17 Years Ago...South Florida
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- Dr. Strangelove
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
Jim Cantore with hair, and the weather channel talking about weather? What a difference 17 years makes.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
The upgrade surely turned out to be warranted, Andrew was clearly a Cat 5 at landfall based on all available data. In fact, it may have been even stronger still at times. Here is what I think the BT was after looking at the report and graphics. Red indicates stronger than the revised BT, green indicates weaker, blue indicates other revisions.
No changes until 20/1200
20 / 1200 21.7 60.7 1015 45 (40, 40)
20 / 1800 22.5 61.5 1014 45 (40, 40)
21 / 0000 23.2 62.4 1014 50 (45, 45)
21 / 0600 23.9 63.3 1010 50 (45, 45)
21 / 1200 24.4 64.2 1007 55 (50, 50)
21 / 1800 24.8 64.9 1004 50 (50, 50)
22 / 0000 25.3 65.9 1000 55 (55, 55)
22 / 0600 25.6 67.0 994 65 (65, 60) hurricane
22 / 1200 25.8 68.3 981 80 (80, 70)
22 / 1800 25.7 69.7 967 100 (95, 80)
23 / 0000 25.6 71.1 957 110 (110, 90)
23 / 0600 25.5 72.5 943 130 (130, 105)
23 / 1200 25.4 74.2 935 150 (145, 120)
23 / 1800 25.4 75.8 923 155 (150, 135)
24 / 0000 25.4 77.5 932 135 (125, 125)
24 / 0600 25.4 79.3 932 140 (130, 120)
24 / 1200 25.6 81.2 942 120 (115, 110)
24 / 1800 25.8 83.1 947 115 (115, 115)
25 / 0000 26.2 85.0 945 115 (115, 115)
25 / 0600 26.6 86.7 950 110 (115, 115)
25 / 1200 27.2 88.2 946 115 (120, 115)
25 / 1800 27.8 89.6 941 125 (125, 120)
26 / 0000 28.5 90.5 937 120 (125, 120)
26 / 0600 29.2 91.3 952 110 (120, 115)
26 / 1200 30.1 91.7 968 85 (80, 80)
Changes end at 26/0600.
23 / 1730 25.4 75.4 922 155 (150, 135) minimum pressure
24 / 0905 25.5 80.3 922 150 (145, 125) minimum pressure
23 / 2100 25.4 76.6 925 145 (140, 130) Eleuthera landfall
24 / 0100 25.4 77.8 933 130 (130, 125) Berry Is. landfall
24 / 0840 25.5 80.2 926 150 (145, 125) Elliott Key, FL landfall
24 / 0905 25.5 80.3 922 150 (145, 125) Fender Point, FL landfall
26 / 0830 29.6 91.5 956 100 (100, 105) Pt. Chevreuil, LA landfall
No changes until 20/1200
20 / 1200 21.7 60.7 1015 45 (40, 40)
20 / 1800 22.5 61.5 1014 45 (40, 40)
21 / 0000 23.2 62.4 1014 50 (45, 45)
21 / 0600 23.9 63.3 1010 50 (45, 45)
21 / 1200 24.4 64.2 1007 55 (50, 50)
21 / 1800 24.8 64.9 1004 50 (50, 50)
22 / 0000 25.3 65.9 1000 55 (55, 55)
22 / 0600 25.6 67.0 994 65 (65, 60) hurricane
22 / 1200 25.8 68.3 981 80 (80, 70)
22 / 1800 25.7 69.7 967 100 (95, 80)
23 / 0000 25.6 71.1 957 110 (110, 90)
23 / 0600 25.5 72.5 943 130 (130, 105)
23 / 1200 25.4 74.2 935 150 (145, 120)
23 / 1800 25.4 75.8 923 155 (150, 135)
24 / 0000 25.4 77.5 932 135 (125, 125)
24 / 0600 25.4 79.3 932 140 (130, 120)
24 / 1200 25.6 81.2 942 120 (115, 110)
24 / 1800 25.8 83.1 947 115 (115, 115)
25 / 0000 26.2 85.0 945 115 (115, 115)
25 / 0600 26.6 86.7 950 110 (115, 115)
25 / 1200 27.2 88.2 946 115 (120, 115)
25 / 1800 27.8 89.6 941 125 (125, 120)
26 / 0000 28.5 90.5 937 120 (125, 120)
26 / 0600 29.2 91.3 952 110 (120, 115)
26 / 1200 30.1 91.7 968 85 (80, 80)
Changes end at 26/0600.
