![Image](http://i39.tinypic.com/33usfx3.png)
+36 h
![Image](http://i43.tinypic.com/2ih70ci.png)
+36 h
![Image](http://i43.tinypic.com/1zo80b6.png)
+36 h
![Image](http://i40.tinypic.com/rky6c4.png)
15 mB in 12 hours
![Image](http://images.meteociel.fr/im/3567/gfs-0-48_pwu2.png)
![Image](http://images.meteociel.fr/im/3259/gfs-0-60_znn8.png)
I think It is not a dangerous situation, but it will be interesting to follow it
![Image](http://images.meteociel.fr/im/8318/gfs-1-66_ofo8.png)
ECMWF
warm anomaly at 850hP
and the phase diagram
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
![Image](http://i44.tinypic.com/s2r2pu.png)
![Image](http://i40.tinypic.com/2570tmw.png)
I cannot see a (sub)tropical transition with this SST, despite the wind shear has good levels, near 10 knots
what do you think?