WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[beaufort12]

Looks like our Luzon friends in the path have lost their connectivity.

looks like they're there after all, lol, and good.

[drdavisjr]

Looks like our Luzon friends in the path have lost their connectivity.

looks like they're there after all, lol, and good.

Yes, we're still all okay. I'm sure that most of us here are trying to finish up our last-minute preparations.

The sky has a very surreal look...weird.

[Infdidoll]

Hope you all can check in later and tell you're okay...We're thinking about you!

[drdavisjr]

Thanks everyone for your concern...

[neil40]

Looks like our Luzon friends in the path have lost their connectivity.

I guess no decent sleep for us tonight in Manila...

[Typhoon Hunter]

I've met up with Jim Edds in Manila and we're driving around town filming preparations etc. I have mobile internet so sending this message from side of a highway.

Expecting weather to deteriorate after dark, maybe around midnight then the flooding chaos to take place tomorrow during daylight.

[dhoeze]

the sad thing though is once I go home tonight, I will be disconnected from this site.
Got no internet at home.
Good Luck to us all

[ManilaTC]

Good afternoon guys... I just got back from work and busy informing the people in the office regarding Mirinae's hit in a few hours.

My wife is off to the grocer for now, to stock up... I will try to stay up to ride this one out...

My estimated landfall time would be midnight tonight manila time
and the eye would pass 5-9 am manila time as a Cat 2.

we would have no power by then.

asking for prayers for a city of 15 million.

[beaufort12]

Good afternoon guys... I just got back from work and busy informing the people in the office regarding Mirinae's hit in a few hours.

My wife is off to the grocer for now, to stock up... I will try to stay up to ride this one out...

My estimated landfall time would be midnight tonight manila time
and the eye would pass 5-9 am manila time as a Cat 2.

we would have no power by then.

asking for prayers for a city of 15 million.

give us an update if it's possible, and make sure to let us kinow how you fared when you can. be safe and i hope for the best for you and everyone else there

[ManilaTC]

Will do unless the power goes out...

[ManilaTC]

Here is the last visible image for the day before it hits land tonight...

[beaufort12]

the latest IR image loop seems to show something going on in the center of the storm. not sure if it's intensification or not. i'll be glad when the western experts wake up! so lazy lol & jk!!! they work hard on this site.

[oaba09]

Sorry if I wasn't able to post...I bought some last minute supplies from the dept store(batteries and food)...

Metro Manila is now under signal #3

[ManilaTC]

Severe Weather Bulletin Number EIGHT
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Typhoon "SANTI" (MIRINAE)
Issued at 5:00 p.m., Friday, 30 October 2009
Typhoon "SANTI" is now approaching Quezon province.
Location of Center: (as of 4:00 p.m.) 230 kms East of Infanta, Quezon
Coordinates: 14.8°N, 124.1°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 150 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 185 kph
Movement: West Southwest at 24 kph

Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Saturday afternoon: 220 kms West Southwest of Metro Manila
Sunday afternoon: 760 kms West Southwest of Metro Manila or over the South China Sea


Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal
Signal No.3 (100-185 kph winds)
Quezon
Polillo island
Bulacan
Bataan
Rizal
Cavite
Laguna
Batangas
Oriental Mindoro
Lubang Island
Marinduque
Camarines Norte
Camarines Sur
Catanduanes
Metro Manila

Signal No. 2 (60-100 kph winds)
Aurora
Quirino
Nueva Ecija
Tarlac
Pampanga
Zambales
Occidental Mindoro
Albay
Burias Island

Signal No. 1 (30-60 kph winds)
Isabela
Ifugao
Nueva Vizcaya
Benguet
La Union
Pangasinan
Sorsogon
Masbate
Romblon
Calamian Group
Northern Samar
Northern Panay

[oaba09]

seems to be moving westwards now...directly towards metro manila.......

[oaba09]

<Analyses at 30/09 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N14°40'(14.7°)
E124°05'(124.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 90km(50NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N330km(180NM)
S220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 31/09 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°30'(14.5°)
E119°05'(119.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area Wide 190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 01/06 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°20'(14.3°)
E114°30'(114.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area Wide 310km(170NM)
<Forecast for 02/06 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°00'(13.0°)
E109°00'(109.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)

[oaba09]

I'm expecting a power outage later so most likely, we won't be able to post here anymore...I'm gonna try to get some videos and pictures if I can...........

[ManilaTC]

will go outside and check.

[Cookie]

will go outside and check.

stay safe

[cebuboy]

Good evening to my friends there in Luzon. Based on satellite data, it looks it will pass Manila tomorrow . I expect it will start to rain very hard tomorrow, expect it to be same with Ondoy. So below are my survival tips for years which I have learned and practice in this typhoon battered nation,

Tips #1. Store food, canned goods, all those that can be easily cook without reliance on electricity.
Tips #2. If you have computers near your window, move it in a place it won't get wet (if you can transfer it to a high place, much better), wind can damage windows and parts of your computer can be damage by being wet.
Tips #3. Backup your very important computer files, and keep your extremely important belongings to prepare if a place can be flooded and everything you have work for years will be destroyed. If you can upload it online, do it early now.
Tips #4. Prepare a flash light with batteries.
Tips #5. Move appliances in higher location.
Tips #6. If you can buy life jackets much better. Prepare boards that you can rely if worst can happen --> floods streams. When Ketsana or Ondoy hits Philippines, I see people climbing the roof and roof floats in the wild flood stream, if you fall, you have boards and life jackets with you. Increases your chances of survival.
Tips #7. Stay together- all families and highly important persons to you.
Tips #8. If rain starts heavily, turn off the electricity in your house.
Tips #9. If someone from government ask to evacuate you and your families do it the very early, follow them. And bring your survival kits with you (above).
Tips #10. If you are living in mountains, relocate to a safe place. Landslide is risky.
Tips #11. If you have living in rivers, evacuate now to your friends house or relatives house away from it.
Tips #12. If you are living near coastlines, evacuate now farther from the coast, storm surge is risky.
Tips #13. Prepare medicines, analgesics, cough syrup, cold tablets with you. If someone is very sick , no one can go outside in middle of the storm.
Tips #14. Do not feel relax when the winds and rains stop. This could be the eye of the storm. Another severe destruction shortly after this.

I know this looks like an extreme form of preparation and in no guarantee it will actually fits it to work with you, but If I were you I take this hard preparation than being another unprepared casualty of this repetitive typhoon attacks.

This is all I can help, remember that the rest of us here care so much for your safety (those living in Luzon where this typhoon may pass).