ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

[RattleMan]

URNT15 KWBC 190948
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 13 20090819
093830 1851N 05406W 7029 03014 9979 +091 +091 132093 093 055 006 03
093900 1853N 05404W 7033 03013 9979 +095 +095 131090 091 999 999 03
093930 1854N 05403W 7036 03014 9978 +101 +095 133089 089 052 005 03
094000 1855N 05402W 7035 03019 9982 +102 +094 133089 090 051 004 03
094030 1857N 05400W 7032 03026 9988 +100 +089 132086 086 051 007 00
094100 1858N 05359W 7033 03025 9989 +101 +088 132086 087 050 008 03
094130 1859N 05357W 7035 03026 9991 +102 +087 133085 086 052 008 03
094200 1901N 05356W 7034 03031 9999 +099 +087 135085 086 051 008 00
094230 1902N 05354W 7033 03035 0009 +094 +084 136086 086 051 008 03
094300 1903N 05353W 7033 03038 0013 +093 +084 137085 086 053 007 03
094330 1905N 05351W 7034 03042 0011 +098 +083 137083 083 053 007 03
094400 1906N 05350W 7034 03043 0018 +094 +085 136081 082 999 999 03
094430 1908N 05348W 7033 03049 0021 +097 +079 134080 081 052 007 03
094500 1909N 05347W 7035 03048 0021 +099 +071 134080 080 999 999 03
094530 1911N 05347W 7037 03049 0024 +100 +067 135081 081 999 999 03
094600 1913N 05348W 7036 03051 0024 +101 +065 134082 082 999 999 03
094630 1914N 05351W 7035 03049 0022 +100 +064 132082 083 050 007 03
094700 1914N 05354W 7033 03051 0024 +097 +065 130083 083 050 009 00
094730 1914N 05356W 7036 03045 0023 +095 +072 128083 083 049 010 03
094800 1914N 05359W 7036 03042 0018 +096 +074 128084 085 052 011 03

URNT15 KWBC 190958
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 14 20090819
094830 1915N 05402W 7043 03031 0017 +095 +078 126082 082 052 010 03
094900 1915N 05405W 7060 03010 0015 +097 +077 127083 084 053 008 03
094930 1915N 05408W 7063 03003 0009 +098 +084 124083 084 051 008 03
095000 1915N 05410W 7064 03000 0005 +099 +082 121085 085 050 009 03
095030 1915N 05413W 7062 02998 0003 +099 +081 121086 086 052 008 00
095100 1915N 05416W 7065 02993 9999 +100 +079 120086 087 053 007 03
095130 1915N 05419W 7064 02993 0000 +098 +079 118086 087 053 008 03
095200 1915N 05421W 7062 02992 9998 +096 +086 117086 086 052 009 03
095230 1915N 05424W 7062 02989 9994 +095 +089 116085 085 054 005 00
095300 1915N 05427W 7064 02986 9994 +095 +089 114087 088 053 006 03
095330 1915N 05430W 7064 02983 9990 +097 +079 111087 087 055 005 03
095400 1915N 05433W 7063 02983 9986 +098 +086 111087 088 054 004 03
095430 1915N 05436W 7064 02981 9985 +098 +087 109087 087 054 002 03
095500 1915N 05439W 7064 02980 9983 +098 +088 108088 089 056 004 03
095530 1915N 05442W 7064 02980 9980 +102 +084 108088 090 056 003 00
095600 1915N 05445W 7065 02978 9981 +099 +090 108090 091 057 002 00
095630 1915N 05448W 7064 02978 9976 +102 +091 107090 091 056 004 03
095700 1915N 05451W 7065 02975 9978 +099 +091 105092 093 056 005 03
095730 1915N 05454W 7063 02974 9973 +102 +089 103092 093 056 005 03
095800 1915N 05457W 7065 02970 9974 +100 +089 101093 094 056 003 03

[Thunder44]

Dropsonde in the eye shows the pressure is at 953mb:

Code: Select all

Date: Near the closest hour of 9Z on the 19th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 17.9N 55.1W
Location: 448 miles (721 km) to the NE (42°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.
Marsden Square: 042 (About)


Level
Geo. Height
Air Temp.
Dew Point
Wind Direction
Wind Speed
953mb (28.14 inHg)
Sea Level (Surface)
26.6°C (79.9°F)
25.7°C (78.3°F)
230° (from the SW)
7 knots (8 mph)
1000mb
-427m (-1401 ft)
Other data not available.
925mb
265m (869 ft)
24.6°C (76.3°F)
24.2°C (75.6°F)
225° (from the SW)
6 knots (7 mph)
850mb
1,007m (3,304 ft)
21.6°C (70.9°F)
21.4°C (70.5°F)
30° (from the NNE)
3 knots (3 mph)
700mb
2,688m (8,819 ft)
17.4°C (63.3°F)
17.4°C (63.3°F)
245° (from the WSW)
3 knots (3 mph)


Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 9:19Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eye.

