Dr Gray's august outlook:14/8/3 but less storm days

[Lindaloo]

i did yesterday afternoon. and attempted it again this morning. i was pulled over this morning. the policeman walked up to the car and said 'oh'. but he informed me that i needed to catch a ride. lol. i turned a corner and swung very wide. i had to put on brakes and back up. lol. i did not see the policeman behind me either. camaros have no need to be swung wide. guess he thought he had a drunk on his hands. lol.

this post took 5 minutes. hoo boy.

[Guest]

Oh my gosh Lindaloo = getting stopped by a policeman - and he said WOW.

I'll ask yes and no questions to you for the next 6 weeks so you won't have to type novels.

Patricia

Thanks for the reply and the effort Lindaloo!!!!!

[Steve Cosby]

Not to ignite a political discussion here but I was intrigued by his statement (paraphrasing) that global warming is not linked to the upswing in tropical activity.

Wonder how much press that statement won't get...

[cycloneye]

So far today after the report came out non in the media has mentioned that statement from Dr Gray regarding Global warming and tropical activity.

[Steve Cosby]

Don't hold your breath waiting for the mainstream media to notice that - even FoxNews won't have the guts.

[southerngale]

So, it sounds like everyone thinks this is just about written in stone. Is it possible that we will still have a very active season? I mean, couldn't he be wrong?

Just a question...not a wish.
(he IS the expert though)

[Steve Cosby]

Technically, Dr. Gray is always wrong!

Actually, it looks like his August forecast is always slightly under the final totals (look at the 1999-2002 verification section).

[rainstorm]

So, it sounds like everyone thinks this is just about written in stone. Is it possible that we will still have a very active season? I mean, couldn't he be wrong?

Just a question...not a wish.
(he IS the expert though)

but if anything, i think it will be slower. looking at the atlantic today, i have rarely seen such hostility. i dont see anywhere that a cane could form. the air just seems to be getting drier each day. also, another powerful typhoon shopuld develop after etau in the west pac.

[cycloneye]

Kelly the rest of the season will be average meaning around 9-10 more named storms and of those 6 hurricanes and 2-3 major canes so plenty of action yet and by any means let your guard down this to those who live on the caribbean and at the US coastline.

[GalvestonDuck]

So far today after the report came out non in the media has mentioned that statement from Dr Gray regarding Global warming and tropical activity.

They mentioned it on Houston's KTRH-AM 740. But that's all I've seen or heard besides on here.

[ameriwx2003]

Yes, if we do have 10 more named storms thats more then enough to cause trouble. I saw a tidbit today on yahoo about Europe hasn't been this hot since 1947( not sure how true that is). So for the heck of it I decided to see how the 1947 hurricane season panned out. Of course this isn't very scientific I realize. A point the 1947 season does show is that you still can get alot of landfalling systems from 9 or 10 storms:):) Here is a link

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

[Stormsfury]

Yes, if we do have 10 more named storms thats more then enough to cause trouble. I saw a tidbit today on yahoo about Europe hasn't been this hot since 1947( not sure how true that is). So for the heck of it I decided to see how the 1947 hurricane season panned out. Of course this isn't very scientific I realize. A point the 1947 season does show is that you still can get alot of landfalling systems from 9 or 10 storms:):) Here is a link

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

I just posted a new thread with U.S. Landfalling hurricanes since 1940.
Interesting you thought about 1947 - One Major landfall occurred with a borderline Cat. 5 in South Florida - and it was the only CV storm that year.

SF