ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)

[canes04]

They need to go west, the low is forming there and moving west.
we will see a major shift in the models tomorrow.

[HURAKAN]

For those that wanted the image to be less blurry!!!

[RattleMan]

A bunch of 240-235,WSW winds.

URNT15 KNHC 252021
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 10 20090825
201030 2221N 06433W 9774 00303 0117 +240 +155 157017 018 019 004 00
201100 2223N 06434W 9772 00304 0117 +240 +156 157018 019 018 004 00
201130 2224N 06435W 9772 00306 0117 +240 +156 157018 019 018 004 00
201200 2225N 06436W 9772 00304 0117 +240 +157 156018 018 019 002 00
201230 2227N 06437W 9772 00306 0118 +240 +158 153018 018 020 003 00
201300 2228N 06438W 9769 00308 0118 +240 +158 151018 018 017 004 00
201330 2229N 06440W 9772 00305 0118 +240 +159 150017 018 017 004 00
201400 2231N 06441W 9773 00304 0119 +240 +159 153017 018 015 004 00
201430 2232N 06442W 9770 00307 0118 +240 +160 154017 018 017 004 00
201500 2233N 06443W 9767 00310 0118 +240 +160 153018 019 017 004 00
201530 2235N 06444W 9770 00306 0118 +239 +160 150016 017 017 004 00
201600 2236N 06445W 9770 00306 0118 +235 +161 150017 018 016 004 00
201630 2237N 06446W 9770 00304 0117 +235 +161 150019 019 016 005 00
201700 2239N 06448W 9770 00305 0117 +235 +161 152019 020 018 005 00
201730 2240N 06449W 9770 00305 0117 +235 +161 155020 021 019 004 00
201800 2241N 06450W 9770 00305 0116 +235 +161 153021 022 021 005 00
201830 2243N 06451W 9771 00304 0116 +235 +161 153022 022 021 005 00
201900 2244N 06452W 9771 00301 0115 +235 +161 152023 024 024 003 00
201930 2245N 06453W 9773 00300 0115 +235 +160 153023 023 022 005 00
202000 2247N 06455W 9770 00304 0115 +235 +161 151021 022 020 005 00
$$

Thats the temperature.

The winds are 150 or so.

202000 2247N 06455W 9770 00304 0115 +235 +161 151021 022 020 005 00

Code: Select all

TIME        Latit.    Long.    Plane. Prs.   Height   Pressure   Temp   Dew Pt.   Dir, 30s mean   FL    SFMR   Precip   QC
20:10:30z   22.21°N   64.33°W   977.4 hPa   303m   1001.7 hPa   24.0°C   15.5°C   157° @ 017kt   18kt   19kt   4mm   OK
20:11:00z   22.23°N   64.34°W   977.2 hPa   304m   1001.7 hPa   24.0°C   15.6°C   157° @ 018kt   19kt   18kt   4mm   OK
20:11:30z   22.24°N   64.35°W   977.2 hPa   306m   1001.7 hPa   24.0°C   15.6°C   157° @ 018kt   19kt   18kt   4mm   OK
20:12:00z   22.25°N   64.36°W   977.2 hPa   304m   1001.7 hPa   24.0°C   15.7°C   156° @ 018kt   18kt   19kt   2mm   OK
20:12:30z   22.27°N   64.37°W   977.2 hPa   306m   1001.8 hPa   24.0°C   15.8°C   153° @ 018kt   18kt   20kt   3mm   OK
20:13:00z   22.28°N   64.38°W   976.9 hPa   308m   1001.8 hPa   24.0°C   15.8°C   151° @ 018kt   18kt   17kt   4mm   OK
20:13:30z   22.29°N   64.40°W   977.2 hPa   305m   1001.8 hPa   24.0°C   15.9°C   150° @ 017kt   18kt   17kt   4mm   OK
20:14:00z   22.31°N   64.41°W   977.3 hPa   304m   1001.9 hPa   24.0°C   15.9°C   153° @ 017kt   18kt   15kt   4mm   OK
20:14:30z   22.32°N   64.42°W   977.0 hPa   307m   1001.8 hPa   24.0°C   16.0°C   154° @ 017kt   18kt   17kt   4mm   OK
20:15:00z   22.33°N   64.43°W   976.7 hPa   310m   1001.8 hPa   24.0°C   16.0°C   153° @ 018kt   19kt   17kt   4mm   OK
20:15:30z   22.35°N   64.44°W   977.0 hPa   306m   1001.8 hPa   23.9°C   16.0°C   150° @ 016kt   17kt   17kt   4mm   OK
20:16:00z   22.36°N   64.45°W   977.0 hPa   306m   1001.8 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   150° @ 017kt   18kt   16kt   4mm   OK
20:16:30z   22.37°N   64.46°W   977.0 hPa   304m   1001.7 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   150° @ 019kt   19kt   16kt   5mm   OK
20:17:00z   22.39°N   64.48°W   977.0 hPa   305m   1001.7 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   152° @ 019kt   20kt   18kt   5mm   OK
20:17:30z   22.40°N   64.49°W   977.0 hPa   305m   1001.7 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   155° @ 020kt   21kt   19kt   4mm   OK
20:18:00z   22.41°N   64.50°W   977.0 hPa   305m   1001.6 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   153° @ 021kt   22kt   21kt   5mm   OK
20:18:30z   22.43°N   64.51°W   977.1 hPa   304m   1001.6 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   153° @ 022kt   22kt   21kt   5mm   OK
20:19:00z   22.44°N   64.52°W   977.1 hPa   301m   1001.5 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   152° @ 023kt   24kt   24kt   3mm   OK
20:19:30z   22.45°N   64.53°W   977.3 hPa   300m   1001.5 hPa   23.5°C   16.0°C   153° @ 023kt   23kt   22kt   5mm   OK
20:20:00z   22.47°N   64.55°W   977.0 hPa   304m   1001.5 hPa   23.5°C   16.1°C   151° @ 021kt   22kt   20kt   5mm   OK