Release Location: 17.92N 55.07W
Release Time: 9:19:04Z

Splash Location: 17.92N 55.07W
Splash Time: 9:23:02Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 235° (from the SW)
- Wind Speed: 6 knots (7 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 250° (from the WSW)
- Wind Speed: 3 knots (3 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 680mb to 953mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 160 gpm - 10 gpm (525 geo. feet - 33 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 235° (from the SW)
- Wind Speed: 5 knots (6 mph)

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...


Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level
Air Temperature
Dew Point
953mb (Surface)
26.6°C (79.9°F)
25.7°C (78.3°F)
939mb
25.6°C (78.1°F)
25.2°C (77.4°F)
866mb
22.0°C (71.6°F)
22.0°C (71.6°F)
819mb
19.8°C (67.6°F)
18.9°C (66.0°F)
796mb
22.0°C (71.6°F)
Approximately 14°C (57°F)
730mb
19.6°C (67.3°F)
Approximately 10°C (50°F)
679mb
16.4°C (61.5°F)
Approximately 7°C (45°F)



Significant Wind Levels...
Level
Wind Direction
Wind Speed
953mb (Surface)
230° (from the SW)
7 knots (8 mph)
893mb
235° (from the SW)
7 knots (8 mph)
862mb
0° (from the N)
0 knots (0 mph)
785mb
255° (from the WSW)
9 knots (10 mph)
679mb
255° (from the WSW)
7 knots (8 mph)

The highest wind observed in the "Significant Wind Levels" section is noted in bold.

---

Dropsonde Diagram:

[DreamworksSKG]

Instead of 34 people just looking at my post and not bothering to reply to it. Could some people instead, comment on this . I would like to hear from the experts here, about what the possibilities are of the storm moving further west today and being a threat to Chatham or Cape Cod or even Eastern Mass.

I live north of Boston and am a bit more concerned than I was a couple days ago as the models are trending west, and the storm appears to be moving more west than previously thought ont he satellite.

Does anyone have some insight as to if there's still a chance Bill might back into the Cape/Buzzards Bay region? SE Mass?

Thanks

[alan1961]

ISS tracks Bill at cat 1

http://www.necn.com/Boston/SciTech/2009 ... 16569.html

[RattleMan]

URNT15 KWBC 191008
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 15 20090819
095830 1915N 05500W 7063 02974 9976 +098 +088 099091 091 057 001 03
095900 1915N 05503W 7065 02969 9977 +096 +089 097092 093 057 001 03
095930 1915N 05506W 7064 02970 9970 +101 +087 094087 089 056 002 03
100000 1915N 05509W 7064 02970 9964 +106 +086 092085 086 055 001 03
100030 1915N 05512W 7067 02966 9964 +105 +084 091086 087 055 002 03
100100 1915N 05515W 7065 02969 9967 +104 +084 091088 089 051 001 03
100130 1915N 05518W 7066 02967 9970 +102 +083 090090 091 052 000 03
100200 1915N 05521W 7065 02973 9966 +108 +085 090090 090 054 003 03
100230 1915N 05524W 7066 02974 9970 +107 +089 089088 089 055 004 00
100300 1915N 05527W 7065 02973 9967 +107 +091 088086 087 054 006 03
100330 1915N 05530W 7067 02970 9961 +112 +090 085080 083 054 006 03
100400 1915N 05532W 7065 02974 9957 +115 +089 085077 077 052 007 00
100430 1915N 05535W 7067 02972 9957 +116 +082 084078 078 052 006 00
100500 1915N 05538W 7065 02972 9955 +117 +074 083079 080 053 000 03
100530 1915N 05541W 7067 02967 9957 +114 +076 083083 084 999 999 03
100600 1915N 05544W 7065 02974 9959 +115 +080 083084 085 050 000 03
100630 1915N 05547W 7063 02976 9962 +114 +081 079081 081 051 000 03
100700 1915N 05550W 7066 02975 9969 +111 +063 080081 081 048 000 03
100730 1915N 05553W 7066 02978 9973 +109 +063 080080 080 049 000 03
100800 1915N 05556W 7065 02979 9974 +109 +069 079077 078 048 000 03

