African mammoth bomb....

[Johnny]

On the image below, you can see it still over Africa. Of course it's way too early to tell but I thought I'd point it out. Looks like a biggun'.

[Stormsfury]

This is the wave that was a huge convective complex with banding features over Central Africa about 2-3 days ago. This is also the same wave I believe has a real chance of becoming something more than a "wave". The first wave that exited the coast is drawing moisture northward behind the swirl, which I think will be what the second wave will need.

SF

[cycloneye]

I see this megabomb more north in latitud and if it comes out around 15-17n then it will not travel the atlantic west as it will curve NW and north towards Spain.But also if that is the case it well may clean the SAL and dry air inside africa and help wave in the water now so interesting if this scenario pans out.

[wxman57]

Have y'all noticed the GFS moving that system to the coast of Africa north of 20N then stalling it? JB was talking about that a few days ago - the storm heading for NW Africa instead of west and off the coast. Might be able to infuse a good bit of moisture into the tropics.

[chadtm80]

Check out both waves on loop http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/a ... loope.html

[chadtm80]

Quickscat still looking nice too

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages21 ... MBas32.png

[ColdFront77]

There is no way to really know that this tropical wave will not move due west into the eastern Atlantic and continue westward.

I don't recall areas of convection moving due north in the far eastern Atlantic in recent times.

[vbhoutex]

Interestingly, not one of the tropical models(on our site) holds on to either of these systems. The "megabomb" never makes it off the coast or exits it high and goes NW then N. It will be interesting to see how they do when/if there is really something to initialize.

I agree with SF that there is definite possiblilities between these two systems, but you never heard me say that-too much crow already this season -unless something develops!!

[chadtm80]

Check out this run!!

http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/mode ... .conus.gif

[chadtm80]

Run this loop as well http://www.eumetsat.de/cgi-bin/imagery/ ... ,v=400,p=0

[southerngale]

Very interesting!!

Thanks Chad!

[Derek Ortt]

Even if something develops in the far east Atlantic, it is only a European threat as all global models are in agreement in having a very weak or no Azores high over the far east Atlantic in about 3 days. This pattern appears likely to remain for about 24-48 hours. During this time, no chance of anything deep making it past 35W

[Stormsfury]

Even if something develops in the far east Atlantic, it is only a European threat as all global models are in agreement in having a very weak or no Azores high over the far east Atlantic in about 3 days. This pattern appears likely to remain for about 24-48 hours. During this time, no chance of anything deep making it past 35W

Yep. Notice the first wave pulling WNW already ... however, the second wave is pulling on a general W to WSW motion initially ... right into the deeper moisture being pulled northward by the first wave. IMO, the second wave will have a chance to develop, however, it may follow nearly the identical path as wave #1 is currently traversing.

http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/a ... loope.html

SF