WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[drdavisjr]

Rains starting to pick up now...

By the way, I hope no one minds my blow by blow commentary If so, please say so.

I don't mind...I'm gonna post pictures and videos if the power doesn't go out

Cool...I expect power to be out relatively early on...

[clueless]

Not to downplay at all the wind factor that will be bad enough but if I have to say what is the main concern to Luzon is the copius amounts of rain this system has.Here is the latest image.

OMG at the gray area!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I'm feeling a bit uneasy right now

sorry, i'm clueless and new here. what does the gray area indicate? more rain? like how many inches?

[ozonepete]

Note=Welcome to storm2k to the recent new members.How did you found out about storm2k?

I found this site using Google when I was searching forums dedicated to tropical cyclone discussion. Before, I am only watching you discuss about WPAC TCs in this site, but I eventually joined so I can participate in the discussions.

Welcome! I'm glad you're in here just before the storm hits.

[ozonepete]

Rains starting to pick up now...

By the way, I hope no one minds my blow by blow commentary If so, please say so.

Absolutely love it. Keep it coming.

[oaba09]

Not to downplay at all the wind factor that will be bad enough but if I have to say what is the main concern to Luzon is the copius amounts of rain this system has.Here is the latest image.

OMG at the gray area!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I'm feeling a bit uneasy right now

sorry, i'm clueless and new here. what does the gray area indicate? more rain? like how many inches?

It has the heaviest rainfall I believe...

[oaba09]

Rains also picking up here.....I don't think I'm gonna sleep tonight(who can???)

[ozonepete]

OMG at the gray area!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I'm feeling a bit uneasy right now

sorry, i'm clueless and new here. what does the gray area indicate? more rain? like how many inches?

It's very heavy rain of 1 to 2 or more inches per hour. There's a color key at the bottom of that satellite image that shows the scale. Rainfall amounts heavier as you go to the right along the scale. So red is heavier than orange, for example.

[drdavisjr]

Naga City was reporting 25mm per hour rains about 30 minutes ago

[oaba09]

Naga City was just reporting 25mm per hour rains about 30 minutes ago

That's a lot!!!

[redisol]

Starting to rain here in Mandaluyong City...

I used to tell my kids not to cry or be afraid whenever it rains... but after my experience with the recent floodings, I think I'm going to cry louder than them this time

[P.K.]

Down to 65kts.

WTPQ21 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0921 MIRINAE (0921)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 14.7N 123.5E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 311200UTC 14.3N 118.4E 75NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 011200UTC 13.7N 113.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 021200UTC 11.8N 108.0E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[oaba09]

Down to 65kts.

WTPQ21 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0921 MIRINAE (0921)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 14.7N 123.5E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 311200UTC 14.3N 118.4E 75NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 011200UTC 13.7N 113.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 021200UTC 11.8N 108.0E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Still a strong typhoon......it also seems to have slowed down w/c is bad for us

[HURAKAN]

A few hours ago

[oaba09]

<Analyses at 30/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N14°40'(14.7°)
E123°30'(123.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 90km(50NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N330km(180NM)
S220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 31/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°20'(14.3°)
E118°25'(118.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area Wide 190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 01/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°40'(13.7°)
E113°35'(113.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area Wide 310km(170NM)
<Forecast for 02/12 UTC>
Intensity -
TD
Center position of probability circle N11°50'(11.8°)
E108°00'(108.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[breeze]

Wow, welcome to all of the new members!

[oaba09]

Wow, welcome to all of the new members!

The power of google

[oaba09]

Rains picking up here as time passes...

[Macrocane]

If this trend of Philippines newcomers continue the Atlantic is in danger of losing its title of the most commented basin Welcome to the new members, my best wishes are with you. Take care!

[dexterlabio]

so we are experience continuous rains right now, but not very hard downpour. when will the eye pass over metro manila?