URNT15 KWBC 191018
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 16 20090819
100830 1915N 05559W 7068 02978 9986 +100 +078 077077 078 046 000 03
100900 1915N 05601W 7067 02984 9999 +092 +081 077078 079 046 000 03
100930 1915N 05604W 7065 02987 0002 +092 +082 075075 076 044 000 00
101000 1915N 05607W 7068 02986 0002 +094 +087 075074 075 043 000 03
101030 1915N 05610W 7064 02996 0001 +098 +083 068069 070 999 999 03
101100 1915N 05613W 7068 02992 0010 +093 +087 065066 067 042 000 03
101130 1915N 05615W 7070 02991 0013 +093 +081 065067 068 038 001 03
101200 1915N 05618W 7066 02999 0017 +092 +073 065070 071 999 999 03
101230 1915N 05621W 7065 03001 0010 +100 +061 062069 069 039 000 03
101300 1915N 05623W 7068 02998 0012 +100 +057 061069 070 999 999 03
101330 1915N 05626W 7067 03000 0018 +096 +055 059069 069 999 999 03
101400 1915N 05629W 7066 03001 0023 +092 +052 059071 071 999 999 03
101430 1915N 05632W 7066 03005 0029 +091 +048 060071 071 999 999 03
101500 1914N 05634W 7067 03007 0033 +090 +052 059070 071 999 999 03
101530 1912N 05636W 7067 03007 0030 +093 +048 054069 069 999 999 03
101600 1910N 05635W 7069 03001 0024 +095 +047 053068 069 999 999 03
101630 1909N 05634W 7066 03004 0019 +098 +054 054067 068 999 999 03
101700 1908N 05632W 7069 02997 0016 +098 +059 053063 065 999 999 03
101730 1906N 05631W 7069 02998 0012 +101 +063 052061 062 999 999 03
101800 1905N 05629W 7068 02998 0013 +098 +063 051063 065 037 000 03

[O Town]

You may want to try the analysis forum where a lot the pro mets here give their forecasts, you may have better luck with a response or just by reading.

viewforum.php?f=29

And here is a spaghetti model map for you, seems like the consensus is that Mass. should be okay, but you need to pay close attention as this approaches. As with any storm it could change at anytime. I'm no expert but anyways my best advice is to pay attention as it gets closer, its really hard to predict where or if this will hit any part of the CONUS this far out. Good luck.

[Thunder44]

Drosponde in the NE eyewall shows 118kt winds at the surface!

Code: Select all

Product: NOAA Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KWBC)
Transmitted: 19th day of the month at 10:17Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: Bill3
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission
Observation Number: 08

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 9Z on the 19th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 18.2N 54.8W
Location: 739 miles (1190 km) to the E (91°) from San Juan, Puerto Rico (USA).
Marsden Square: 042 (About)


Level
Geo. Height
Air Temp.
Dew Point
Wind Direction
Wind Speed
964mb (28.47 inHg)
Sea Level (Surface)
25.0°C (77.0°F)
25.0°C (77.0°F)
90° (from the E)
118 knots (136 mph)1000mb
-321m (-1053 ft)
Other data not available.
925mb
367m (1,204 ft)
23.0°C (73.4°F)
23.0°C (73.4°F)
105° (from the ESE)
133 knots (153 mph)
850mb
1,104m (3,622 ft)
20.0°C (68.0°F)
20.0°C (68.0°F)
120° (from the ESE)
123 knots (142 mph)
700mb
2,767m (9,078 ft)
13.2°C (55.8°F)
13.2°C (55.8°F)
140° (from the SE)
120 knots (138 mph)


Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 9:24Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall. (045 - This is either the radians or degrees to the eye center. Our system cannot tell the difference.)

Release Location: 18.23N 54.76W
Release Time: 9:24:55Z

Splash Location: 18.31N 54.89W
Splash Time: 9:29:31Z

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 162 gpm - 12 gpm (531 geo. feet - 39 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 85° (from the E)
- Wind Speed: 116 knots (133 mph)

Rest of remarks section: L ST WND 012 (Our system could not determine how to decode this text.)

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...


Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level
Air Temperature
Dew Point
964mb (Surface)
25.0°C (77.0°F)
25.0°C (77.0°F)
952mb
24.4°C (75.9°F)
24.4°C (75.9°F)
704mb
13.4°C (56.1°F)
13.4°C (56.1°F)
697mb
13.0°C (55.4°F)
12.9°C (55.2°F)
675mb
11.4°C (52.5°F)
11.4°C (52.5°F)



Significant Wind Levels...
Level
Wind Direction
Wind Speed
964mb (Surface)
90° (from the E)
118 knots (136 mph)
961mb
90° (from the E)
119 knots (137 mph)
956mb
80° (from the E)
112 knots (129 mph)
948mb
85° (from the E)
117 knots (135 mph)
940mb
90° (from the E)
135 knots (155 mph)
930mb
100° (from the E)
132 knots (152 mph)
915mb
105° (from the ESE)
137 knots (158 mph)
903mb
105° (from the ESE)
134 knots (154 mph)
883mb
110° (from the ESE)
121 knots (139 mph)
859mb
120° (from the ESE)
133 knots (153 mph)
751mb
135° (from the SE)
112 knots (129 mph)
675mb
145° (from the SE)
124 knots (143 mph)

