ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 262203
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 11 20090826
215330 2529N 07524W 5775 04753 0086 +024 -131 047009 010 004 000 03
215400 2528N 07521W 5753 04782 0085 +022 -136 052009 010 003 000 03
215430 2528N 07519W 5723 04826 0090 +018 -134 049009 010 007 000 03
215500 2528N 07516W 5726 04821 0089 +019 -147 047009 009 005 000 03
215530 2528N 07514W 5727 04820 0089 +020 -191 054008 009 005 000 03
215600 2527N 07511W 5727 04819 0088 +021 -216 056009 009 006 000 03
215630 2527N 07509W 5728 04817 0085 +022 -199 055009 011 006 000 00
215700 2527N 07506W 5727 04818 0089 +017 -124 050011 012 023 002 03
215730 2527N 07504W 5728 04817 0090 +013 -044 050012 015 018 004 03
215800 2526N 07501W 5728 04817 0089 +019 -202 048010 010 999 999 03
215830 2526N 07459W 5728 04817 0086 +021 -206 044010 010 999 999 03
215900 2526N 07456W 5728 04816 0087 +021 -213 048010 011 011 000 03
215930 2525N 07454W 5727 04817 0091 +018 -211 057010 010 008 000 03
220000 2525N 07451W 5729 04816 0091 +019 -198 055011 011 005 000 03
220030 2524N 07449W 5729 04815 0087 +020 -215 038010 010 005 000 03
220100 2524N 07446W 5728 04816 0083 +022 -193 039010 010 004 000 03
220130 2523N 07444W 5730 04812 0082 +022 -199 038010 011 004 000 03
220200 2523N 07442W 5729 04813 0081 +022 -192 030010 010 999 999 03
220230 2522N 07439W 5729 04813 0081 +022 -194 030010 010 005 000 03
220300 2522N 07437W 5729 04813 0081 +022 -199 031010 011 006 000 03

[greg_kfdm_tv]

The low level swirl is now tucking in under the deep convection just east of the center. Look for some gradual intensification tonight.

[massweathernet]

The low level swirl is now tucking in under the deep convection just east of the center. Look for some gradual intensification tonight.

[MGC]

I don't think the center is going to reform to the NE. Convection is now starting to fire near the center. Lets see if this trend continues. If the center does reform than the risk to NC and Cape Cod will be reduced.....MGC

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 262213
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 12 20090826
220330 2522N 07434W 5730 04812 0079 +023 -203 030011 012 006 000 03
220400 2521N 07432W 5730 04811 0076 +024 -193 029012 012 005 000 03
220430 2521N 07429W 5729 04813 0076 +025 -194 026011 012 005 000 03
220500 2520N 07427W 5730 04812 0077 +024 -197 029011 011 007 000 03
220530 2520N 07424W 5730 04812 0079 +024 -194 031011 011 006 000 03
220600 2520N 07422W 5730 04812 0078 +024 -186 033011 012 005 000 03
220630 2519N 07419W 5731 04811 0070 +025 -126 028012 013 007 000 03
220700 2519N 07417W 5716 04830 0078 +021 -153 029010 012 008 000 03
220730 2518N 07415W 5716 04832 0067 +021 -039 024010 010 007 001 03
220800 2518N 07412W 5716 04830 0071 +022 -081 029011 011 006 000 03
220830 2518N 07410W 5716 04830 0070 +022 -109 027011 012 005 000 00
220900 2517N 07407W 5717 04829 0074 +025 -221 021012 012 007 000 03
220930 2517N 07405W 5717 04829 0069 +026 -177 013012 013 006 000 03
221000 2516N 07402W 5717 04829 0068 +026 -176 015013 013 009 000 03
221030 2516N 07400W 5718 04827 0066 +028 -178 010013 015 007 000 03
221100 2516N 07357W 5708 04839 0063 +027 -191 012013 015 012 000 03
221130 2515N 07355W 5618 04968 0063 +018 -151 009010 011 008 000 03
221200 2515N 07352W 5601 04993 0068 +015 -168 004009 009 005 000 03
221230 2515N 07350W 5601 04993 0065 +015 -131 005009 010 008 000 00
221300 2514N 07348W 5601 04993 0068 +015 -185 007009 010 008 000 03

[storms NC]