23 / 1730 25.4 75.4 922 155 (150, 135) minimum pressure
24 / 0905 25.5 80.3 922 150 (145, 125) minimum pressure
23 / 2100 25.4 76.6 925 145 (140, 130) Eleuthera landfall
24 / 0100 25.4 77.8 933 130 (130, 125) Berry Is. landfall
24 / 0840 25.5 80.2 926 150 (145, 125) Elliott Key, FL landfall
24 / 0905 25.5 80.3 922 150 (145, 125) Fender Point, FL landfall
26 / 0830 29.6 91.5 956 100 (100, 105) Pt. Chevreuil, LA landfall
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Sun Aug 23, 2009 12:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
That night and morning made Bryan Norcross a well-deserved legend down here....till this day he is the voice of reason...not hype...when storms threaten.
Those calls are chilling....house after house in south dade folks were doing just what those callers described.....pushing against doors, hiding under mattresses, hunkered down in bathtubs. Never has a major metro area been hit by such a wind event for mile after mile. The kicker is that it could have been much worse with a track 20 miles north in terms of higher population density and # of buidlings to damage/destroy. The raw emotion of this and other videos you can find on places like youtube is sobering....not just for andrew, but for all storms landfalling.
Those calls are chilling....house after house in south dade folks were doing just what those callers described.....pushing against doors, hiding under mattresses, hunkered down in bathtubs. Never has a major metro area been hit by such a wind event for mile after mile. The kicker is that it could have been much worse with a track 20 miles north in terms of higher population density and # of buidlings to damage/destroy. The raw emotion of this and other videos you can find on places like youtube is sobering....not just for andrew, but for all storms landfalling.
KatDaddy wrote:That was a chilling video. Thanks for sharing.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
About this time 17 years ago, Andrew was a 150 mph beast....
HURRICANE ANDREW SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO POST HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE TRACK
REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...BUT THE WINDS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED BASED ON LATEST RECON DATA. LAST PRESSURE WAS 922 MB.
THE AIRCRAFT ALSO FLEW TO THE NW OF THE HURRICANE AT LOW LEVELS TO
DETERMINE THE BEST ESTIMATE OF RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
...AND BASED ON THIS INFORMATION THE RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IS INCREASED TO 90 NMI.
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 922 MB.
MAYFIELD
HURRICANE ANDREW SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO POST HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE TRACK
REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...BUT THE WINDS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED BASED ON LATEST RECON DATA. LAST PRESSURE WAS 922 MB.
THE AIRCRAFT ALSO FLEW TO THE NW OF THE HURRICANE AT LOW LEVELS TO
DETERMINE THE BEST ESTIMATE OF RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
...AND BASED ON THIS INFORMATION THE RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IS INCREASED TO 90 NMI.
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 922 MB.
MAYFIELD
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
jinftl wrote:About this time 17 years ago, Andrew was a 150 mph beast....
HURRICANE ANDREW SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO POST HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE TRACK
REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...BUT THE WINDS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED BASED ON LATEST RECON DATA. LAST PRESSURE WAS 922 MB.
THE AIRCRAFT ALSO FLEW TO THE NW OF THE HURRICANE AT LOW LEVELS TO
DETERMINE THE BEST ESTIMATE OF RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
...AND BASED ON THIS INFORMATION THE RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IS INCREASED TO 90 NMI.
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 922 MB.
MAYFIELD
In reality, Andrew had at least 175 mph winds at that point (170 kt FL winds = 153 kt FL, hence my estimate of a 155 kt peak intensity as it is possible given the vigor of the storm the highest winds were not measured).
