Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#8541 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:20 pm

Storm Tracker SA-CS wrote:is this system more north than previously expected?

No, it is on track as previously forecast. See JasonS post above. It does appeat to me that this is probably going to be a bigger(area) storm than previously thought.

#8542 Postby **Ntxw** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:20 pm

No way to know for sure, still a long ways to go before it gets to you. One thing to note, the GFS had much more of a storm than the NAM, hm wonder which seems more credible now.

#8543 Postby **Texas Snowman** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:21 pm

Notice the convection breaking out near El Paso? This may be a highly memorable storm for many Texans if current radar trends continue!

msstateguy83 · #8544 Postby **msstateguy83** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:22 pm

nam seems to always or alot of the times be warmer to so i would not put much into that

#8545 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:23 pm

Ntxw wrote::uarrow: No way to know for sure, still a long ways to go before it gets to you. One thing to note, the GFS had much more of a storm than the NAM, hm wonder which seems more credible now.

HHHMMM??? Wonder which has been more credible all winter?? :cheesy:

#8546 Postby **Nederlander** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:24 pm

msstateguy83 wrote::uarrow: nam seems to always or alot of the times be warmer to so i would not put much into that

Good point msstateguy.. I've preferred the gfs all along.. Lookin forward to the 0z run

#8547 Postby **Ntxw** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:24 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Ntxw wrote::uarrow: No way to know for sure, still a long ways to go before it gets to you. One thing to note, the GFS had much more of a storm than the NAM, hm wonder which seems more credible now.

HHHMMM??? Wonder which has been more credible all winter??

Gotta give the GFS it's props, as crazy and wild as it has been, this has been the kind of winter for it lol.

#8548 Postby **Texas Snowman** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:25 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Storm Tracker SA-CS wrote:is this system more north than previously expected?

No, it is on track as previously forecast. See JasonS post above. It does appeat to me that this is probably going to be a bigger(area) storm than previously thought.

Sure looks that way right now although as we've all learned this winter, things are subject to change.

But on the Intellicast radar loops, precip showing up from the northern Texas Panhandle all the way down to the Rio Grande. Also appears that precip is getting heavier in a number of places and convection is taking place too.

Storm Tracker SA-CS · #8549 Postby **Storm Tracker SA-CS** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:26 pm

is it possible that a large portion of the state could see 6+ inches from this storm?

BrokenGlass · #8550 Postby **BrokenGlass** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:26 pm

Has anyone seen Portastorm lately? Is he warming up that leg?

#8551 Postby **Ntxw** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:28 pm

BrokenGlass wrote:Has anyone seen Portastorm lately? Is he warming up that leg?

Probably at the Austin weather service office screaming and yelling for a winter storm warning!

#8552 Postby **Nederlander** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:30 pm

Storm Tracker SA-CS wrote:is it possible that a large portion of the state could see 6+ inches from this storm?

Possible ? Yes... Probable? Not really.. Also 'a large portion' is relative.. But 6+ inches is not out of reach for local amounts

msstateguy83 · #8553 Postby **msstateguy83** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:30 pm

maybe my eyes are going bad lol but i see ese movement of the upper low

#8554 Postby **Texas Snowman** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:32 pm

msstateguy83 wrote:maybe my eyes are going bad lol but i see ese movement of the upper low

I don't think your eyes are going bad.

From the other thread, which I'm sure you've seen, even OUN NWS is starting to talk about the possibilities of snow getting north of the Red River.

ndale · #8555 Postby **ndale** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:32 pm

Even the FW NWS is noting precip earlier than expected, makes you wonder if this is even a more powerful system than expected or will be of longer duration. Either way shouldn't that cause more acumulations than anticipated?

hb905 · #8556 Postby **hb905** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:32 pm

what are the models showing?

msstateguy83 · #8557 Postby **msstateguy83** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:33 pm

gfs is running as we speak hang on just a sec should have some info....

#8558 Postby **Portastorm** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:36 pm

Ntxw wrote:
BrokenGlass wrote:Has anyone seen Portastorm lately? Is he warming up that leg?

Probably at the Austin weather service office screaming and yelling for a winter storm warning!

You guys are funny! LOL

No, I'm crashing early but will be up very early to see (hopefully) just how wrong my local NWSFO is with their forecast.

I'm counting on y'all to bring this storm into our state in a big way. Looks like your off to a good start!

Storm Tracker SA-CS · #8559 Postby **Storm Tracker SA-CS** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:37 pm

looks like new gfs is coming in a drier

katheria · #8560 Postby **katheria** » Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:37 pm

hey guys, quick question?...havent been home for 3 days because of family emergency.....and havent had internet access, went crazy and sitting here at a starbucks LOL...sorry dont have a lot of time to go back and read over the 30+ pages ive missed it seems...

whats dallas ftworth expected to get? cant get NWS to load on this connection ugh.....

TIA!!!

Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Re:

Re:

Re: Re:

Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Re:

Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Re:

Re: Re:

Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

Who is online