[cycloneye]

SSE winds so far,Plane heading NW to see if they can find that west wind.

[Aric Dunn]

location of vorts... they are rotating around a broad area it seems.. consolidation must occur to see any major development..

[Sanibel]

Bet on the blue circle son. No Florida-cast track changes.


That west center appears to be under the ULL:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

[cycloneye]

More SSE winds.

URNT15 KNHC 252033
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 11 20090825
202030 2248N 06456W 9771 00302 0115 +235 +161 154019 020 022 004 00
202100 2249N 06457W 9772 00303 0115 +235 +161 153021 021 021 006 00
202130 2251N 06458W 9768 00305 0115 +235 +161 153021 022 025 004 00
202200 2252N 06459W 9772 00303 0115 +235 +161 154021 021 021 005 00
202230 2253N 06501W 9769 00305 0116 +235 +161 152021 022 022 004 00
202300 2255N 06502W 9770 00303 0116 +235 +161 151020 020 021 004 00
202330 2256N 06503W 9771 00304 0116 +235 +160 151020 021 019 005 00
202400 2258N 06504W 9770 00304 0116 +235 +161 151021 021 022 005 00
202430 2259N 06505W 9771 00303 0116 +235 +160 151019 020 020 005 03
202500 2300N 06507W 9765 00307 0116 +234 +161 150018 019 013 005 03
202530 2300N 06508W 9771 00304 0115 +234 +162 154018 018 018 004 00
202600 2300N 06510W 9768 00304 0115 +233 +163 153019 019 018 004 00
202630 2300N 06512W 9769 00304 0114 +231 +163 154019 019 018 005 00
202700 2300N 06514W 9772 00301 0114 +231 +163 153018 019 020 004 00
202730 2300N 06516W 9772 00301 0114 +232 +163 153018 019 021 005 00
202800 2300N 06517W 9770 00302 0113 +231 +162 153019 019 020 004 00
202830 2300N 06519W 9769 00303 0113 +231 +162 151019 019 018 005 00
202900 2300N 06521W 9770 00303 0113 +234 +162 154018 018 019 004 00
202930 2300N 06523W 9769 00302 0112 +235 +162 151018 019 022 004 00
203000 2300N 06524W 9770 00302 0112 +234 +162 150020 020 019 005 00
$$

[RL3AO]

[HURAKAN]

[baitism]

Ill bet on yellow.

[HURAKAN]

So far no surprises from the RECON and I don't think we will be surprised.

[Aric Dunn]

latest euro...

first 48 hours is south more then starts in nnw and N ... but starts to lose its identity ...

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMW ... floop.html

[HURRICANELONNY]

If there is a center. I'm sure recon will find it. It looks to me like a very broad center right now. Still has alot of shear to contend with. The visible loop looks like a center is trying to form further west while all the convection is east of it. That's what it looks like to my naked eye.

[cycloneye]

SE to ESE winds.

URNT15 KNHC 252041
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 12 20090825
203030 2300N 06526W 9770 00302 0112 +232 +162 148019 020 021 004 00
203100 2300N 06528W 9772 00299 0112 +230 +163 145018 018 019 003 00
203130 2300N 06530W 9770 00301 0112 +231 +163 144018 019 020 003 00
203200 2300N 06531W 9770 00300 0112 +230 +163 140017 018 013 005 00
203230 2300N 06533W 9769 00300 0112 +230 +163 139016 017 017 004 00
203300 2300N 06535W 9769 00300 0111 +230 +163 138016 017 015 005 00
203330 2300N 06537W 9770 00297 0110 +230 +163 140016 016 016 004 00
203400 2300N 06539W 9769 00300 0110 +230 +163 140016 016 017 003 00
203430 2300N 06540W 9771 00298 0110 +230 +163 138015 016 016 004 00
203500 2300N 06542W 9772 00298 0110 +230 +163 135015 015 013 004 00
203530 2300N 06544W 9769 00300 0110 +230 +163 130014 015 011 005 00
203600 2300N 06546W 9770 00299 0111 +230 +163 127014 015 012 004 00
203630 2300N 06547W 9770 00299 0111 +230 +163 122013 013 014 004 00
203700 2300N 06549W 9770 00300 0111 +230 +163 122013 014 012 004 00
203730 2300N 06551W 9769 00300 0111 +229 +163 119013 014 010 004 00
203800 2300N 06553W 9770 00297 0111 +230 +163 117013 013 015 003 00
203830 2300N 06555W 9768 00300 0111 +230 +163 113013 013 018 002 00
203900 2300N 06556W 9772 00297 0111 +230 +164 109013 014 018 002 00
203930 2300N 06558W 9770 00299 0111 +227 +164 105014 014 014 004 00
204000 2300N 06600W 9772 00297 0111 +229 +164 105014 014 012 004 03