I don't think the center is going to reform to the NE. Convection is now starting to fire near the center. Lets see if this trend continues. If the center does reform than the risk to NC and Cape Cod will be reduced.....MGC

I think you be right.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 262223
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 13 20090826
221330 2514N 07345W 5601 04993 0064 +016 -150 006009 009 999 999 03
221400 2514N 07343W 5601 04992 0062 +018 -183 010008 008 999 999 03
221430 2514N 07341W 5601 04991 0062 +018 -203 008007 007 005 000 03
221500 2514N 07338W 5602 04991 0061 +018 -181 007007 007 005 000 00
221530 2514N 07336W 5602 04991 0062 +018 -172 007007 008 010 003 03
221600 2514N 07333W 5602 04990 0060 +018 -158 004007 008 999 999 03
221630 2514N 07331W 5602 04991 0060 +019 -192 359009 010 999 999 03
221700 2514N 07328W 5602 04991 0060 +020 -223 002009 009 006 000 03
221730 2514N 07326W 5602 04990 0057 +020 -180 356009 009 007 000 03
221800 2515N 07323W 5602 04989 0058 +020 -211 355009 010 007 000 03
221830 2515N 07320W 5603 04989 0056 +021 -211 353009 009 011 000 03
221900 2515N 07318W 5603 04989 0053 +022 -187 346007 008 009 000 00
221930 2515N 07315W 5602 04988 0054 +021 -174 348007 007 019 000 03
222000 2515N 07313W 5603 04987 0060 +019 -212 350009 010 014 000 03
222030 2515N 07310W 5603 04987 0063 +017 -234 348010 011 013 000 03
222100 2515N 07308W 5603 04986 0058 +019 -201 342009 009 010 000 03
222130 2515N 07305W 5603 04986 0059 +019 -228 346009 009 008 000 03
222200 2515N 07303W 5603 04986 0061 +018 -210 350010 010 007 000 03
222230 2515N 07300W 5603 04986 0061 +018 -210 351010 010 005 000 03
222300 2515N 07258W 5604 04985 0060 +018 -202 349010 011 009 000 03

[wxman57]

I don't think the center is going to reform to the NE. Convection is now starting to fire near the center. Lets see if this trend continues. If the center does reform than the risk to NC and Cape Cod will be reduced.....MGC

I believe it already has reformed to the north and slightly east. It's certainly not near 25.2N/71.2W. Low-level cloud elements are moving from west to east as far as 25.5N. I put it closer to 26N now and closer to 71W. But it's not very tight. Hard to identify. I wasn't suggesting a major reformation well north and east, just that it's not near 25.2N any more.

[Dave]

[drezee]

though likely invalid....a ship reported 60 mph SE wind last hour well NE of the center...

SHIP S 2100 28.50 -73.20 225 332 120 52.1 - - - - - - - 82.4

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 262233
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 14 20090826
222330 2515N 07255W 5603 04985 0063 +016 -203 348011 011 012 000 03
222400 2515N 07252W 5604 04985 0062 +017 -188 347011 011 007 000 00
222430 2515N 07250W 5604 04984 0061 +017 -191 349010 010 012 000 03
222500 2515N 07247W 5605 04983 0062 +016 -164 353010 010 006 000 00
222530 2515N 07245W 5605 04982 0057 +016 -105 353010 010 004 000 03
222600 2515N 07242W 5604 04984 0055 +018 -135 358009 010 006 000 03
222630 2515N 07240W 5607 04981 0055 +020 -177 353009 010 004 000 03
222700 2515N 07237W 5714 04826 0057 +027 -135 002009 010 999 999 03
222730 2515N 07235W 5850 04635 0053 +038 -051 004009 009 999 999 03
222800 2515N 07233W 5992 04441 0055 +050 -044 000010 010 999 999 03
222830 2515N 07230W 6138 04244 0058 +060 -022 356008 009 999 999 03
222900 2515N 07228W 6287 04047 0057 +073 -010 012009 010 999 999 03
222930 2515N 07226W 6426 03866 0067 +081 -086 022011 012 999 999 03
223000 2515N 07223W 6442 03846 0063 +084 -058 014010 010 999 999 03
223030 2515N 07221W 6440 03848 0063 +085 -096 007009 010 999 999 03
223100 2515N 07219W 6440 03849 0060 +087 -063 007008 008 999 999 03
223130 2515N 07217W 6440 03849 0065 +087 -144 011008 009 999 999 03
223200 2515N 07214W 6440 03849 0058 +090 -139 019009 009 999 999 03
223230 2515N 07212W 6442 03847 0057 +091 -126 027008 009 999 999 03
223300 2515N 07209W 6441 03849 0057 +092 -175 033008 008 999 999 03

[wxman57]

though likely invalid....a ship reported 60 mph SE wind last hour well NE of the center...