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Re: Re:
jinftl wrote:I have wondered that....do you think the nhc was too slow to put out warnings....there really wasn't much lead time.
I wasn't in south florida at the time, but correct me if i am wrong....wasn't the thinking of miami-dade/broward landfall at first....of course, with the typical margin of error, the actual landfall wasn't far off.....but due to the small size and huge strength, 30 miles made a difference. What was the surge like on South Beach? I used to work at the Port of Miami.....can't imagine how bad it would have been there in terms of surge inundation with landfall 20 or 30 miles north.
It's less interesting....but what was the storm like in broward in terms of wind? I take it, Wilma was quite a bit worse overall for Broward than Andrew?Derek Ortt wrote:what is amazing is how much forecasting has advanced during that time
today, Andrew would be a bust of epic proportions. Less than 21 hours for a hurricane warning for a cat 5 would be unacceptable (the latest the warning would have been issued today likely would have been 0300 UTC Aug 23) and the track forecasts then were very good, today awful.
Also, how much we learned about the surface winds compared to FL winds. Today, people would have went to be with a strong cat 3, not a cat 2 and woke up with a very strong cat 4, not a mid cat 3. Of course, once the winds reached 175 mph at 1800 UTC the level of panic may have been significantly greater than it was
about 60 hours before landfall, the landfall forecast was near Jacksonville
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Re:
Frank2 wrote:I can answer that - I stayed at my sister's house in Boca Raton (southern Palm Beach County) and we only had two strong rain squalls (in other words, nothing really), and, we didn't really see any serious damage until we reached Bird Road in Dade County on Tuesday morning - that's when "winter" began, as seen from the Turnpike, since all trees were denunded and everything (including the buildings) seemed to be cut down to a height of 6-8 feet...
What was funny in an odd way were all of those green highway signs - they were blank because the letters were blown away!
From what I heard, there was damage on South Miami Beach, Key Biscayne and Coconut Grove, but, except for Cape Florida State Park (Key Biscayne) the very serious damage did not seem to begin until south of a Bird Road line - I really didn't hear of damage to the Port of Miami, though one yacht ended up on Main Highway in Coconut Grove (and a number of smaller vessels sank in Dinner Key Marina)...
Anyway, that's what I recall and was told by those at the HRD and other friends in Miami, but was very fortunate to return to Boca Raton until being relocated to Pembroke Pines, 10 days later, since many who did stay suffered the nighttime lawlessness of living in South Dade in the following weeks, which rivaled New Orleans after Katrina...
As Brian Norcross has often said, they are painful memories, but hopefully we've all learned something from the experience...
Frank
where I currently live in South Miami, there was no damage. I head the damage line was about Kendall drive (which is where the cat 3/4 boundary was... on SW 59th ave, about a mile south of the old NHC, was in the cat 3 swath)
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
I was working for the Insurance Company of Florida which was owned by the Dominican GFN empire. Our specialty was insuring mobile homes in southeast Florida so the company ended up going bankrupt after Andrew. That summer our data processing department provided exposure data to a computer simulation program that calculated insurance losses based on different hurricane strike scenarios. An insurance company ideally wants to spread their risk around so that a storm like Andrew does not wipe them out. Although construction standards have improved in southeast Florida since 1992 I'm concerned that people may have become complacent again.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
Traffic of unthinkable magnitude on Sunday, 8/22/92 as folks evacuated north
Thousands of residents obeyed the mandatory evacuation orders handed down shortly after 7 a.m. on Sunday. By early afternoon, highways north, especially Florida’s Turnpike, were packed.
At one point, turnpike traffic was backed up from Lantana to Sunrise Boulevard (30+ miles), but early Sunday afternoon, Gov. Lawton Chiles ordered the Turnpike Authority to stop collecting tolls. Still, northbound traffic on both the turnpike and Interstate 95 was backing up in Palm Beach County on Sunday evening.

