Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Stephanie]

Beautiful pictures, but oh so dangerous!

Not bad for a cell phone Breeze!

[breeze]

Thanks, Steph - lol, a photographer I am not!

[RNGR]

Looks like there might be some accumulating snow/sleet in north GA, east TN, and west NC friday night - saturday night

GFS:


NAM:

[Ivanhater]

Now this is interesting...

[Brent]

[RNGR]

^^ now we're talking, eh brent?

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2010&model_mm=02&model_dd=06&model_init_hh=00&fhour=174&parameter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false

[Dean4Storms]

The pattern is looking ominous for the deep south beginning late next week. I think we see another shot as wintry precip as far south as north Florida before this month ends.

[RNGR]

The funny thing about this storm is it's supposed to happen 4 days before I go to boot camp. and I've been dying to see some snow before I leave.

[Brent]

If only it weren't 6 days out, this is a rather big storm:

[RNGR]

06z and 12z GFS looking good for thurs-sat

[Brent]

*hyperventilates*

[RNGR]

If the 12z GFS was right it would mean record snowfall for central AL and GA. around 6-10 inches.

[somethingfunny]

Man, that storm in the North Atlantic is a BEAST.

[mitchelliii]

This is the most prospective thing I have seen this season for middle/north Ga. Will be interesting to see how and if it develops into snow for SE.

[RNGR]

Huntsville AL discussion:

EXTENDED (WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND)...
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE COLD...EVEN IF WE GET RID OF
THE CLOUDS. ALTHOUGH MODELS SHOW THE CLOUDS DO EXIT...GIVEN RECENT
HISTORY...IT IS HARD NOT TO BE PESSIMISTIC ON THE CHANCE.

THE NEXT SRN STREAM SYSTEM QUICKLY TAKES SHAPE AND APPROACHES BY
THURSDAY. THERE IS INCREASING MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING AND
IMPACT OF THE SYSTEM...BUT IT IS STILL SOMEWHAT MURKY. WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW POPS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BEST CHANCE ON
FRIDAY. 12Z GFS HAS A PRETTY GOOD SNOWSTORM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT THIS IS SLOWER TIMING THAN YESTERDAYS RUNS...AND A BIT
OF A FLIP-FLOP FOR THE ENSEMBLES FROM DRY TO WET. THE WETTER
SOLUTION MAY PROVE TO BE CORRECT...BUT MORE CONSISTENCY IS NEEDED
BEFORE DIVING HEADLONG INTO THE IDEA.

MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH WHAT HAPPENS NEXT WEEKEND. WILL
SIMPLY HANG ON TO AN EXTRAPOLATED PATTERN PERSISTENCE...WHICH WOULD
INDICATE THE AREA BEING BETWEEN SYSTEMS...AND COLDER THAN NORMAL.

[Brent]

Friday: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

[Brent]

[Ivanhater]

I like the 00z GFS

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like a shot of a wintry mix all the way down into the FL Panhandle!!

[RNGR]

forecast offices are going to sleep on this one until its 2 days away..