Something to watch in the Central Atlantic?

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Stormsfury
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Something to watch in the Central Atlantic?

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:10 pm

An interesting development has come about around 31N, 47W, around a low-level swirl has come about a recent flare-up of convection ... this area has found itself in between the westerlies and an ULL to its SSW around 21ºN, hence, UL winds are quite light as the system moves slowly SSW. There looks like a surface trough ahead of the system, and another non-tropical low developing west of the Azores.
Anyway, SST's are plenty warm enough to sustain a TC development in that region (which they are running a little bit above normal) and heading into a very warm eddy.

Visible
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-vis-loop.html
Water vapor
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html

http://128.160.23.54/products/MCSST/HPCg26.gif
Last edited by Stormsfury on Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:13 pm

Interesting. Doesn't seem like many forecasters/meteorologists are picking up on this.
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#3 Postby southerngale » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:14 pm

The first two links didn't work SF. I wonder if it's a problem with MY computer. Can someone try to click the visible and water vapor loops?
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Danny

#4 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:15 pm

I think that may be Danny on its third loop around the Bermuda High. :wink:
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#5 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:23 pm

southerngale wrote:The first two links didn't work SF. I wonder if it's a problem with MY computer. Can someone try to click the visible and water vapor loops?


nope not your puter. it is the links. but they seem to be fixed now sg.
Last edited by Lindaloo on Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:23 pm

southerngale wrote:The first two links didn't work SF. I wonder if it's a problem with MY computer. Can someone try to click the visible and water vapor loops?


Try it now...edited it.

I think that may be Danny on its third loop around the Bermuda High


LOL
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#7 Postby ameriwx2003 » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:30 pm

Yes , like I posted in another thread on this, some convection is firing now and the latest 12Z UKMET continues trying to develope a system and bring into the Bahamas in the 120 hr range:):)
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/ukmettc2.cg ... =Animation
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#8 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:38 pm

ameriwx2003 wrote:Yes , like I posted in another thread on this, some convection is firing now and the latest 12Z UKMET continues trying to develope a system and bring into the Bahamas in the 120 hr range:):)
http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/ukmettc2.cg ... =Animation


Hmmm, after looking at that loop many times, it just might be what is it picking up on. I had to try to decipher whether it was possibly the LLCC currently off to the west of the CV islands or the current LLS in the Central Atlantic. Looks like it is the Central Atlantic system it's picking up on.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:41 pm

Yes SF and ameriwx2003 that is what the models are picking on wow this morning there was nothing and hours later DANG.
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#10 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:53 pm

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Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:57 pm

Things that make you go hmm................ :wink:
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#12 Postby ameriwx2003 » Fri Aug 08, 2003 4:58 pm

Yes, this morning I didn't notice it but wondered what the heck the UKMET WAS keying on. I was wondering also if it was a CV wave. I got home from work and starting looking at Sat loops and bingo it caught the corner of my eye lol. I figured Lets see what the board has to say. Several heads are better then one:):)
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 08, 2003 5:08 pm

Well rainband is that time of the year and also the MJO is entering the atlantic with moist enviroment.
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#14 Postby Colin » Fri Aug 08, 2003 5:15 pm

Hmmm...this will be very interesting to watch over the next few days!!!
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rainstorm

#15 Postby rainstorm » Fri Aug 08, 2003 6:16 pm

its the kind of system that can form in a pattern like this
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