOW EVOLVING ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL IOWA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA. GIVEN MODERATE TO STRONG
INFLOW OF THE VERY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR... CHARACTERIZED BY
CAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG...IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...THE EVOLUTION OF A SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM APPEARS PROBABLE ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA ...SOUTHEASTERN
MINNESOTA...INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN THROUGH 03-04Z. THIS IS EXPECTED
TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...AND A CONTINUING RISK
FOR LARGE HAIL.
MODERATELY STRONG DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY MEAN FLOW FIELDS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO FORWARD PROPAGATION ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EASTERN
WISCONSIN...AND PARTS OF EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS
OVERNIGHT...WHERE COOLER/MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PROBABLY WILL
WEAKEN THE SYSTEM ...BUT STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY BE SLOWER TO
DIMINISH.
..KERR.. 06/18/2010
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0107Z (9:07PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
SPC AC 180053
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
VALID 180100Z - 181200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVE ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/ERN
IOWA...SERN MINNESOTA AND WRN WISCONSIN...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES
REGION...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SRN PLAINS...
...PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION...
STRONG MID-LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS NOW IN THE PROCESS OF
LIFTING NORTH OF THE CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...WITH THE
EXIT REGION OF A 50-70+ KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB JET STREAK NOSING
TOWARD NORTHWEST ONTARIO. AS THIS OCCURS...AND THE ASSOCIATED DEEP
OCCLUDING SURFACE CYCLONE MIGRATES INTO MANITOBA ...THE PRE-FRONTAL
40-50+ KT SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
IS PROGGED SHIFT TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
EVENING...THEN WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY OVERNIGHT.
WHILE A MODEST LOW-LEVEL JET MAY PERSIST EAST OF THE SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...FLOW FIELDS AND SHEAR
NEAR/EAST OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY AREA...WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER
HAS BECOME VERY MOIST AND MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE...APPEARS
LIKELY TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT... THE SEVERE THREAT
SEEMS MORE LIMITED THAN PERHAPS EARLIER ANTICIPATED ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA INTO CENTRAL IOWA.
HOWEVER...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY STILL EXISTS FOR FURTHER UPSCALE
CONVECTIVE GROWTH TO A STORM CLUSTER NOW EVOLVING ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL IOWA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA. GIVEN MODERATE TO STRONG
INFLOW OF THE VERY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR... CHARACTERIZED BY
CAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG...IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...THE EVOLUTION OF A SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM APPEARS PROBABLE ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA ...SOUTHEASTERN
MINNESOTA...INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN THROUGH 03-04Z. THIS IS EXPECTED
TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...AND A CONTINUING RISK
FOR LARGE HAIL.
MODERATELY STRONG DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY MEAN FLOW FIELDS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO FORWARD PROPAGATION ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EASTERN
WISCONSIN...AND PARTS OF EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS
OVERNIGHT...WHERE COOLER/MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PROBABLY WILL
WEAKEN THE SYSTEM ...BUT STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY BE SLOWER TO
DIMINISH.
..KERR.. 06/18/2010
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0107Z (9:07PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
WUUS53 KARX 180236
SVRARX
MNC055-169-WIC011-121-180400-
/O.NEW.KARX.SV.W.0024.100618T0236Z-100618T0400Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
936 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
EASTERN WINONA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
BUFFALO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
SOUTHWESTERN TREMPEALEAU COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
* AT 930 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KELLOGG
TO LEWISTON TO FOUNTAIN...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THESE STORMS
CAN PRODUCE QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND EXTREME DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 80 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WINONA AND GOODVIEW AROUND 945 PM...
SPRING GROVE AROUND 955 PM...
ARCADIA AND TREMPEALEAU AROUND 1000 PM...
CALEDONIA AND HOUSTON AROUND 1005 PM...
DAKOTA AROUND 1010 PM...
HOKAH AND DAKOTA AROUND 1015 PM...
LA CRESCENT AND BROWNSVILLE AROUND 1020 PM...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE
STORMS...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS...WHICH CAN UPROOT
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOFS AND WINDOWS.
A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE TORNADOES...AND CAN DO SO QUICKLY.
MOVE INTO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR
BUSINESS.
&&
LAT...LON 4440 9200 4455 9154 4408 9126 4404 9135
4399 9133 4398 9143 4379 9125 4366 9126
4350 9123 4350 9173 4384 9173 4419 9189
4419 9185
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 259DEG 47KT 4427 9197 4400 9180
4376 9207
WIND...HAIL 80MPH 1.00IN
$$
SHEA
SVRARX
MNC055-169-WIC011-121-180400-
/O.NEW.KARX.SV.W.0024.100618T0236Z-100618T0400Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
936 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
EASTERN WINONA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
BUFFALO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
SOUTHWESTERN TREMPEALEAU COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
* AT 930 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KELLOGG
TO LEWISTON TO FOUNTAIN...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THESE STORMS
CAN PRODUCE QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND EXTREME DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 80 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WINONA AND GOODVIEW AROUND 945 PM...
