ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)

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Re: Re:

#1821 Postby storms NC » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:I'm starting to think dissipation may occur as well. WV shows that the UL is dropping directly onto Danny. Has eroded most of the convection


Yeah, tops warming, convection decreasing. Die, Danny, die!


If you guys don't like storms then why would you have gone in to meteorology?
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Re: Re:

#1822 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:10 pm

storms NC wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:I'm starting to think dissipation may occur as well. WV shows that the UL is dropping directly onto Danny. Has eroded most of the convection


Yeah, tops warming, convection decreasing. Die, Danny, die!


If you guys don't like storms then why would you have gone in to meteorology?



this storm is just getting annoying now.. nothing seems to be changing.. its just sitting there .. lol
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Re: Re:

#1823 Postby 'CaneFreak » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:13 pm

this storm is just getting annoying now.. nothing seems to be changing.. its just sitting there .. lol


Come on Aric...don't even talk like that...If I have a category 2 Hurricane roll over Hatteras on Saturday, I am going to knock you up side the head :-)
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1824 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:15 pm

this storm is just getting annoying now.. nothing seems to be changing.. its just sitting there .. lol


Concentrate on 94L. :)
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Re:

#1825 Postby wxman57 » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:19 pm

OuterBanker wrote:Did anyone see if Danny signed a living will. Will someone pull the plug please.

This is agonizing.


NHC says it's getting better organized. I think they're talking about 94L, though.

As I always say, the center is always much easier to see without all that nasty convection obscuring the view.
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Re: Re:

#1826 Postby Shockwave » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:22 pm

'CaneFreak wrote:
this storm is just getting annoying now.. nothing seems to be changing.. its just sitting there .. lol


Come on Aric...don't even talk like that...If I have a category 2 Hurricane roll over Hatteras on Saturday, I am going to knock you up side the head :-)


No, if you have a Cat 2 at landfall...Danny will be knocking you upside your head. :D
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Re: Re:

#1827 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:23 pm

wxman57 wrote:
OuterBanker wrote:Did anyone see if Danny signed a living will. Will someone pull the plug please.

This is agonizing.


NHC says it's getting better organized. I think they're talking about 94L, though.

As I always say, the center is always much easier to see without all that nasty convection obscuring the view.

:lol: Nice to see some humor on the board. :wink:
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#1828 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:24 pm

bye bye Danny.... *Poofing" is on its way.....
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Re: Re:

#1829 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:25 pm

'CaneFreak wrote:
this storm is just getting annoying now.. nothing seems to be changing.. its just sitting there .. lol


Come on Aric...don't even talk like that...If I have a category 2 Hurricane roll over Hatteras on Saturday, I am going to knock you up side the head :-)

what well its is ... does not mean i like it any less ... just somethings got to give :P
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Re:

#1830 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:31 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:bye bye Danny.... *Poofing" is on its way.....


"Embedded within the deep easterlies, the depression tracked westnorthwestward at 20 miles per hour (32 km/h).[3] Initially, moderate wind shear prevented strengthening, though a decrease in shear allowed the depression to intensify into Tropical Storm Andrew at around 1200 UTC on August 17.[2] By early on August 18, the storm maintained concentrated convection near the center with spiral bands to its west as the winds increased to 50 miles per hour (80 km/h).[4] Shortly thereafter the thunderstorms decreased markedly during the diurnal minimum,[5] and as the storm turned to the northwest increased southwesterly wind shear from an upper-level low prevented Andrew from maintaining deep convection.[2] On August 19, a Hurricane Hunters flight into the storm failed to locate a well-defined center,[6] and the next day a flight found that the cyclone had degenerated to the extent that only a diffuse low-level circulation center remained; observations indicated the pressure rose to an unusually high 1015 mbar. The flight indicated Andrew maintained a vigorous circulation aloft, with winds of 80 miles per hour (130 km/h) recorded at flight level. Subsequently, the upper-level low weakened and split into a trough, which decreased the wind shear over the storm. Simultaneously, a strong high pressure cell developed over the southeastern United States, which built eastward and caused Andrew to turn to the west.[2] Convection became more organized as upper-level outflow became better established.[7] An eye formed, and Andrew attained hurricane status early on August 22 while located about 650 miles (1,050 km) eastsoutheast of Nassau, Bahamas.[2]

Six hours after becoming a hurricane, Andrew was predicted to make landfall near Jupiter, Florida with winds of 105 miles per hour (169 km/h).[8] The hurricane accelerated as it tracked due westward into an area of very favorable conditions, and late on August 22 began rapidly intensifying; in a 24 hour period the pressure dropped 47 mbar to a minimum pressure of 922 mbar.[2] On August 23 the cyclone...."