Thousands of residents obeyed the mandatory evacuation orders handed down shortly after 7 a.m. on Sunday. By early afternoon, highways north, especially Florida’s Turnpike, were packed.
At one point, turnpike traffic was backed up from Lantana to Sunrise Boulevard (30+ miles), but early Sunday afternoon, Gov. Lawton Chiles ordered the Turnpike Authority to stop collecting tolls. Still, northbound traffic on both the turnpike and Interstate 95 was backing up in Palm Beach County on Sunday evening.

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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
North of Kendall Drive....this includes the northern half (most populated) of Miami-Dade county and north into all of Broward and Palm Beach counties....over 4 million people....the building standards that failed in Andrew have not been tested to that extent. That is concerning for sure.
Building standards changed post-Andrew, but there was alot of development of cookie-cutter communities that failed in Andrew in areas to the north that will be tested one day.....just drive through the suburbs of Fort Lauderdale and you see mile after mile of "Country Walks" that pre-date Andrew in Sunrise, Coral Springs, Pembroke Pines, Miami Lakes, Weston, etc...not to mention the retirement enclaves of condos that were built in the 1970s and 1980s in those same places....some of those were totalled during Wilma (Sunrise Lakes Phase 2 has lost rooftops in some buildings).
Building standards changed post-Andrew, but there was alot of development of cookie-cutter communities that failed in Andrew in areas to the north that will be tested one day.....just drive through the suburbs of Fort Lauderdale and you see mile after mile of "Country Walks" that pre-date Andrew in Sunrise, Coral Springs, Pembroke Pines, Miami Lakes, Weston, etc...not to mention the retirement enclaves of condos that were built in the 1970s and 1980s in those same places....some of those were totalled during Wilma (Sunrise Lakes Phase 2 has lost rooftops in some buildings).
Nimbus wrote:I was working for the Insurance Company of Florida which was owned by the Dominican GFN empire. Our specialty was insuring mobile homes in southeast Florida so the company ended up going bankrupt after Andrew. That summer our data processing department provided exposure data to a computer simulation program that calculated insurance losses based on different hurricane strike scenarios. An insurance company ideally wants to spread their risk around so that a storm like Andrew does not wipe them out. Although construction standards have improved in southeast Florida since 1992 I'm concerned that people may have become complacent again.
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one thing that Felix may have said about Andrew, in that type of hurricane (Felix and Andrew were similar in structure), the surface winds may be equal to or greater than the flight level winds. So even if the FL winds did not increase in the hour before landfall (doubtful since the pressure fell by 10 mb), the 90% rule may not have applied in this case. 90% may still be too low of a reduction factor. That is one reason I'd have preferred the winds to have been set to 155KT at landfall
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
What if Hurricane Andrew hit South Florida today?
South Florida Sun-Sentinel.com
By Ken Kaye and Robin Benedick
Picture Hurricane Andrew churning with devastating power, only this time it is aiming right down Broward Boulevard. With ferocious gusts up to 180 mph, it pounds Port Everglades, the Swap Shop and Sawgrass Mills Mall. It chews up the Elbo Room, Stranahan House and the Broward Mall. Kiss the Pompano Fishing Pier goodbye.
By the time the compact system departs the area, it has cut a 30-mile swath of destruction, leveling tens of thousands of homes and structures -- and causing up to $70 billion in insured damages, or almost double that of its 1992 hit.
While this scenario is hypothetical, emergency managers and hurricane forecasters say it could be very real.
"If we see this, we're in a heap of trouble," says Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami-Dade County.
Years after Andrew crushed much of south Miami-Dade County, the South Florida Sun-Sentinel asked Eqecat Inc., a company that assesses the potential for catastrophic damage, to explore what would happen if the same storm were to hit downtown Miami, Fort Lauderdale or Boynton Beach dead-on today.
The company, based in Houston, took a profile of Andrew's wind speeds, laid it out in grids and fed it into a computer model. The computer then made adjustments for the curve of the coastline and spread this profile -- technically called a wind field -- across each of the three counties.