[RattleMan]

URNT15 KWBC 191028
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 17 20090819
101830 1903N 05628W 7068 02993 0011 +096 +072 054066 067 999 999 03
101900 1902N 05626W 7070 02989 0007 +095 +084 054063 065 999 999 03
101930 1901N 05625W 7066 02991 0008 +090 +090 054066 067 040 000 03
102000 1859N 05624W 7070 02983 0006 +089 +089 057067 067 045 000 03
102030 1858N 05622W 7068 02982 0000 +091 +091 061069 071 043 002 03
102100 1857N 05621W 7072 02972 9982 +102 +093 062068 069 999 999 03
102130 1855N 05619W 7072 02970 9969 +112 +084 060068 071 999 999 03
102200 1854N 05618W 7066 02974 9967 +111 +074 062076 079 044 000 03
102230 1853N 05617W 7067 02968 9968 +104 +089 062071 073 999 999 03
102300 1852N 05615W 7069 02962 9965 +102 +088 062075 077 043 000 03
102330 1850N 05614W 7070 02957 9960 +104 +087 061076 077 041 001 03
102400 1849N 05613W 7070 02956 9958 +103 +088 060077 078 999 999 03
102430 1848N 05611W 7071 02947 9950 +105 +086 059081 083 999 999 03
102500 1846N 05610W 7068 02945 9930 +117 +079 058081 083 047 000 03
102530 1845N 05608W 7072 02937 9916 +125 +088 056080 081 050 001 03
102600 1844N 05607W 7069 02937 9913 +125 +094 051078 081 053 001 03
102630 1843N 05606W 7069 02937 9920 +115 +112 053073 075 052 001 03
102700 1841N 05604W 7054 02951 9914 +116 +110 053071 071 999 999 03
102730 1840N 05603W 7029 02975 9905 +116 +109 052068 069 060 000 03
102800 1839N 05601W 7029 02970 9895 +121 +106 050067 069 060 000 03

And my experimental recon decoder:

Code: Select all

TIME  Position 1   Position 2   Plane. Prs.   Height   Pressure   Temp   Dew Pt.   Dir, 30s mean   FL   SFMR   Precip   QC
10:18:30z   19.90°N   056.28°W   706.8 hPa   2993m   1001.1 hPa   9.6°C   7.2°C   54° @ 066kt   67kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:19:00z   19.90°N   056.26°W   707.0 hPa   2989m   1007.7 hPa   9.5°C   8.4°C   54° @ 063kt   65kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:19:30z   19.90°N   056.25°W   706.6 hPa   2991m   1008.8 hPa   9.0°C   9.0°C   54° @ 066kt   67kt   40kt   0mm   Suspect
10:20:00z   18.85°N   056.24°W   707.0 hPa   2983m   1006.6 hPa   8.9°C   8.9°C   57° @ 067kt   67kt   45kt   0mm   Suspect
10:20:30z   18.85°N   056.22°W   706.8 hPa   2982m   1000.0 hPa   9.1°C   9.1°C   61° @ 069kt   71kt   43kt   2mm   Suspect
10:21:00z   18.85°N   056.21°W   707.2 hPa   2972m   998.2 hPa   10.2°C   9.3°C   62° @ 068kt   69kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:21:30z   18.85°N   056.19°W   707.2 hPa   2970m   996.9 hPa   11.2°C   8.4°C   60° @ 068kt   71kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:22:00z   18.85°N   056.18°W   706.6 hPa   2974m   996.7 hPa   11.1°C   7.4°C   62° @ 076kt   79kt   44kt   0mm   Suspect
10:22:30z   18.85°N   056.17°W   706.7 hPa   2968m   996.8 hPa   10.4°C   8.9°C   62° @ 071kt   73kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:23:00z   18.85°N   056.15°W   706.9 hPa   2962m   996.5 hPa   10.2°C   8.8°C   62° @ 075kt   77kt   43kt   0mm   Suspect
10:23:30z   18.85°N   056.14°W   707.0 hPa   2957m   996.0 hPa   10.4°C   8.7°C   61° @ 076kt   77kt   41kt   1mm   Suspect
10:24:00z   18.84°N   056.13°W   707.0 hPa   2956m   995.8 hPa   10.3°C   8.8°C   60° @ 077kt   78kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:24:30z   18.84°N   056.11°W   707.1 hPa   2947m   995.0 hPa   10.5°C   8.6°C   59° @ 081kt   83kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:25:00z   18.84°N   056.10°W   706.8 hPa   2945m   993.0 hPa   11.7°C   7.9°C   58° @ 081kt   83kt   47kt   0mm   Suspect
10:25:30z   18.84°N   056.08°W   707.2 hPa   2937m   991.6 hPa   12.5°C   8.8°C   56° @ 080kt   81kt   50kt   1mm   Suspect
10:26:00z   18.84°N   056.07°W   706.9 hPa   2937m   991.3 hPa   12.5°C   9.4°C   51° @ 078kt   81kt   53kt   1mm   Suspect
10:26:30z   18.84°N   056.06°W   706.9 hPa   2937m   992.0 hPa   11.5°C   11.2°C   53° @ 073kt   75kt   52kt   1mm   Suspect
10:27:00z   18.84°N   056.04°W   705.4 hPa   2951m   991.4 hPa   11.6°C   11.0°C   53° @ 071kt   71kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
10:27:30z   18.84°N   056.03°W   702.9 hPa   2975m   990.5 hPa   11.6°C   10.9°C   52° @ 068kt   69kt   60kt   0mm   Suspect
10:28:00z   18.83°N   056.01°W   702.9 hPa   2970m   989.5 hPa   12.1°C   10.6°C   50° @ 067kt   69kt   60kt   0mm   Suspect