SPRING GROVE AROUND 955 PM...
ARCADIA AND TREMPEALEAU AROUND 1000 PM...
CALEDONIA AND HOUSTON AROUND 1005 PM...
DAKOTA AROUND 1010 PM...
HOKAH AND DAKOTA AROUND 1015 PM...
LA CRESCENT AND BROWNSVILLE AROUND 1020 PM...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE
STORMS...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS...WHICH CAN UPROOT
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOFS AND WINDOWS.
A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE TORNADOES...AND CAN DO SO QUICKLY.
MOVE INTO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR
BUSINESS.
&&
LAT...LON 4440 9200 4455 9154 4408 9126 4404 9135
4399 9133 4398 9143 4379 9125 4366 9126
4350 9123 4350 9173 4384 9173 4419 9189
4419 9185
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 259DEG 47KT 4427 9197 4400 9180
4376 9207
WIND...HAIL 80MPH 1.00IN
$$
SHEA
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-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
WWUS53 KDLH 180240
SVSDLH
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
940 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC115-WIC013-129-180300-
/O.CON.KDLH.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-100618T0300Z/
PINE MN-BURNETT WI-WASHBURN WI-
940 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL WASHBURN...
NORTHERN BURNETT AND EAST CENTRAL PINE COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR YELLOW LAKE...
AT 931 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO HEADING
TOWARD YELLOW LAKE. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR YELLOWLAKE...OR
25 MILES EAST OF HINCKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BETWEEN DANBURY AND YELLOW LAKE THROUGH 955 PM
RIVERSIDE AROUND 945 PM CDT.
WEBB LAKE AND BIRCH ISLAND LAKE AROUND 950 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADO INCLUDE BIRCH ISLAND LAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
&&
LAT...LON 4614 9205 4596 9199 4579 9250 4596 9261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 246DEG 39KT 4596 9236
$$
CLC
SVSDLH
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
940 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
MNC115-WIC013-129-180300-
/O.CON.KDLH.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-100618T0300Z/
PINE MN-BURNETT WI-WASHBURN WI-
940 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL WASHBURN...
NORTHERN BURNETT AND EAST CENTRAL PINE COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR YELLOW LAKE...
AT 931 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO HEADING
TOWARD YELLOW LAKE. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR YELLOWLAKE...OR
25 MILES EAST OF HINCKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BETWEEN DANBURY AND YELLOW LAKE THROUGH 955 PM
RIVERSIDE AROUND 945 PM CDT.
WEBB LAKE AND BIRCH ISLAND LAKE AROUND 950 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADO INCLUDE BIRCH ISLAND LAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
&&
LAT...LON 4614 9205 4596 9199 4579 9250 4596 9261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 246DEG 39KT 4596 9236
$$
CLC
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19
Abuse of Tornado Emergency tonight?
WIC013-129-180300-
/O.CON.KDLH.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-100618T0300Z/
BURNETT WI-WASHBURN WI-
953 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME WEST CENTRAL
WASHBURN AND NORTHEASTERN BURNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...
...TORNADO EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR BURNETT COUNTY...
AT 945 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED EAST OF DANBURY...OR 30 MILES EAST OF
HINCKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BIRCH ISLAND LAKE AROUND 955 PM CDT.
WEBB LAKE AROUND 1000 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
GO TO THE BASEMENT OR A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
&&
LAT...LON 4602 9238 4604 9234 4614 9205 4596 9200
4593 9231
TIME...MOT...LOC 0250Z 236DEG 28KT 4602 9226
$$
CLC
WIC013-129-180300-
/O.CON.KDLH.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-100618T0300Z/
BURNETT WI-WASHBURN WI-
953 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME WEST CENTRAL
WASHBURN AND NORTHEASTERN BURNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...
...TORNADO EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR BURNETT COUNTY...
AT 945 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED EAST OF DANBURY...OR 30 MILES EAST OF
HINCKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BIRCH ISLAND LAKE AROUND 955 PM CDT.
WEBB LAKE AROUND 1000 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
GO TO THE BASEMENT OR A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
&&
LAT...LON 4602 9238 4604 9234 4614 9205 4596 9200
4593 9231
TIME...MOT...LOC 0250Z 236DEG 28KT 4602 9226
$$
CLC
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