The results:
The bulk of all three counties would be subjected to wind gusts up to 160 mph. Structures north of the eye and along the coast would be slashed with gusts up to 180 mph.
Because Andrew was so compact and fast-moving, neighborhoods and landmarks far to the west still would feel the brunt force of the storm. This includes the Mall at Wellington Green in Palm Beach County and the Coral Springs Center for the Arts, both of which would feel gusts up to 160 mph.
Because the shoreline is so built up, property damage would amount to $48.2 billion with a direct hit on Miami; $40.2 billion with a Fort Lauderdale hit; and $29.8 billion with a Boynton Beach hit, according to Eqecat, which projects potential damages for insurance companies. Local officials, however, estimate the damages would be nearly double that amount.
If the eye roughly followed Broward Boulevard in Broward County, the strongest gusts would hit Hillsboro Inlet, Sea Ranch Lakes, Lauderdale-by-the-Sea and Fort Lauderdale's Galleria Mall.
If the eye rolled ashore near Boynton Beach Boulevard, the strongest winds would hit the mobile home community of Briny Breezes, the Ritz-Carlton Palm Beach in Manalapan, several high-end marinas, the St. Andrews Golf Club and the Lake Worth pier.
If the core plowed over downtown Miami, the strongest gusts would whip Bal Harbour, Surfside, Sunny Isles Beach, Golden Beach, the Golden Glades interchange, Aventura Mall, North Miami Beach and Turnberry Isle.
After studying these scenarios, emergency managers squirmed.
"The economic impact would be huge," said Tony Carper, Broward's director of emergency management. "You'd cripple the tourism industry for months, if not years."
"It'd be just like having a war," said Charles Lanza, Miami-Dade's emergency management director.
South Florida Sun-Sentinel.com
By Ken Kaye and Robin Benedick
Picture Hurricane Andrew churning with devastating power, only this time it is aiming right down Broward Boulevard. With ferocious gusts up to 180 mph, it pounds Port Everglades, the Swap Shop and Sawgrass Mills Mall. It chews up the Elbo Room, Stranahan House and the Broward Mall. Kiss the Pompano Fishing Pier goodbye.
By the time the compact system departs the area, it has cut a 30-mile swath of destruction, leveling tens of thousands of homes and structures -- and causing up to $70 billion in insured damages, or almost double that of its 1992 hit.
While this scenario is hypothetical, emergency managers and hurricane forecasters say it could be very real.
"If we see this, we're in a heap of trouble," says Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami-Dade County.
Years after Andrew crushed much of south Miami-Dade County, the South Florida Sun-Sentinel asked Eqecat Inc., a company that assesses the potential for catastrophic damage, to explore what would happen if the same storm were to hit downtown Miami, Fort Lauderdale or Boynton Beach dead-on today.
The company, based in Houston, took a profile of Andrew's wind speeds, laid it out in grids and fed it into a computer model. The computer then made adjustments for the curve of the coastline and spread this profile -- technically called a wind field -- across each of the three counties.
The results:
The bulk of all three counties would be subjected to wind gusts up to 160 mph. Structures north of the eye and along the coast would be slashed with gusts up to 180 mph.
Because Andrew was so compact and fast-moving, neighborhoods and landmarks far to the west still would feel the brunt force of the storm. This includes the Mall at Wellington Green in Palm Beach County and the Coral Springs Center for the Arts, both of which would feel gusts up to 160 mph.
Because the shoreline is so built up, property damage would amount to $48.2 billion with a direct hit on Miami; $40.2 billion with a Fort Lauderdale hit; and $29.8 billion with a Boynton Beach hit, according to Eqecat, which projects potential damages for insurance companies. Local officials, however, estimate the damages would be nearly double that amount.
If the eye roughly followed Broward Boulevard in Broward County, the strongest gusts would hit Hillsboro Inlet, Sea Ranch Lakes, Lauderdale-by-the-Sea and Fort Lauderdale's Galleria Mall.