URNT15 KWBC 191038
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 18 20090819
102830 1837N 05600W 7027 02967 9887 +123 +104 049067 069 062 001 03
102900 1836N 05558W 7030 02961 9881 +124 +109 045070 073 061 000 03
102930 1835N 05557W 7029 02957 9877 +122 +105 047068 068 062 000 03
103000 1833N 05555W 7027 02952 9872 +123 +097 045067 069 062 000 00
103030 1832N 05554W 7025 02948 9869 +118 +098 043071 073 062 000 03
103100 1830N 05552W 6971 03004 9855 +117 +097 043072 073 064 000 03
103130 1829N 05551W 6970 02994 9834 +124 +102 043072 073 064 002 03
103200 1827N 05549W 6956 03000 9818 +127 +100 042073 074 065 001 03
103230 1826N 05548W 6962 02984 9806 +130 +106 039075 077 065 006 00
103300 1825N 05546W 6936 03004 9809 +111 +111 043089 094 067 008 00
103330 1823N 05545W 6907 03022 9792 +108 +108 045089 091 067 006 03
103400 1822N 05543W 6919 02995 9772 +113 +113 043085 088 069 003 03
103430 1821N 05542W 6918 02977 9750 +116 +116 041087 088 071 003 00
103500 1819N 05540W 6902 02982 9719 +126 +116 038089 091 073 000 00
103530 1818N 05539W 6887 02981 9687 +136 +122 036095 097 076 003 03
103600 1816N 05537W 6886 02964 9675 +127 +126 031096 098 080 016 03
103630 1815N 05536W 6867 02963 9637 +131 +130 026093 096 083 030 03
103700 1813N 05534W 6829 02966 9589 +138 +131 016083 088 083 019 00
103730 1811N 05532W 6912 02840 9564 +140 +137 000076 076 089 015 03
103800 1810N 05530W 6813 02948 9520 +160 +125 358070 081 080 000 03


URNT15 KWBC 191048
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 19 20090819
103830 1808N 05528W 6774 02985 9505 +161 +109 353049 056 063 002 03
103900 1807N 05526W 6745 03010 9491 +161 +110 344028 037 999 999 03
103930 1807N 05524W 6758 02987 9478 +172 +082 336012 016 008 000 03
104000 1808N 05522W 6756 02988 9483 +169 +062 273001 003 006 000 03
104030 1809N 05520W 6753 02995 9489 +165 +056 156004 005 999 999 03
104100 1808N 05518W 6757 02993 9495 +164 +056 188007 008 999 999 03
104130 1807N 05516W 6759 02993 9496 +165 +056 211010 012 007 000 00
104200 1805N 05515W 6756 02998 9500 +163 +061 219016 018 999 999 03
104230 1803N 05514W 6755 03008 9509 +161 +070 228024 026 999 999 03
104300 1801N 05514W 6757 03014 9516 +161 +078 229032 038 999 999 03
104330 1759N 05513W 6757 03021 9521 +162 +102 236053 059 999 999 03
104400 1757N 05512W 6756 03039 9538 +162 +102 232067 070 999 999 03
104430 1756N 05511W 6752 03064 9569 +155 +095 231084 098 999 999 03
104500 1754N 05510W 6766 03079 9614 +148 +079 234095 097 999 999 03
104530 1752N 05509W 6794 03066 9657 +131 +090 239103 106 999 999 03
104600 1751N 05507W 6836 03038 9690 +126 +097 239103 104 999 999 03
104630 1749N 05506W 6880 03005 9714 +129 +089 238098 099 999 999 03
104700 1747N 05505W 6883 03020 9742 +124 +090 235094 095 999 999 03
104730 1746N 05503W 6908 03009 9763 +127 +079 234089 091 999 999 03
104800 1744N 05502W 6939 02987 9786 +125 +074 234085 087 999 999 03

