ETA honking on Invest 91L future.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

ETA honking on Invest 91L future.

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Aug 11, 2003 12:25 pm

ETA develops Invest 91L south of Miami and moves west into the GOM. Further analysis shows the ULL which has plagued the east to retrograde westward towards TX as the Bermuda High retrogrades westward. The cut-off 500 mb that moves into TX may serve to enhance poleward outflow in the upper levels.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/d ... slp&loop=1
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:00 pm

Maybe thats what the gfs was seeing off TX/LA afterall???? :roll:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#3 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Aug 11, 2003 2:12 pm

Rainband wrote:Maybe thats what the gfs was seeing off TX/LA afterall???? :roll:


The GFS is seeing the cutoff 500mb low (mid/upper level feature). This is the 12z run at 48hrs with a cutoff over TX.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_048m.gif

And it appears to have that cutoff continuing into the SW in 4 days ... I'm not quite so sure about the trough showing up in the NE though (FWIW).

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_096m.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#4 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 11, 2003 10:43 pm

ETA ..continues to honk on 91L but in the 00Z run brings it a little further north and not thru the Florida straits. At least we will have something to talk about the next few days it appears:):))

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... /fpc.shtml
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, Stormybajan and 30 guests