If the eye rolled ashore near Boynton Beach Boulevard, the strongest winds would hit the mobile home community of Briny Breezes, the Ritz-Carlton Palm Beach in Manalapan, several high-end marinas, the St. Andrews Golf Club and the Lake Worth pier.
If the core plowed over downtown Miami, the strongest gusts would whip Bal Harbour, Surfside, Sunny Isles Beach, Golden Beach, the Golden Glades interchange, Aventura Mall, North Miami Beach and Turnberry Isle.
After studying these scenarios, emergency managers squirmed.
"The economic impact would be huge," said Tony Carper, Broward's director of emergency management. "You'd cripple the tourism industry for months, if not years."
"It'd be just like having a war," said Charles Lanza, Miami-Dade's emergency management director.
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Re:
Maing such a storm today by far the costliest hurricane in U.S. history....and most of that would be wind damage...remarkable
Derek Ortt wrote:damage would be far more than 50 billion for a direct miami strike. The 1926 hurricane is estimated to cost 150 billion if it strikes today
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One thing that andrew showed is that wind damage, when you have a storm of that magnitude, can go miles inland. At the same time, the general message for evacuating storms in south florida is to get out of the surge zone. Not sure i would want to be in west broward, though, with a andrew making landfall at broward blvd and heading west. Most structures out of the surge zone could be at risk for partial/total failure. Thousands...if not millions...could be sitting ducks.
Derek Ortt wrote:only place more destructive than a Miami strike would be an NYC strike of a very large cat 2 or 3. Of course we'd then be talking total economic shutdown type of damage
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- HeatherAKC
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
How weird we are on the same calendar as 1992!
I remember it like yesterday. I was 21 years old, home alone as my parents were taking my sister to her first semester of college in NY. I was at the Miami Marine Stadium that Saturday taking in the jet ski races with really no clue as to what was going on, just there was a storm out there, could come close. When I got home that evening, I knew it was getting serious.
I remember my father calling and me telling him that this one was "for real". He told me not to worry, they always say that. So me and my boyfriend (now husband) rode it out in Kendall, just a few blocks north of the Tamiami airport between Kendall Dr. and 104th. Put up shutters, did all the precautions, took exposed cars to the Dadeland Mall parking garage, got the ice, water, etc. By 11:30pm that Sunday, the rain began.
These things stand out in my mind during the storm the most; the noise, the pressure in my ears, the callers to Norcross who told of running form home to home as other's collapsed, the knot in my throat, the bugs looking for higher ground, wondering how water was getting in my parents home from the tiniest of crevaces, aluminum shutters blowing off and being able to see such devastation around me, thinking my roof collapse or blown window was next, and laying on the living room floor downstairs in the fetal position, and for the first and only time in my life, scared I was going to die.
The aftermath bought images I will never forget...armed National Guard, looting on 137th avenue in broad daylight at Office Max, looking in to homes as if they were doll houses with complete walls missing, displaced family and friends, learning that you could boil water on the grill and make spaghetti (this takes forever though), sleeping with the windows open in the middle of summer (no electricity), the sounds of helicopters 24-7, the sound of the remaining loose aluminum shutters blowing against the house in the gentle breezes that followed. Some of these sounds had left me shell-shocked. Whenever we have to break out the aluminum shutters at our home now, the noise alone they make during the process makes my stomach nervous.
As my parents dropped off my sister in NY and took the drive back to Miami, their search for more supplies and necessaties came up empty. Shelves were empty from Georgia, south. They arrived home on Tuesday and were shocked.
All in all though, we fared so well compared to some family and friends. Where our home had minor damage, some in our same developement were total losses. My next-door neighbors screened porch remained totally untouched, while a home behind hers lost most of the roof and windows.
Goodness, there have been so many who suffered more since that morning in 1992. At the time, it was the worse thing that ever happened on the planet, but since, there have been so many worse disasters. No matter how bad you think you have it, someone else always has it worse.
I don't post much, but you'll see me as a constant feature on the "lurk-o-meter" below for the entire season...you never know when you'll be in the crosshairs again, but you pray many times each season that the long range model that shows you in the bulls-eye won't verify.