I know conditions are not identical, but nevertheless....
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Re: Re:

#1831 Postby 'CaneFreak » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:33 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
'CaneFreak wrote:
this storm is just getting annoying now.. nothing seems to be changing.. its just sitting there .. lol


Come on Aric...don't even talk like that...If I have a category 2 Hurricane roll over Hatteras on Saturday, I am going to knock you up side the head :-)

what well its is ... does not mean i like it any less ... just somethings got to give :P


Oh....something will give later tonight when this thing's well intact surface circulation hits the GS and starts ramping up... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Re:

#1832 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:40 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:bye bye Danny.... *Poofing" is on its way.....


"Embedded within the deep easterlies, the depression tracked westnorthwestward at 20 miles per hour (32 km/h).[3] Initially, moderate wind shear prevented strengthening, though a decrease in shear allowed the depression to intensify into Tropical Storm Andrew at around 1200 UTC on August 17.[2] By early on August 18, the storm maintained concentrated convection near the center with spiral bands to its west as the winds increased to 50 miles per hour (80 km/h).[4] Shortly thereafter the thunderstorms decreased markedly during the diurnal minimum,[5] and as the storm turned to the northwest increased southwesterly wind shear from an upper-level low prevented Andrew from maintaining deep convection.[2] On August 19, a Hurricane Hunters flight into the storm failed to locate a well-defined center,[6] and the next day a flight found that the cyclone had degenerated to the extent that only a diffuse low-level circulation center remained; observations indicated the pressure rose to an unusually high 1015 mbar. The flight indicated Andrew maintained a vigorous circulation aloft, with winds of 80 miles per hour (130 km/h) recorded at flight level. Subsequently, the upper-level low weakened and split into a trough, which decreased the wind shear over the storm. Simultaneously, a strong high pressure cell developed over the southeastern United States, which built eastward and caused Andrew to turn to the west.[2] Convection became more organized as upper-level outflow became better established.[7] An eye formed, and Andrew attained hurricane status early on August 22 while located about 650 miles (1,050 km) eastsoutheast of Nassau, Bahamas.[2]

Six hours after becoming a hurricane, Andrew was predicted to make landfall near Jupiter, Florida with winds of 105 miles per hour (169 km/h).[8] The hurricane accelerated as it tracked due westward into an area of very favorable conditions, and late on August 22 began rapidly intensifying; in a 24 hour period the pressure dropped 47 mbar to a minimum pressure of 922 mbar.[2] On August 23 the cyclone...."

I know conditions are not identical, but nevertheless....


I understand where you are coming from, but remember, past results does not equal future results... but I know, never say never...Just like I can never say that I'll never be struck by lightning either....
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#1833 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:41 pm

Maybe its just me but im looking at the loop and cant find a "center".
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Re: Re:

#1834 Postby kat61 » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:42 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:bye bye Danny.... *Poofing" is on its way.....


"Embedded within the deep easterlies, the depression tracked westnorthwestward at 20 miles per hour (32 km/h).[3] Initially, moderate wind shear prevented strengthening, though a decrease in shear allowed the depression to intensify into Tropical Storm Andrew at around 1200 UTC on August 17.[2] By early on August 18, the storm maintained concentrated convection near the center with spiral bands to its west as the winds increased to 50 miles per hour (80 km/h).[4] Shortly thereafter the thunderstorms decreased markedly during the diurnal minimum,[5] and as the storm turned to the northwest increased southwesterly wind shear from an upper-level low prevented Andrew from maintaining deep convection.[2] On August 19, a Hurricane Hunters flight into the storm failed to locate a well-defined center,[6] and the next day a flight found that the cyclone had degenerated to the extent that only a diffuse low-level circulation center remained; observations indicated the pressure rose to an unusually high 1015 mbar. The flight indicated Andrew maintained a vigorous circulation aloft, with winds of 80 miles per hour (130 km/h) recorded at flight level. Subsequently, the upper-level low weakened and split into a trough, which decreased the wind shear over the storm. Simultaneously, a strong high pressure cell developed over the southeastern United States, which built eastward and caused Andrew to turn to the west.[2] Convection became more organized as upper-level outflow became better established.[7] An eye formed, and Andrew attained hurricane status early on August 22 while located about 650 miles (1,050 km) eastsoutheast of Nassau, Bahamas.[2]

Six hours after becoming a hurricane, Andrew was predicted to make landfall near Jupiter, Florida with winds of 105 miles per hour (169 km/h).[8] The hurricane accelerated as it tracked due westward into an area of very favorable conditions, and late on August 22 began rapidly intensifying; in a 24 hour period the pressure dropped 47 mbar to a minimum pressure of 922 mbar.[2] On August 23 the cyclone...."

