Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

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gofrogs2
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#9301 Postby gofrogs2 » Sat Feb 27, 2010 12:21 pm

Does he include fort worth.
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Re:

#9302 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 27, 2010 12:23 pm

gofrogs2 wrote:Does he include fort worth.


Yes he specifically said Fort Worth -.- lol. all joking aside, surface temps are too warm, personally I think at best maybe some flakes with the late wrap around Monday night when the ULL is right overhead.

Edit: February looks to be the warmest on record globally, hard to tell here in Texas huh? Looks like all the blocking and nino going on it's all relative to where you are in the world.
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Re: Re:

#9303 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Feb 27, 2010 1:37 pm

Ntxw wrote:
gofrogs2 wrote:Does he include fort worth.


Yes he specifically said Fort Worth -.- lol. all joking aside, surface temps are too warm, personally I think at best maybe some flakes with the late wrap around Monday night when the ULL is right overhead.

Edit: February looks to be the warmest on record globally, hard to tell here in Texas huh? Looks like all the blocking and nino going on it's all relative to where you are in the world.

well if this is the way our winters would be with "global warming" then I say bring it on lol. Best winter ever, but Im ready for spring now
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9304 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Feb 27, 2010 1:39 pm

wxman57 wrote:Getting dead in here. Finally! Time to head over to Talkin' Tropics. I don't follow the severe storms too much (unless they're coming for Houston).


Thanks wxman57 as well as ALL our Pro Mets that have provided excellent information during this Winter Season. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9305 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Feb 27, 2010 2:30 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Getting dead in here. Finally! Time to head over to Talkin' Tropics. I don't follow the severe storms too much (unless they're coming for Houston).


Thanks wxman57 as well as ALL our Pro Mets that have provided excellent information during this Winter Season. :ggreen:

I have to echo Steve's thanks also!! This has been a very different winter for many of us and without the input from our pros we wouldn't have been as prepared as we have been and certainly would not have learned as much as we have been able to. That thanks is also extended to all of our amateur forecasters who have helped keep us all abreast of the Winter weather this season.

I sure hope you are right that we can now head back to the USA and Tropical Weather forums Wxman!!
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9306 Postby cycloneye » Sat Feb 27, 2010 2:59 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Getting dead in here. Finally! Time to head over to Talkin' Tropics. I don't follow the severe storms too much (unless they're coming for Houston).


Thanks wxman57 as well as ALL our Pro Mets that have provided excellent information during this Winter Season. :ggreen:


I echo the above.And we turn into Tropical mode next monday with the Storm2k Atlantic Hurricane Season poll at Talking tropics forum. :wink:
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9307 Postby attallaman » Sat Feb 27, 2010 3:45 pm

Nobody's talking about the earthquake in Chile or is such an event not considered to be a weather event?
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9308 Postby cycloneye » Sat Feb 27, 2010 3:50 pm

attallaman wrote:Nobody's talking about the earthquake in Chile or is such an event not considered to be a weather event?


We are discussing all about the earthquake here. viewforum.php?f=67
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9309 Postby attallaman » Sat Feb 27, 2010 4:20 pm

cycloneye wrote:
attallaman wrote:Nobody's talking about the earthquake in Chile or is such an event not considered to be a weather event?


We are discussing all about the earthquake here. viewforum.php?f=67
Thanks.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9310 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 27, 2010 4:51 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Getting dead in here. Finally! Time to head over to Talkin' Tropics. I don't follow the severe storms too much (unless they're coming for Houston).


Thanks wxman57 as well as ALL our Pro Mets that have provided excellent information during this Winter Season. :ggreen:

I have to echo Steve's thanks also!! This has been a very different winter for many of us and without the input from our pros we wouldn't have been as prepared as we have been and certainly would not have learned as much as we have been able to. That thanks is also extended to all of our amateur forecasters who have helped keep us all abreast of the Winter weather this season.

I sure hope you are right that we can now head back to the USA and Tropical Weather forums Wxman!!


Well, as far as southern Texas and winter weather, we should be in the clear. Maybe a little snow in NE TX Monday, but no big deal.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9311 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 27, 2010 7:20 pm

Well, I'm not giving up on winter - hoping for one last hurrah here in the Red River Valley before our annual march to Death Valley weather.