I remember it like yesterday. I was 21 years old, home alone as my parents were taking my sister to her first semester of college in NY. I was at the Miami Marine Stadium that Saturday taking in the jet ski races with really no clue as to what was going on, just there was a storm out there, could come close. When I got home that evening, I knew it was getting serious.
I remember my father calling and me telling him that this one was "for real". He told me not to worry, they always say that. So me and my boyfriend (now husband) rode it out in Kendall, just a few blocks north of the Tamiami airport between Kendall Dr. and 104th. Put up shutters, did all the precautions, took exposed cars to the Dadeland Mall parking garage, got the ice, water, etc. By 11:30pm that Sunday, the rain began.
These things stand out in my mind during the storm the most; the noise, the pressure in my ears, the callers to Norcross who told of running form home to home as other's collapsed, the knot in my throat, the bugs looking for higher ground, wondering how water was getting in my parents home from the tiniest of crevaces, aluminum shutters blowing off and being able to see such devastation around me, thinking my roof collapse or blown window was next, and laying on the living room floor downstairs in the fetal position, and for the first and only time in my life, scared I was going to die.
The aftermath bought images I will never forget...armed National Guard, looting on 137th avenue in broad daylight at Office Max, looking in to homes as if they were doll houses with complete walls missing, displaced family and friends, learning that you could boil water on the grill and make spaghetti (this takes forever though), sleeping with the windows open in the middle of summer (no electricity), the sounds of helicopters 24-7, the sound of the remaining loose aluminum shutters blowing against the house in the gentle breezes that followed. Some of these sounds had left me shell-shocked. Whenever we have to break out the aluminum shutters at our home now, the noise alone they make during the process makes my stomach nervous.
As my parents dropped off my sister in NY and took the drive back to Miami, their search for more supplies and necessaties came up empty. Shelves were empty from Georgia, south. They arrived home on Tuesday and were shocked.
All in all though, we fared so well compared to some family and friends. Where our home had minor damage, some in our same developement were total losses. My next-door neighbors screened porch remained totally untouched, while a home behind hers lost most of the roof and windows.
Goodness, there have been so many who suffered more since that morning in 1992. At the time, it was the worse thing that ever happened on the planet, but since, there have been so many worse disasters. No matter how bad you think you have it, someone else always has it worse.
I don't post much, but you'll see me as a constant feature on the "lurk-o-meter" below for the entire season...you never know when you'll be in the crosshairs again, but you pray many times each season that the long range model that shows you in the bulls-eye won't verify.
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Re: 17 Years Ago...South Florida
HURRICANE ANDREW ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE ANDREW BEARING DOWN ON SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH
OF VENICE...AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
VERO BEACH NORTHWARD TO TITUSVILLE...AND ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
NORTH OF VENICE TO BAYPORT.
ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...INCLUDING EVACUATIONS
ORDERED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES
...385 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AT
THE PRESENT TIME. HOPE TOWN ON GREAT ABACO ISLAND REPORTED WINDS TO
60 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR. ON THE PRESENT COURSE...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN ON THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE PREDAWN HOURS.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER.
SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS IN THE NW BAHAMAS...WITH UP TO 18 FEET
POSSIBLE FOR THE NW SIDE OF ELEUTHERA ISLAND. STORM SURGES OF 7 TO
10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
AND KEYS NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 13 FEET IN BISCAYNE BAY.
STORM SURGES OF 7 TO 11 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE
HURRICANE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 76.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 923 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 11 PM EDT.
MAYFIELD
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
THE LAST RECON REPORTED 923 MB...WHICH SUGGESTS THE DEEPENING HAS
SLOWED OR MAYBE STOPPED FOR THE TIME BEING. THE 8 NMI DIAMETER EYE
WILL LIKELY BE HARD TO MAINTAIN AND WE SHOULD EXPECT TO SEE SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST
COAST. HOWEVER...SINCE THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WARM
GULF STREAM...WE WILL MAINTAIN A STRONG CAT 4 HURRICANE UNTIL THE
SYSTEM GETS WEAKENED BY THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. ANDREW IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN ONE SAFFIR/ SIMPSON CATEGORY WHILE MOVING OVER LAND...BUT
WILL STILL EMERGE AS A STRONG HURRICANE IN THE GULF WITH SOME
STRENGTHENING AGAIN POSSIBLE.
INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 270/14. THE NMC AVIATION MODEL SHOWS THE 500
MB RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. THE RIDGE THEN ERODES SOME BUT
REMAINS NORTH OF ANDREW. THEREFORE...WE ARE SIMPLY UPDATING OUR
PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH CALLS FOR A LITTLE MORE NW MOTION NEAR THE
END OF THE FORECAST. CURRENT TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE DEEP
LAYER BAM THROUGH 48 HOURS.
MAYFIELD
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/2100Z 25.4N 76.5W 130 KTS
12HR VT 24/0600Z 25.5N 78.8W 130 KTS
24HR VT 24/1800Z 25.9N 81.8W 110 KTS
36HR VT 25/0600Z 26.6N 84.7W 110 KTS
48HR VT 25/1800Z 27.3N 87.5W 115 KTS
72HR VT 26/1800Z 29.0N 93.0W 115 KTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE ANDREW BEARING DOWN ON SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH
OF VENICE...AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
VERO BEACH NORTHWARD TO TITUSVILLE...AND ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
NORTH OF VENICE TO BAYPORT.
ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...INCLUDING EVACUATIONS
ORDERED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES
...385 KM...EAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AT
THE PRESENT TIME. HOPE TOWN ON GREAT ABACO ISLAND REPORTED WINDS TO
60 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR. ON THE PRESENT COURSE...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN ON THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE PREDAWN HOURS.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER.
SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS IN THE NW BAHAMAS...WITH UP TO 18 FEET
POSSIBLE FOR THE NW SIDE OF ELEUTHERA ISLAND. STORM SURGES OF 7 TO
10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
AND KEYS NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 13 FEET IN BISCAYNE BAY.
STORM SURGES OF 7 TO 11 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE
HURRICANE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 76.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 923 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 11 PM EDT.
MAYFIELD
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 1992
THE LAST RECON REPORTED 923 MB...WHICH SUGGESTS THE DEEPENING HAS
SLOWED OR MAYBE STOPPED FOR THE TIME BEING. THE 8 NMI DIAMETER EYE
WILL LIKELY BE HARD TO MAINTAIN AND WE SHOULD EXPECT TO SEE SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST
COAST. HOWEVER...SINCE THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WARM
GULF STREAM...WE WILL MAINTAIN A STRONG CAT 4 HURRICANE UNTIL THE
SYSTEM GETS WEAKENED BY THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. ANDREW IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN ONE SAFFIR/ SIMPSON CATEGORY WHILE MOVING OVER LAND...BUT
WILL STILL EMERGE AS A STRONG HURRICANE IN THE GULF WITH SOME
STRENGTHENING AGAIN POSSIBLE.
INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 270/14. THE NMC AVIATION MODEL SHOWS THE 500
MB RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. THE RIDGE THEN ERODES SOME BUT
REMAINS NORTH OF ANDREW. THEREFORE...WE ARE SIMPLY UPDATING OUR
PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH CALLS FOR A LITTLE MORE NW MOTION NEAR THE
END OF THE FORECAST. CURRENT TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE DEEP
LAYER BAM THROUGH 48 HOURS.
MAYFIELD
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/2100Z 25.4N 76.5W 130 KTS
12HR VT 24/0600Z 25.5N 78.8W 130 KTS
24HR VT 24/1800Z 25.9N 81.8W 110 KTS
36HR VT 25/0600Z 26.6N 84.7W 110 KTS
48HR VT 25/1800Z 27.3N 87.5W 115 KTS
72HR VT 26/1800Z 29.0N 93.0W 115 KTS
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