WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[oaba09]

TPPN10 PGTW 292103

A. TYPHOON 23W (MIRINAE)

B. 29/2030Z

C. 15.2N

D. 126.9E

E. FIVE/MTSAT

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 46A/PBO EMBD CNTR/ANMTN.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
29/1719Z 15.2N 127.6E MMHS


BRANDON

[Aslkahuna]

Some of my wife's relatives are going to travel for Daet, Camarines Norte (Bicol Region) tonight. I tried to dissuade them and still trying to convince them to postpone their travel plans until Sunday. Had no luck yet. Ah well, at least I tried to share what I know about things that might ensue...

How do they plan to travel? I would assume that the airport is closed and ferry service shut down now-if driving they may not get far. Hey, they are only behaving like many Americans when hurricanes threaten.

Steve

[ozonepete]

Our friends in the areas affected can post photos or videos for the rest of the members to see what is going on.

I'm gonna try to get some photos and videos...our house is pretty high I got a pretty good vantage point

Cool. Just be safe above all.

[ozonepete]

Got to go for now guys. Have to prepare for my dialysis scheduled for 10 AM (PST). I'll try to get photos or videos of what's going on outside if I can. Be back this afternoon... (If there's still no heavy rains and the power hasn't been cut off.)

Thanks for all the useful infos! God bless us all!

Same to you. Good luck, friend.

[oaba09]

Our friends in the areas affected can post photos or videos for the rest of the members to see what is going on.

I'm gonna try to get some photos and videos...our house is pretty high I got a pretty good vantage point

Cool. Just be safe above all.

Thanks! I will

[dexterlabio]

i'll also try to get some pictures and video the time mirinae gets into manila. i'm in quezon city, north of metro manila, so if mirinae passes north, my place is most likely to feel its fury O_O please pray for us guys to withstand the brunt of this typhoon, i'm hoping that we could make it

[dexterlabio]

TPPN10 PGTW 300019

A. TYPHOON 23W (MIRINAE)

B. 29/2330Z

C. 15.3N

D. 125.5E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T5.0/5.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/06HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 15A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BAND/BANDING EYE/ANMTN. SEEMS
CDO PATTERN MAY BE TRANSITIONING TO EYE PATTERN. USED BANDING
EYE TECHNIQUE TO DETERMINE DT WITH AVG WIDTH > 1.25 DEG. NO
ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO CF. MET AND PT ALSO 5.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
29/2134Z 15.2N 126.6E SSMI


BRANDON

[ozonepete]

i'll also try to get some pictures and video the time mirinae gets into manila. i'm in quezon city, north of metro manila, so if mirinae passes north, my place is most likely to feel its fury O_O please pray for us guys to withstand the brunt of this typhoon, i'm hoping that we could make it

Remember, the center is not a point. The strongest winds extend outward from 30 miles south of the center to 30 miles north of the center. So if the center comes within 30 miles of you, you'll get very strong winds.

Because it's moving from east to west, the very center and north side have the highest winds. It looks like you will be in or just north of the center, unfortunately. Don't go out during this!

[oaba09]

Does anyone have an image showing the center of the typhoon? I can't seem to determine it based on the sat loops...thanks!

[oaba09]

<Analyses at 30/00 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N15°20'(15.3°)
E125°40'(125.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N370km(200NM)
S220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 31/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°40'(14.7°)
E121°00'(121.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area Wide 190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 01/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°25'(14.4°)
E116°05'(116.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area Wide 310km(170NM)
<Forecast for 02/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°25'(13.4°)
E110°35'(110.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area Wide 440km(240NM)

[cycloneye]

Does anyone have an image showing the center of the typhoon? I can't seem to determine it based on the sat loops...thanks!

Dvorak image where you can see where the center is.Still above the 15N line.

[HURAKAN]

Powerful eye

[beaufort12]

Looks like this thing is quickly bearing down on Luzon. I wish the best for the S2k members and the other residents in and around the path of the storm. Prepare as best you can and be careful.

[oaba09]

Does anyone have an image showing the center of the typhoon? I can't seem to determine it based on the sat loops...thanks!

Dvorak image where you can see where the center is.Still above the 15N line.

Thanks!

[HURAKAN]

Unfortunately, big comeback

[oaba09]

Unfortunately, big comeback

bad for us huh?

[breeze]

The rain in Mirinae...

[oaba09]

moving westwards now.....

[ozonepete]

Moving very fast - 19KT. Center should be near or over Manila by 18Z on the 30th, around 1 AM Friday night/Saturday morning local time there.

[ozonepete]

moving westwards now.....

Looks west-southwest to me.