URNT15 KWBC 191058
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 20 20090819
104830 1743N 05501W 6942 02997 9796 +130 +064 236079 082 999 999 03
104900 1741N 05459W 6934 03021 9825 +115 +086 236074 075 999 999 03
104930 1740N 05458W 6939 03028 9835 +115 +109 228080 083 999 999 03
105000 1738N 05456W 6938 03037 9847 +115 +103 227080 082 999 999 03
105030 1737N 05455W 6940 03042 9861 +112 +090 225077 079 999 999 03
105100 1735N 05453W 6977 03005 9870 +114 +091 224074 075 999 999 03
105130 1734N 05452W 6973 03017 9882 +110 +095 222073 073 999 999 03
105200 1732N 05450W 6975 03022 9896 +106 +088 219071 071 999 999 03
105230 1731N 05449W 6975 03028 9899 +109 +086 219070 071 999 999 03
105300 1730N 05447W 6975 03035 9903 +110 +093 217067 069 999 999 03
105330 1728N 05446W 6974 03041 9912 +107 +095 214064 065 999 999 03
105400 1727N 05445W 6982 03035 9911 +113 +090 214066 067 999 999 03
105430 1725N 05443W 6982 03039 9912 +114 +101 214067 067 999 999 03
105500 1724N 05442W 7008 03011 9916 +115 +114 216062 064 999 999 03
105530 1723N 05440W 7009 03015 9924 +113 +108 217061 062 999 999 03
105600 1721N 05439W 7004 03025 9927 +117 +096 218061 062 999 999 03
105630 1720N 05437W 7013 03021 9934 +115 +109 219059 062 999 999 03
105700 1719N 05436W 7039 02992 9943 +110 +110 220064 068 999 999 03
105730 1717N 05434W 7023 03011 9945 +110 +110 218065 066 999 999 03
105800 1716N 05433W 7044 02991 9951 +108 +108 214064 066 999 999 03

URNT15 KWBC 191108
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 21 20090819
105830 1714N 05431W 7019 03017 9972 +088 +088 207060 062 059 021 03
105900 1713N 05430W 7042 02997 9964 +102 +102 212064 068 054 014 03
105930 1712N 05429W 7044 02996 9965 +102 +102 215063 064 999 999 03
110000 1710N 05427W 7028 03017 9971 +099 +099 215065 068 049 002 03
110030 1709N 05426W 7045 03001 9976 +100 +097 216066 066 999 999 03
110100 1707N 05424W 7056 02991 9979 +102 +084 217066 067 045 000 03
110130 1706N 05423W 7057 02996 9980 +109 +078 213066 066 048 000 03
110200 1705N 05421W 7060 02997 9981 +113 +074 210064 065 046 004 03
110230 1703N 05420W 7082 02972 9979 +109 +108 213061 064 049 001 00
110300 1702N 05418W 7036 03027 9991 +100 +100 207062 065 049 003 03
110330 1701N 05417W 7049 03013 9998 +099 +099 205064 067 047 002 00
110400 1700N 05415W 7073 02988 0002 +101 +100 203064 066 999 999 03
110430 1659N 05413W 7061 03005 0012 +097 +082 204064 065 999 999 03
110500 1700N 05411W 7059 03011 0012 +099 +078 200065 066 999 999 03
110530 1701N 05409W 7061 03009 0012 +099 +078 199065 066 999 999 03
110600 1704N 05408W 7060 03009 0011 +099 +089 199064 065 999 999 03
110630 1706N 05407W 7060 03010 0008 +101 +085 198066 067 999 999 03
110700 1709N 05406W 7060 03009 0011 +097 +094 196068 069 999 999 03
110730 1711N 05406W 7060 03008 0009 +097 +091 194065 066 999 999 03
110800 1714N 05405W 7061 03003 0002 +101 +088 194065 066 999 999 03

URNT12 KWBC 190950
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/0919Z
B. 17 DEG 58 MIN N
55 DEG 4 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2695 M
D. 72 KT
E. 235 DEG 11 NM
F. 302 DEG 85 KT
G. 222 DEG 14 NM
H. 953 MB
I. 10 C/2879 M
J. 18 C/3261 M
K. 5 C/NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C35
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 OB 07 AL032009
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 129 KTS NE QUAD 0925Z
MAX FL TEMP 19C 160/13NM FROM FL CNTR


