EPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK (20E)

#221 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:40 pm

Linda has got to be scared now with SHIPS going for a peak of 160 kt...the pressure might be conservative too...

#222 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:41 pm

Also the 914mb pressure estimate makes this the third most intense storm ever in the EPAC.

#223 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:43 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Also the 914mb pressure estimate makes this the third most intense storm ever in the EPAC.

What was Linda lowest pressure?

#224 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:45 pm

cycloneye wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Also the 914mb pressure estimate makes this the third most intense storm ever in the EPAC.

What was Linda lowest pressure?

902mb was the estimated lowest pressure in Linda. Kenna was 913mb in 2002 (and that was Recon-confirmed).

#225 Postby **Kingarabian** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:45 pm

Lord have mercy!

Derek Ortt · #226 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:50 pm

SHIPS shows cat 1 at landfall

#227 Postby **Frank P** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:52 pm

Can you imagine the panic if this was in the GOM or off the east coast... too scary... makes me want to go add some more metal to my house... like that would do any good against this beast...

Ad Novoxium · #228 Postby **Ad Novoxium** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 7:59 pm

NOTE: This is not an official forecast. It is not to be treated as such.

What scares me is that I think there's a window of opportunity for Rick to seize Linda's record.

Crostorm · #229 Postby **Crostorm** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:08 pm

#230 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:09 pm

Frank P wrote:Can you imagine the panic if this was in the GOM or off the east coast... too scary... makes me want to go add some more metal to my house... like that would do any good against this beast...

After gusts, the eyewall is like an EF5 tornado that is 20 miles wide...NOTHING can withstand that. Luckily no land is in immediate danger. This board would be in insanity mode if this was sitting in the Gulf of Mexico right now...

Crostorm · #231 Postby **Crostorm** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:10 pm

Crostorm · #232 Postby **Crostorm** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:11 pm

#233 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:12 pm

Luckily no land is in immediate danger.

It will pass close to the Island of Socorro,a Mexican military place.

That dot is Socorro and the forecast is to pass just south and west.

Crostorm · #234 Postby **Crostorm** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:18 pm

Its nice to see this two

#235 Postby **srainhoutx** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:27 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:SHIPS shows cat 1 at landfall

MM5?

breeze · #236 Postby **breeze** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Luckily no land is in immediate danger.

It will pass close to the Island of Socorro,a Mexican military place.

That dot is Socorro and the forecast is to pass just south and west.

And wikipedia says there are approximately 250 Mexican military personnel and their
families living on the base there, which is on the southern tip of the island. I hope
they're evacuated from the island by now!

#237 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:37 pm

Derek Ortt · #238 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:39 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:SHIPS shows cat 1 at landfall

MM5?

did not run MM5 on the EPAC system

#239 Postby **srainhoutx** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:41 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:SHIPS shows cat 1 at landfall

MM5?

did not run MM5 on the EPAC system

Thanks Derek. :wink:

#240 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Oct 17, 2009 9:05 pm

I'd almost be willing to bump it to 155 kt with what it looks like now. My pressure guess is 907mb.

EPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK (20E)

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