SHIP S 2100 28.50 -73.20 225 332 120 52.1 - - - - - - - 82.4

That's certainly not representative of the wind field 200 miles NNE of the center (see image below with the report). The only possibility may have been that the observation was taken as one of those arc clouds/outflow boundaries was radiating outward from the convection north of the center passed. Buoy 125 miles southeast of that ship has ENE wind 35 kts.

[webke]

It is showing a healthy burst in this link.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... g&itype=wv

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 262243
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 15 20090826
223330 2515N 07207W 6441 03846 0054 +091 -085 037007 008 999 999 03
223400 2514N 07205W 6443 03845 0058 +088 -064 034008 008 999 999 03
223430 2514N 07202W 6441 03847 0055 +090 -075 042008 009 999 999 03
223500 2513N 07200W 6442 03845 0055 +090 -098 037008 009 005 000 03
223530 2512N 07158W 6442 03844 0062 +088 -175 015007 008 999 999 03
223600 2511N 07156W 6443 03844 0060 +085 -047 002008 008 999 999 03
223630 2510N 07154W 6441 03846 0065 +084 -074 354007 008 999 999 03
223700 2510N 07152W 6442 03846 0071 +080 -096 350007 007 999 999 03
223730 2510N 07149W 6443 03844 0079 +076 -128 343006 007 999 999 03
223800 2509N 07147W 6442 03846 0076 +077 -124 337005 006 999 999 03
223830 2510N 07145W 6443 03843 0072 +079 -089 327005 005 999 999 03
223900 2510N 07142W 6442 03845 0079 +076 -150 328004 004 999 999 03
223930 2509N 07140W 6445 03841 0074 +075 -049 331005 006 999 999 03
224000 2508N 07138W 6442 03844 0082 +074 -172 325007 007 999 999 03
224030 2507N 07136W 6443 03843 0081 +070 -048 313006 007 999 999 03
224100 2506N 07134W 6442 03843 0080 +071 -049 303006 006 999 999 03
224130 2507N 07131W 6442 03844 0085 +072 -159 301005 006 999 999 03
224200 2507N 07129W 6442 03844 0081 +070 -064 300004 004 999 999 03
224230 2507N 07126W 6438 03850 0086 +069 -100 308002 004 999 999 03
224300 2507N 07124W 6427 03863 0084 +070 -113 324003 005 021 002 03

[drezee]

though likely invalid....a ship reported 60 mph SE wind last hour well NE of the center...

SHIP S 2100 28.50 -73.20 225 332 120 52.1 - - - - - - - 82.4

That's certainly not representative of the wind field 200 miles NNE of the center (see image below with the report). The only possibility may have been that the observation was taken as one of those arc clouds/outflow boundaries was radiating outward from the convection north of the center passed. Buoy 125 miles southeast of that ship has ENE wind 35 kts.

right it is NW of the center...either invalid or an insane outflow boundary...

[Dave]

[jlauderdal]

though likely invalid....a ship reported 60 mph SE wind last hour well NE of the center...

SHIP S 2100 28.50 -73.20 225 332 120 52.1 - - - - - - - 82.4

drunken sailor report. the instruments on those vessels are suspect at best as are the people doing the reporting

[Dave]

URNT15 KWBC 262253
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 16 20090826
224330 2506N 07122W 6449 03834 0080 +069 -025 322003 004 999 999 03
224400 2506N 07119W 6421 03870 0082 +071 -115 316002 004 007 000 03
224430 2506N 07117W 6438 03849 0084 +066 -015 227003 004 999 999 03
224500 2506N 07114W 6433 03856 0086 +066 -037 242003 004 004 000 03
224530 2506N 07112W 6433 03856 0080 +065 +036 242003 003 999 999 03
224600 2506N 07110W 6433 03857 0080 +066 +032 224003 003 004 000 03
224630 2506N 07107W 6433 03857 0079 +066 +034 194002 002 999 999 03
224700 2506N 07105W 6433 03856 0079 +067 +031 175003 004 004 000 03
224730 2506N 07102W 6435 03855 0078 +068 +020 186004 006 003 000 03
224800 2506N 07100W 6434 03855 0075 +070 +017 162003 004 999 999 03
224830 2506N 07058W 6434 03854 0072 +072 +018 166003 003 999 999 03
224900 2506N 07055W 6434 03854 0077 +069 -001 169006 007 999 999 03
224930 2506N 07053W 6433 03854 0077 +069 -003 177007 008 999 999 03
225000 2506N 07051W 6433 03855 0074 +070 -003 190008 008 999 999 03
225030 2506N 07048W 6434 03853 0074 +071 -004 192008 009 999 999 03
225100 2506N 07046W 6434 03853 0073 +071 +008 195009 010 999 999 03
225130 2506N 07043W 6435 03853 0071 +070 +037 200009 009 999 999 03
225200 2506N 07041W 6434 03852 0070 +069 +049 208009 011 999 999 03
225230 2506N 07039W 6435 03853 0070 +072 +021 199009 009 999 999 03
225300 2506N 07036W 6434 03853 0073 +072 +001 199010 010 999 999 03

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 262303
NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 HDOB 17 20090826
225330 2506N 07034W 6434 03853 0075 +071 +003 196011 011 999 999 03
225400 2506N 07031W 6435 03853 0075 +071 +007 200012 012 004 000 03
225430 2506N 07029W 6434 03854 0075 +071 +003 200011 012 006 000 03
225500 2506N 07026W 6435 03853 0077 +070 +003 195011 011 006 000 03
225530 2506N 07024W 6434 03854 0076 +070 +002 201011 011 004 000 03
225600 2506N 07022W 6435 03854 0076 +071 +000 202011 011 999 999 03
225630 2506N 07019W 6435 03854 0077 +070 +000 199011 011 999 999 03
225700 2506N 07017W 6435 03855 0078 +070 -004 198011 011 999 999 03
225730 2506N 07014W 6435 03855 0079 +070 -015 204011 011 002 000 03
225800 2506N 07012W 6434 03856 0079 +071 -021 203012 012 999 999 03
225830 2506N 07010W 6436 03855 0079 +071 -016 207012 013 004 000 03
225900 2506N 07007W 6435 03854 0078 +071 -010 188022 041 006 000 03
225930 2506N 07005W 6435 03855 0079 +071 -009 216014 014 005 000 03
230000 2506N 07002W 6437 03853 0080 +070 +000 214015 016 006 000 00
230030 2506N 07000W 6435 03856 0085 +066 +005 209017 018 004 000 03
230100 2506N 06957W 6434 03857 0082 +069 +003 217016 016 005 000 03
230130 2506N 06955W 6435 03857 0083 +068 +002 214016 017 006 000 00
230200 2506N 06952W 6436 03855 0082 +069 +009 216017 017 006 000 00
230230 2506N 06950W 6435 03857 0080 +070 +007 214018 019 014 000 03
230300 2506N 06948W 6435 03857 0081 +070 +008 212019 019 008 000 03

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KWBC 262305
XXAA 76237 99251 70705 08050 99009 26224 20525 00076 25825 20025
92760 21203 21521 85492 18002 20520 70136 10457 18513 88999 77999
31313 09608 82254
61616 NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 OB 04
62626 REL 2510N07050W 225419 SPG 2512N07049W 225923 WL150 20025 0
85 DLM WND 20018 008644 MBL WND 20522=

XXBB 76238 99251 70705 08050 00009 26224 11001 26025 22947 22608
33907 20601 44735 11818 55729 12058 66657 08059 77644 07257
21212 00009 20525 11001 20025 22877 21522 33845 20518 44834 18518
55813 20517 66803 19018 77779 21018 88696 18513 99652 18512 11646
21512 22644 20012
31313 09608 82254
61616 NOAA3 WXWXA DANNY1 OB 04
62626 REL 2510N07050W 225419 SPG 2512N07049W 225923 WL150 20025 0
85 DLM WND 20018 008644 MBL WND 20522=