Possible US threat next week

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Derek Ortt

Possible US threat next week

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Aug 09, 2003 9:15 am

While some are concerned about a mid-Atl upper low, there is likely to be a US threat next week, from Guillermo to Hawaii. The ridge isn't going anywhere anytime fast; therefore, this is going west. As long as this isnt sucked into soon to be Hilda or if the ridge doesn't become too strong, creating NE shear, this is a lead pipe sinch to threaten Hawaii late next week
0 likes   

User avatar
Colin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5086
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2003 4:17 pm
Location: Catasauqua, PA
Contact:

#2 Postby Colin » Sat Aug 09, 2003 9:19 am

PHEW! :o You got me scared with the heading there!!! :o
0 likes   

rainstorm

#3 Postby rainstorm » Sat Aug 09, 2003 9:24 am

to me, hawaii is part of the far pacific. i just dont get hyped over canes there. besides, years with hawaii hits = slow atlantic
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#4 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 09, 2003 9:26 am

The GFDL holds Guillermo strong as the area of disturbed weather to the east of Guillermo actually swings around to the NE of the circulation (Fujiwhara Effect) and absorbs the energy of Tropical Depression #8.

http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/gfdltc2.cgi ... =Animation

Forecasted model tracks of Guillermo
http://www.stormsfury1.com/Temp/EP072003.jpg
0 likes   

JetMaxx

#5 Postby JetMaxx » Sat Aug 09, 2003 1:08 pm

rainstorm wrote:to me, hawaii is part of the far pacific. i just dont get hyped over canes there. besides, years with hawaii hits = slow atlantic


What about 1950 and 1959? Both years featured hurricane landfalls in Hawaii, and both were also very active in the Atlantic (major hurricanes King and Easy struck Florida in 50'; and 125 mph Gracie plowed SC in 1959). Also, 1992...the year Iniki slammed Kauai may have been slow in the Atlantic, but no one alive then will ever forget hurricane Andrew.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 24 guests