New convection around the center

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mf_dolphin
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New convection around the center

#1 Postby mf_dolphin » Sat Aug 02, 2003 7:01 am

Looks like the new convection this morning is a lot closer to the LLC. If this holds through the day we might just have our TD8 finally!
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#2 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 7:31 am

I agree too.
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#3 Postby rainstorm » Sat Aug 02, 2003 7:35 am

very possible. it also looks like the low will be no threat.
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#4 Postby Toni - 574 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 7:38 am

The wave done a lot of on and off pulsing yesterday. Even though the shear is suppose to be low it looked like the top of the system was being sheared from the north and the front part of the band or the most western edge was also being sheared. It has a very nice rotation to it and as you said Marshall the convection is starting to fire again. Even though it has had, it's fair share of problems with development, the overall appearance looks strong and will be around for a while. As it gets farther west will be interesting to see what happens . I guess we all must remain patient for now. (Yea I know easier said than done.) Remember we are now in August and the heart of the season is now before us!


:band: And the band plays... WHO LET THE BUCS OUT!! How bout those BUCCANEERS! :wink:
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Don't Think So

#5 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 7:57 am

I don't think it's ever looked worse than today. The LLC is about gone now, it's probably just an open wave this morning, though it may have a very broad LLC. Most likely no TD this weekend.
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Re: Don't Think So

#6 Postby Toni - 574 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 8:12 am

wxman57 wrote:I don't think it's ever looked worse than today. The LLC is gone now, it's just an open wave. Most likely no TD this weekend.


Looked at the wave early this AM and it had a nice convective burst. Just looked at it again and the convection has split and does not look as good. However, at one point yesterday it had hardly no convection and if it didn't have a nice strong spin to it you might have missed it.
I will agree that the overall size of the system has decreased and it sure is having it's problems. It's trying to hold on to it's convection!

Do you think chances for development will get better as it gets farther west or will it continue to be challenged?
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chadtm80

#7 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 8:19 am

Its not looking all that great, but i dont think she is done.. Lets watch and see what today brings..



Image
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Not Done

#8 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 8:22 am

Oh, I certainly don't think it's "done", but at this point I don't think it has any better chance of development than any other of the many tropical waves that traverse the Atlantic during the season. It's just something to keep an eye on now.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 02, 2003 8:28 am

In other words a wait and see situation.
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#10 Postby Toni - 574 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 8:46 am

You got it Cyc.


Chad, I like your map layout. Nice view of what needs to be watched!
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chadtm80

#11 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Aug 02, 2003 8:47 am

Thanks Toni :-) I like to give everyone the "broad" look as to what is going on
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Guest

#12 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 02, 2003 9:26 am

Looks like my two week proclaimation might be holding up for little or not activity!
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