Possible system to watch closer to home?

[ameriwx2003]

The last few runs of the UKMET have been trying to develope a system East of the Bahamas and now in the 120 hr range it moves it into the Bahamas. I have been wondering where the heck the UKMET might be picking this up from. Take a look at this and comments welcome please.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The top right hand corner you can see what appears to be a small low level swirl moving S/SW ( checking water vapor I see a ULL to the south of the swirl pulling away) and the last few frames some convection firing.

Water vapor loop link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

and the link to UKMET model data: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... models.htm

Could this be what the UKMET is trying to develope/? Comments and observations please:):):)

[wxman57]

That would be 90L's remnants. I'd say the chances of development are somewhere between slim and none, but what's left of the wave may enhance rainfall along the east coast by Sunday into next week.

[Stormsfury]

That system around 31ºN, 47ºW is the one I just posted in another thread, interestingly enough. I have to look at some of the new model runs, but it's a complex looking environment out there right now. That LLS is moving SW/SSW, and appears to have a surface trough running ahead of it. There's an ULL SSW of it and the westerlies north of the system, sandwiched in between a relatively low shear environment (small s/w ridging) and very warm SST's in that area. Could get interesting.

SF

[ameriwx2003]

Wxman 57, sorry I should have been more specific I am not lookign at 90 L's remains. Like Stormfury mentioned its a low level swirl near 31 N 47 W. I was refering to. The UKMET has been the last 3 or 4 runs now trying to develope something east the Bahamas and the 12Z run today continues that. I was wondering if that LLC dropping S/SW was what the UKMET was picking up on??It will be interesting to watch indeed:)

[cycloneye]

Ameriwx2003 it is that one that TPC now is starting to mention between bermuda and the azores.

[ameriwx2003]

Luis.. thanks.. Yes I just saw your post about the TPC mentioning it in the 5:30 TWO. I wonder if everyones favorite accuweather forecaster is on this ? lol.

[ColdFront77]

Sure something to watch. What an event if something forms "quickly" closer to home.

The water temperatures right along the northeast Florida coast are in the mid 60's to low 70's, which sounds quite odd... however, no more than 20-30 miles out they are in the upper 70's and low to mid 80's. It was just reporting on one of the local (Orlando) news affiliates that the very cool ocean waters is due to some sort of upwelling. Certain not from a tropcal storm or hurricane that was off the northeast Florida coast.

[ameriwx2003]

Tom exactly, maybe we have a chance at something closer to home forming. It will be interesting to see if any other models pick up on this:):):). Interesting to watch for this week-end:):)

[cycloneye]

americwx2003 now let's wait for the next runs from the models at 00z to see if they follow up on what they said in the last run.If organization continues you can see an invest for it as soon as tommorow.