With the kind of winter we've had so far and CPC long range ideas for March of more above normal precip and below normal temps, don't bury this thread just yet! :D
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9312 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 27, 2010 10:46 pm

Those patches of 1" accumulations across Texas on Monday look "fishy" if you look at the soundings for those areas. Lower level is too warm for accumulations, and maybe too warm for snow south of the Red River much.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9313 Postby DentonGal » Sun Feb 28, 2010 7:04 am

Texas Snowman wrote:Well, I'm not giving up on winter - hoping for one last hurrah here in the Red River Valley before our annual march to Death Valley weather.

With the kind of winter we've had so far and CPC long range ideas for March of more above normal precip and below normal temps, don't bury this thread just yet! :D

I'm not giving up on winter yet either Texas Snowman! I'm hoping for a little more action before spring officially kicks off. Yes folks, I'm in complete and total denial that the Texas summer heat is coming.....
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#9314 Postby txagwxman » Sun Feb 28, 2010 9:45 am

Sounding data is too warm from the GFS to support snow in East TX...have no clue why the GFS showing accumulation when below 1500 feet it is above freezing...we will see. This is the time of year when you don't use 540 thickness for snow.
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Re:

#9315 Postby orangeblood » Sun Feb 28, 2010 12:18 pm

txagwxman wrote:Sounding data is too warm from the GFS to support snow in East TX...have no clue why the GFS showing accumulation when below 1500 feet it is above freezing...we will see. This is the time of year when you don't use 540 thickness for snow.


With thickness down that low and if you get heavy precip rates, then you might see some accumulations. They won't stick around long but there should be flakes in the air. I still am not sure why the Fort Worth office doesn't mention this possibility.
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Re:

#9316 Postby wxman57 » Sun Feb 28, 2010 12:42 pm

txagwxman wrote:Sounding data is too warm from the GFS to support snow in East TX...have no clue why the GFS showing accumulation when below 1500 feet it is above freezing...we will see. This is the time of year when you don't use 540 thickness for snow.


Right, be suspicious of those green patches of 1" accumulations. Lower levels (1000-2000ft) are forecast to be well above freezing. With warm air that deep, a cold rain is most likely. It's not that the temps are too warm for snow to accumulate, it will probably melt long before reaching the ground.
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#9317 Postby txagwxman » Sun Feb 28, 2010 2:22 pm

Yea we will see...sounding data is nearly dry adiabatic, it will be interesting to see how much melting/evaporation can cool the lowest levels...but I doubt they will see much if anything.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9318 Postby orangeblood » Sun Feb 28, 2010 4:52 pm

Rain/Snow mix is finally put in the forecast across North Texas for tomorrow. I think we'll see some accumulations on rooftops and grassy surfaces but nothing sticking to the roadways.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9319 Postby Portastorm » Sun Feb 28, 2010 6:58 pm

Well, this being the last day of February and the long-range models strongly suggesting warmer temps are soon to come to central and south Texas, I will be signing off the great Winter Weather Forum. I will probably post per severe weather in my area during spring/summer and during tropical season I'm mainly a lurker.

It has been a wild winter season as we all know and there's been a lot of drama, excitement, and great dialogue! For you North Texans, you had the great DFW Snowmageddon and several near misses. I had the brief but enjoyable Blizzard of AUS ... and Houston had its early December historic snowfall. San Angelo and Waco got in on the action as did Bryan/College Station. And of course, Amarillo and the Panhandle had their usual winter fun!

We've gained a lot of new, smart folks and I hope you'll come back next winter season and keep making S2K the wonderful weather forum that I believe it is. I'll probably post in September with some thoughts on the upcoming winter based on atmospheric signals that are showing up.

And, of course, last but certainly not least I want to shout out a big THANK YOU to our outstanding pro mets who kept our enthusiasm in check with meteorological reality. We learn so much from you and I thank you for your patience with me and others. It's like watching a baseball game together with Derek Jeter and Roy Oswalt in your living room!
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#9320 Postby iorange55 » Sun Feb 28, 2010 9:32 pm

Hoping to see some snowflakes tomorrow before the spring heat arrives!
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