URNT15 KWBC 191128
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 23 20090819
111830 1810N 05352W 7057 03008 0012 +093 +092 164087 087 999 999 03
111900 1813N 05352W 7058 03008 0011 +092 +092 160088 088 999 999 03
111930 1815N 05353W 7059 03003 0005 +095 +095 157088 089 999 999 03
112000 1817N 05356W 7058 02999 9999 +095 +095 157091 091 999 999 03
112030 1817N 05358W 7059 02990 9984 +100 +093 153089 090 999 999 03
112100 1817N 05400W 7054 02993 9984 +098 +092 157089 091 056 011 03
112130 1817N 05403W 7059 02982 9987 +089 +089 159086 087 056 014 03
112200 1817N 05405W 7061 02973 9977 +090 +090 164093 097 061 021 03
112230 1817N 05407W 7060 02979 9961 +103 +103 170088 092 063 015 03
112300 1817N 05410W 7030 03008 9955 +106 +106 175078 082 999 999 03
112330 1817N 05412W 7058 02970 9944 +111 +110 175071 074 063 011 03
112400 1816N 05414W 7003 03032 9943 +106 +106 177072 074 999 999 03
112430 1816N 05416W 7013 03017 9931 +113 +113 175080 083 999 999 03
112500 1816N 05418W 7020 03009 9929 +113 +113 170077 079 999 999 03
112530 1816N 05421W 7019 03008 9928 +112 +112 171072 073 999 999 03
112600 1816N 05423W 7023 02999 9925 +113 +113 172075 077 999 999 03
112630 1817N 05425W 7019 03001 9921 +114 +109 169080 082 999 999 03
112700 1817N 05427W 7018 02998 9920 +113 +104 171079 079 999 999 03
112730 1817N 05430W 7019 02993 9914 +114 +102 168080 081 999 999 03
112800 1817N 05432W 7018 02988 9909 +113 +097 170082 082 999 999 03

EDIT: Typo in my decoding

[KWT]

Yep now a category-4, Bill really is a very impressive hurricane indeed!
Going to be interesting to see how high Bill can go in the next 12-24hrs, I think it isn't done yet and neither do the NHC!

[Duffy1966]

Derek, I live along the Coast of Maine, should I be watching this closely?

[David in FL]

Oh man I wake up and its a cat 4. We are supposed to have at least overhead swell. We will have great surf this weekend. I just hope bermuda is ok

[KWT]

I think this one will end up to the west of Bermuda it seems, though I suppose it could get close to still give pretty gusty conditions to the island.

[cycloneye]

Bermuda will be on the eastern side that is the strongest,but hopefully it passes well to the west of them.

[KWT]

Yeah exactly it should pass to the west of them, exactly how far though will determine exactly how strong the winds will be. Need to watch in case this undergoes EWRC because that wil lno doubt expand the hurricane somewhat.

Angle of attack is better for Canada now but we shall see whether or not it comes off.

[Gustywind]

How big this feature is...let's continue to pray for Bermuda.

[KWT]

Looks very impressive there Gustywind, will be interesting to see the first Vis imagery when it comes in.

[cycloneye]

Visible image.

[RattleMan]

URNT15 KWBC 191138
NOAA3 WX03A BILL3 HDOB 24 20090819
112830 1817N 05434W 7021 02977 9908 +107 +101 169082 083 999 999 03
112900 1817N 05436W 7019 02973 9899 +108 +100 171084 085 999 999 03
112930 1817N 05439W 7018 02967 9886 +112 +099 168087 088 999 999 03
113000 1817N 05441W 7019 02957 9878 +110 +106 168089 089 999 999 03
113030 1817N 05443W 7009 02960 9870 +107 +105 170090 090 056 000 03
113100 1817N 05445W 6932 03043 9859 +102 +102 169092 092 058 000 03
113130 1817N 05447W 6946 03021 9845 +108 +099 171091 091 061 000 03
113200 1817N 05450W 6933 03025 9828 +114 +088 175093 093 064 000 03
113230 1817N 05452W 6922 03023 9811 +114 +088 179095 096 067 000 00
113300 1817N 05454W 6945 02978 9792 +117 +088 180101 102 069 001 03
113330 1816N 05456W 6930 02981 9775 +114 +107 180104 105 076 003 03
113400 1816N 05458W 6922 02978 9759 +112 +110 181108 109 075 017 03
113430 1816N 05500W 6899 02985 9733 +115 +113 180110 110 080 012 03
113500 1816N 05502W 6871 02993 9699 +117 +115 178114 119 088 015 03
113530 1816N 05504W 6826 03021 9669 +113 +113 178121 123 087 016 00
113600 1816N 05506W 6746 03101 9637 +115 +115 183111 116 090 003 03
113630 1816N 05508W 6783 03028 9605 +122 +122 186108 112 089 000 03
113700 1816N 05510W 6781 03011 9570 +132 +131 182091 095 090 000 00
113730 1816N 05512W 6796 02975 9544 +143 +122 183076 082 086 000 03
113800 1816N 05514W 6794 02964 9518 +155 +114 182057 064 070 000 03