I know conditions are not identical, but nevertheless....




So does anyone think Danny is an Andrew? He's just stalking the coast like a perp! Sounds like we need a forensic meterologist! This info makes me concerned. Anything is possible. Thanks, all I will sure pay attention! :eek:
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#1835 Postby storms NC » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:47 pm

Well we are off to the races. The ULL is now moveing to the east and Danny is moveing to the west. So when will the turn to the WNW be? Then NW I don't think we will see a stright North turn for 48 hours at best JMO

Oh and the ULL is more south than they thought it would be too.
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Re:

#1836 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:52 pm

storms NC wrote:Well we are off to the races. The ULL is now moveing to the east and Danny is moveing to the west. So when will the turn to the WNW be? Then NW I don't think we will see a stright North turn for 48 hours at best JMO

Oh and the ULL is more south than they thought it would be too.

Please post a link(s) showing this so that others may learn.
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Re:

#1837 Postby storms NC » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:52 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:Maybe its just me but im looking at the loop and cant find a "center".


Image
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1838 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:54 pm

Thanks but I still dont see it. Not saying it isnt there though.
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Re: Re:

#1839 Postby storms NC » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:55 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
storms NC wrote:Well we are off to the races. The ULL is now moveing to the east and Danny is moveing to the west. So when will the turn to the WNW be? Then NW I don't think we will see a stright North turn for 48 hours at best JMO

Oh and the ULL is more south than they thought it would be too.

Please post a link(s) showing this so that others may learn.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
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Re: Re:

#1840 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:56 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:bye bye Danny.... *Poofing" is on its way.....


"Embedded within the deep easterlies, the depression tracked westnorthwestward at 20 miles per hour (32 km/h).[3] Initially, moderate wind shear prevented strengthening, though a decrease in shear allowed the depression to intensify into Tropical Storm Andrew at around 1200 UTC on August 17.[2] By early on August 18, the storm maintained concentrated convection near the center with spiral bands to its west as the winds increased to 50 miles per hour (80 km/h).[4] Shortly thereafter the thunderstorms decreased markedly during the diurnal minimum,[5] and as the storm turned to the northwest increased southwesterly wind shear from an upper-level low prevented Andrew from maintaining deep convection.[2] On August 19, a Hurricane Hunters flight into the storm failed to locate a well-defined center,[6] and the next day a flight found that the cyclone had degenerated to the extent that only a diffuse low-level circulation center remained; observations indicated the pressure rose to an unusually high 1015 mbar. The flight indicated Andrew maintained a vigorous circulation aloft, with winds of 80 miles per hour (130 km/h) recorded at flight level. Subsequently, the upper-level low weakened and split into a trough, which decreased the wind shear over the storm. Simultaneously, a strong high pressure cell developed over the southeastern United States, which built eastward and caused Andrew to turn to the west.[2] Convection became more organized as upper-level outflow became better established.[7] An eye formed, and Andrew attained hurricane status early on August 22 while located about 650 miles (1,050 km) eastsoutheast of Nassau, Bahamas.[2]

Six hours after becoming a hurricane, Andrew was predicted to make landfall near Jupiter, Florida with winds of 105 miles per hour (169 km/h).[8] The hurricane accelerated as it tracked due westward into an area of very favorable conditions, and late on August 22 began rapidly intensifying; in a 24 hour period the pressure dropped 47 mbar to a minimum pressure of 922 mbar.[2] On August 23 the cyclone...."

I know conditions are not identical, but nevertheless....


Didn't you compare Bill to Andrew last week?

Come on now. That is BEYOND ridiculous. This is no Andrew. Find me a powerful ridge to the north then we'll talk. Danny is not going to Florida.
Last edited by Brent on Thu Aug 27, 2009 5:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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