WPAC: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (22W)

#721 Postby **StormingB81** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 5:29 am

Anyone else having problems getting on JTWC???

#722 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 5:30 am

Lupit is pretty much following JTWC's track accurately....Maybe they're the ones that got it right...

#723 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 5:31 am

StormingB81 wrote:Anyone else having problems getting on JTWC???

I think their site may be down....I can't get through

ricmood · #724 Postby **ricmood** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 5:55 am

According to typhoon2000.ph, there MIGHT be another LPA developing near Marianas.

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/t2kgraphsat.gif

#725 Postby **Typhoon Hunter** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 5:57 am

oaba09 wrote:Lupit is pretty much following JTWC's track accurately....Maybe they're the ones that got it right...

Every agency forecast I saw predicted Lupit to take a WSW track. The question is how close to Luzon will the centre get before a possible recurve situation or stall?

Thanks for posting those pics Jim, winds should pick up at your location tomorrow somewhat!

#726 Postby **StormingB81** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:26 am

it looks like it has slowed or stalled.

#727 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:27 am

Typhoon Hunter wrote:
oaba09 wrote:Lupit is pretty much following JTWC's track accurately....Maybe they're the ones that got it right...

Every agency forecast I saw predicted Lupit to take a WSW track. The question is how close to Luzon will the centre get before a possible recurve situation or stall?

Thanks for posting those pics Jim, winds should pick up at your location tomorrow somewhat!

We'll be closely monitoring this system.....Hopefully, We'll have a clearer forecast tomorrow...

JTE50 · #728 Postby **JTE50** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 7:03 am

drdavisjr wrote:
JTE50 wrote:
StormingB81 wrote:JTE, If it turns from you are guys you going to heads to Tawain or Japan?

Sure, if I can get there but I doubt I would have time.

Are there alot of press agencies up there?

I saw some Philippino crew at the beach I was at this am. I'm sure they were from some TV Station in Manila. I saw two american missionaries but that's it.
Had dinner at the motel and that was the chicken I've ever had. Yum! Everybody here is wondering what's up with Ramil? This has got to be one of the whackiest chases I've ever been on. I am clueless to where this typhoon is going. So I'm just going to sit tight and immerse myself in Phillipino culture for a few days.

JTE50 · #729 Postby **JTE50** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 7:07 am

Typhoon Hunter wrote:
oaba09 wrote:Lupit is pretty much following JTWC's track accurately....Maybe they're the ones that got it right...

Every agency forecast I saw predicted Lupit to take a WSW track. The question is how close to Luzon will the centre get before a possible recurve situation or stall?

Thanks for posting those pics Jim, winds should pick up at your location tomorrow somewhat!

Many thanks James for the text updates! I will return the favor! I pull up S2K for the locals and get all the info for them real fast! With the slow internet here it's real nice to get everything on 1 website. Thanks to the folks that set up this website! Folks here really appreciate the updates - I am swarmed by the locals when I'm on line here at the internet cafe.

#730 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 7:21 am

JTE50 wrote:
Typhoon Hunter wrote:
oaba09 wrote:Lupit is pretty much following JTWC's track accurately....Maybe they're the ones that got it right...

Every agency forecast I saw predicted Lupit to take a WSW track. The question is how close to Luzon will the centre get before a possible recurve situation or stall?

Thanks for posting those pics Jim, winds should pick up at your location tomorrow somewhat!

Many thanks James for the text updates! I will return the favor! I pull up S2K for the locals and get all the info for them real fast! With the slow internet here it's real nice to get everything on 1 website. Thanks to the folks that set up this website! Folks here really appreciate the updates - I am swarmed by the locals when I'm on line here at the internet cafe.

You're doing a great service to the locals there. Keep it up!

......

drdavisjr · #731 Postby **drdavisjr** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 7:49 am

I wish this storm would hurry up and recurve...it's way southeast of forecast.

#732 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 7:54 am

drdavisjr wrote:I wish this storm would hurry up and recurve...it's way southeast of forecast.

That kinda worries me a little bit......This typhoon is really unpredictable...

drdavisjr · #733 Postby **drdavisjr** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:01 am

oaba09 wrote:
drdavisjr wrote:I wish this storm would hurry up and recurve...it's way southeast of forecast.

That kinda worries me a little bit......This typhoon is really unpredictable...

Sometimes when you want something NOT to happen so bad, it happens...hopefully this is not the case w/Lupit.

drdavisjr · #734 Postby **drdavisjr** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:06 am

The government has all its resources up north, if this storm pulls a fast one on us and moves down to central Luzon, it will catch everyone by surprise.

By the way, all forecasts say this IS NOT going to happen.

#735 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:11 am

drdavisjr wrote:The government has all its resources up north, if this storm pulls a fast one on us and moves down to central Luzon, it will catch everyone by surprise.

By the way, all forecasts say this IS NOT going to happen.

Let's just pray for the best....We don't need another disaster...

#736 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:15 am

LATEST FROM JMA......APARRI MIGHT GET HIT AFTER ALL

#737 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:19 am

I wonder what the latest JTWC forecast will look like???

drdavisjr · #738 Postby **drdavisjr** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:20 am

Latest models. Look at the Air Force Weather model

#739 Postby **oaba09** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:21 am

drdavisjr wrote:

Latest models. Look at the Air Force Weather model

What the hell??? Is that even possible...Any thoughts from the experts here???

drdavisjr · #740 Postby **drdavisjr** » Wed Oct 21, 2009 8:25 am

my understanding is that is air force weather agency mm5 model...

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