Code: Select all

TIME         Latit.    Long.    Plane. Prs.   Height   Pressure   Temp   Dew Pt.   Dir, 30s mean   FL    SFMR   Precip   QC
11:28:30z   18.17°N   054.34°W   702.1 hPa   2977m   990.8 hPa   10.7°C   10.1°C   169° @ 082kt   83kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
11:29:00z   18.17°N   054.36°W   701.9 hPa   2973m   989.9 hPa   10.8°C   10.0°C   171° @ 084kt   85kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
11:29:30z   18.17°N   054.39°W   701.8 hPa   2967m   988.6 hPa   11.2°C   9.9°C   168° @ 087kt   88kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
11:30:00z   18.17°N   054.41°W   701.9 hPa   2957m   987.8 hPa   11.0°C   10.6°C   168° @ 089kt   89kt   999kt   999mm   Suspect
11:30:30z   18.17°N   054.43°W   700.9 hPa   2960m   987.0 hPa   10.7°C   10.5°C   170° @ 090kt   90kt   56kt   0mm   Suspect
11:31:00z   18.17°N   054.45°W   693.2 hPa   3043m   985.9 hPa   10.2°C   10.2°C   169° @ 092kt   92kt   58kt   0mm   Suspect
11:31:30z   18.17°N   054.47°W   694.6 hPa   3021m   984.5 hPa   10.8°C   9.9°C   171° @ 091kt   91kt   61kt   0mm   Suspect
11:32:00z   18.17°N   054.50°W   693.3 hPa   3025m   982.8 hPa   11.4°C   8.8°C   175° @ 093kt   93kt   64kt   0mm   Suspect
11:32:30z   18.17°N   054.52°W   692.2 hPa   3023m   981.1 hPa   11.4°C   8.8°C   179° @ 095kt   96kt   67kt   0mm   OK
11:33:00z   18.17°N   054.54°W   694.5 hPa   2978m   979.2 hPa   11.7°C   8.8°C   180° @ 101kt   102kt   69kt   1mm   Suspect
11:33:30z   18.16°N   054.56°W   693.0 hPa   2981m   977.5 hPa   11.4°C   10.7°C   180° @ 104kt   105kt   76kt   3mm   Suspect
11:34:00z   18.16°N   054.58°W   692.2 hPa   2978m   975.9 hPa   11.2°C   11.0°C   181° @ 108kt   109kt   75kt   17mm   Suspect
11:34:30z   18.16°N   055.00°W   689.9 hPa   2985m   973.3 hPa   11.5°C   11.3°C   180° @ 110kt   110kt   80kt   12mm   Suspect
11:35:00z   18.16°N   055.02°W   687.1 hPa   2993m   969.9 hPa   11.7°C   11.5°C   178° @ 114kt   119kt   88kt   15mm   Suspect
11:35:30z   18.16°N   055.04°W   682.6 hPa   3021m   966.9 hPa   11.3°C   11.3°C   178° @ 121kt   123kt   87kt   16mm   OK
11:36:00z   18.16°N   055.06°W   674.6 hPa   3101m   963.7 hPa   11.5°C   11.5°C   183° @ 111kt   116kt   90kt   3mm   Suspect
11:36:30z   18.16°N   055.08°W   678.3 hPa   3028m   960.5 hPa   12.2°C   12.2°C   186° @ 108kt   112kt   89kt   0mm   Suspect
11:37:00z   18.16°N   055.10°W   678.1 hPa   3011m   957.0 hPa   13.2°C   13.1°C   182° @ 091kt   95kt   90kt   0mm   OK
11:37:30z   18.16°N   055.12°W   679.6 hPa   2975m   954.4 hPa   14.3°C   12.2°C   183° @ 076kt   82kt   86kt   0mm   Suspect
11:38:00z   18.16°N   055.14°W   679.4 hPa   2964m   951.8 hPa   15.5°C   11.4°C   182° @ 057kt   64kt   70kt   0mm   Suspect


EDIT: Typo in my decoding

[WmE]

Wow Bill looks good this morning.

[Gustywind]

Looks very impressive there Gustywind, will be interesting to see the first Vis imagery when it comes in.

Absolutely KWT, damn this guy is a monster, hopefully he loves fishing games far away from the Leewards islands, Northern Leewards and PR .


Cycloneye has just posted a Visible image . Here is the latest sat/pic from our Pro Mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe: