ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[KWT]

tolakram, notice the LLC wobble a long way west and the convection firing up as it does so, it seems like a similar thing to what happened with Ana in some respects in the lower levels are steering one way whilst the higher levels are going another, LLC seems to be heading at most WNW at the moment.

[tallywx]

Aric Dunn is out on Indian Pass near St. Vincent Inlet i believe and is reporting sustained winds near 45 mph... That is near the area where the heavy band is moving inland now near the center... Winds are gusting to near 50mph... Heavy rains visibility is less than a quater mile... He has seen a few shingles come off a roof while I was on the phone with him.. Will have more from him later...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Wow, that's the absolute perfect position to be in this storm right now. Look forward to hearing/seeing more from that locale.

[tolakram]

This is odd.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SGOF1



Pressure leveled off, now dropping again.

[HurricaneRobert]

The NE Gulf Coast has been quite rainy this year. I wonder if Claudette is just a warmup for something bigger to hit the panhandle.

[Javlin]

You guys remember with Danny with the weak steering currents it bounced off of every little piece of land LA had to offer.Kept heading E pass MS and got landlocked in Mobile Bay not that this is going to happen again but I have seen it before with these weak storms/canes and it must have something ot do with the friction.

[tolakram]

I'd really appreciate it if a pro met could comment on what's happening with Claudette. Weakening, reforming, stalled?

[ROCK]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html



steering layers...

[Dionne]

Some years ago while working on a Clearwater Beach home...we had what they called a "no name" storm....kind of popped up out of no where, did some flooding.....and went away.

Claudette seems like the same deal....? West convection disappears in a matter of hours....or less?

We did get some nice rain from what appeared to be small rogue cells spawned by Claudette.

[Rainband]

1993 I remember it well. It had hurricane winds and flooded the coast. It was really bad. They had hummers pulling people out and a sshrimp boat on US19

[tolakram]

Looks to be right back where it started.

edit: see below

[rrm]

if its back to where it was does that give the ridge more time to build in and change its direction?

[weatherSnoop]

1993 I remember it well. It had hurricane winds and flooded the coast. It was really bad. They had hummers pulling people out and a sshrimp boat on US19

I 4 was flooded for 3 days

[tolakram]

Here's a rapid scan image of the US, you can click to zoom into Claudette.

Sure looks stationary at the moment, though the llc is no longer visible.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... km_visible

[jinftl]

Current Wind Reports
(as of 7pm edt)
PENSACOLA CALM
PENSACOLA NAS NE12
MILTON NAS NE9
CRESTVIEW E7
VALPARAISO E8
MARY ESTHER NE12G17
DESTIN E12
PANAMA CITY E16G29
TYNDALL AFB E16G29
APALACHICOLA SE25G40
MARIANNA E12G17
TALLAHASSEE SE12

[Pearl River]

Looks like it's starting to move north or even a tad east of north.

[tolakram]

Looking at a longer loop, movement seems to be continuing NW at a constant speed with the center convection scattered around.

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...CLAUDETTE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH NO CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES...85 KM...WEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT
95 MILES...155 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

CLAUDETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE ONSHORE IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE
BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

THE STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
INCLUDING THE BIG BEND.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...29.7N 85.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[jinftl]

Observation above in line with 8pm update from NHC...moving NW at 12mph, no change in strength.

[HurricaneQueen]

I can not believe that this storm isn't inland yet. It was being called for an early afternoon landfall and here we are 6-7 hours later watching her do her thing. I hope there aren't any more surprises for those of you in the path.

Vacane: Please keep us updated on Jesse as you get the opportunity (and tell him to be careful LOL.)

Lynn

[Frank P]

Looks more NNW to me.... viewing that radar loop... but at least its moving... lets get this inland and be done with her... she was an interesting 24 hours to say the least