[Aric Dunn]

so its looking like if there is a something forming at the surface its more towards the vort to the sw... since they are finding se to ese as they head west..

[RL3AO]

[gatorcane]

[RL3AO]

[cycloneye]

Winds are more light in part of this set.

URNT15 KNHC 252050
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 13 20090825
204030 2301N 06602W 9764 00303 0111 +229 +164 106014 015 999 999 03
204100 2302N 06601W 9766 00302 0110 +229 +165 122014 014 002 005 03
204130 2303N 06600W 9772 00296 0110 +229 +166 121013 014 007 004 00
204200 2304N 06559W 9771 00298 0109 +230 +166 124014 014 007 005 00
204230 2305N 06558W 9771 00295 0108 +230 +166 125013 014 007 005 00
204300 2306N 06557W 9771 00297 0108 +229 +166 126013 014 009 005 00
204330 2307N 06555W 9771 00296 0108 +229 +166 130013 014 009 004 00
204400 2309N 06554W 9770 00297 0108 +230 +166 133013 013 008 005 00
204430 2310N 06553W 9770 00296 0107 +230 +166 136013 014 008 005 00
204500 2311N 06552W 9770 00296 0107 +231 +166 139015 015 012 004 00
204530 2312N 06551W 9772 00294 0107 +230 +166 141015 015 010 004 00
204600 2313N 06550W 9771 00295 0107 +230 +166 144016 016 010 005 00
204630 2314N 06548W 9770 00295 0106 +231 +166 146017 017 014 005 00
204700 2316N 06547W 9772 00294 0106 +230 +166 149018 018 015 004 00
204730 2317N 06546W 9770 00296 0106 +230 +167 148019 019 017 004 00
204800 2318N 06545W 9769 00295 0106 +230 +167 150019 019 020 004 00
204830 2319N 06544W 9769 00294 0105 +230 +167 152020 020 017 005 00
204900 2320N 06543W 9772 00294 0105 +230 +167 151020 020 015 006 00
204930 2321N 06541W 9772 00294 0106 +230 +168 151020 021 017 006 00
205000 2323N 06540W 9770 00295 0106 +231 +168 152021 022 019 005 00
$$

[cycloneye]

More SE to ESE winds.

URNT15 KNHC 252100
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 14 20090825
205030 2324N 06539W 9770 00294 0106 +230 +168 154023 024 022 004 00
205100 2325N 06538W 9770 00295 0106 +230 +169 152025 025 022 005 00
205130 2326N 06537W 9768 00297 0106 +231 +169 153024 025 025 003 00
205200 2327N 06535W 9770 00296 0106 +235 +169 148025 025 024 005 00
205230 2329N 06534W 9771 00295 0107 +233 +169 146026 026 023 006 00
205300 2330N 06533W 9771 00297 0109 +232 +170 144026 027 026 005 00
205330 2331N 06532W 9770 00298 0110 +234 +170 139026 026 024 006 00
205400 2332N 06531W 9769 00301 0111 +235 +171 136026 027 024 006 00
205430 2334N 06530W 9772 00299 0111 +235 +172 137026 027 027 004 00
205500 2335N 06529W 9768 00302 0112 +235 +172 134027 028 026 006 00
205530 2336N 06528W 9770 00300 0112 +235 +173 132029 029 030 007 00
205600 2338N 06527W 9771 00301 0115 +219 +173 111035 038 039 006 00
205630 2339N 06526W 9769 00302 0114 +221 +172 111040 041 041 007 00
205700 2340N 06525W 9772 00300 0114 +225 +170 116037 037 040 005 00
205730 2341N 06524W 9771 00302 0116 +224 +168 111039 040 041 003 00
205800 2342N 06524W 9772 00301 0117 +220 +167 107041 042 040 003 00
205830 2344N 06523W 9768 00305 0117 +222 +166 110041 041 044 000 00
205900 2345N 06522W 9771 00303 0118 +222 +165 107043 045 042 006 00
205930 2346N 06521W 9776 00300 0118 +219 +165 103047 048 044 005 00
210000 2347N 06520W 9767 00308 0120 +217 +164 106046 047 044 004 00