90L continues to pulse up and down

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cycloneye
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90L continues to pulse up and down

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2003 12:11 pm

This morning it was organizing quite well as the LLC was inside the convection to the south side at that time but this afternoon it has gone to the down trend once again as the LLC is semiexposed and convection has weakened.The problem it faces is some shear from the SW that has weakened it this afternoon but now the question is if it will pulse to another up trend to organize or this is it for 90L.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Aug 04, 2003 12:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby wx247 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 12:15 pm

Up and down, all around, driving forecasters upside down. :lol: This is the theme song for 90L.
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#3 Postby Colin » Mon Aug 04, 2003 12:41 pm

LOL Garrett! :D I like that one! :P
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#4 Postby JCT777 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 1:03 pm

wx247 wrote:Up and down, all around, driving forecasters upside down. :lol: This is the theme song for 90L.


Wasn't that also Kyle's theme last year? :wink: :lol:
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 04, 2003 1:14 pm

LOL I like that one..garrett..It looks pretty pathetic right now though :roll: I guess it's pulsing down :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#6 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Aug 04, 2003 1:20 pm

wx247 wrote:Up and down, all around, driving forecasters upside down. :lol: This is the theme song for 90L.


So far this has been the theme for the entire 2003 Hurricane Season!!! :roll: :roll: :roll: :? :? :?
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#7 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 1:28 pm

I have a feeling the up and down will be coming to an end soon. Looking at the extended GFS it shows conditions becoming more favorable in the longer range. Of course thats not really earth shattering because Climo shows that by Mid-August things should heat up. Lets see if the GFS is on to something about the longer range pattern or just on something;):)
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#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 2:05 pm

Why would you think that if 90L's convection wanes that it doesn't have a chance? This was said a few days ago when the convection "disappeared," only to "reappear" this morning.

Again, as long as we have a circulation of some sort, development isn't out of the question.

Unlike the period of time when the upper levels were not condusive for development (earlier this weekend), now conditions are expected to be favorable for tropical development to the west and west-northwest of 90L.
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#9 Postby grentz7721 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 2:22 pm

This isn't pretty good. This could get confusing on whether 90L will delevop
or not. :roll:
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90L

#10 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 2:50 pm

Note on the latest high-res visible that there are two vortices - one near 17.4N/55.7W and one farther south near 15.3N/55.3W. The northern vortex appears to be a mid-level feature. The southern vortex is that same small vortex that has been tracking southeast of the convection. The disturbance looks pretty pitiful, by the way.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/03_ATL_90L.INVEST_ssmi_vis1km_full.htm
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#11 Postby wx247 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 3:15 pm

I guess it could be the theme song for Hurricane season in general. ;)
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ColdFront77

#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Aug 04, 2003 3:35 pm

Wxman, I am getting a "Not Found Error" with the link.
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rainstorm

#13 Postby rainstorm » Mon Aug 04, 2003 3:36 pm

big ull forming north of pr. not good
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#14 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Aug 04, 2003 3:42 pm

rainstorm wrote:big ull forming north of pr. not good


The ULL may not have any effects on it, Helen ... in fact, may turn out to be an outflow enhancer ... but, until 90L can show any hints of consolidation, it's not really going to matter much ...

SF
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 05, 2003 7:12 am

Well this morning is in the up swing once again but will it fade once again this afternoon as it did yesterday?Time will tell but if this trend of this morning sustains then recon will go out this afternoon.
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