ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[micktooth]

The St. George Island beach right now (just offshore of Apalachicola) is roughed up a bit right now to be sure.

http://www.beachview.com/st_george_is_640.htm

A tropical depression ain't causing that level of waves...

I would have to agree. Want to have a laugh? Click on the link to Panama City Beach Cam and watch them setting up beach chairs with a possible Tropical Storm on their doorstep

[OuterBanker]

Just can't figure out TPC. This is better formed and stronger than Ana ever was. It's a tropical storm, name it an get over it TPC.

[tolakram]

Just can't figure out TPC. This is better formed and stronger than Ana ever was. It's a tropical storm, name it an get over it TPC.

Well just a few days back people were arguing that if a storm like this was in the gulf it would be named.

I think we should simply stop commenting about it.

[artist]

anyone know if they took off?

[bayoubebe]

Hi everyone.
Just recently found out about this system.
Is this system, with a good amount of certainty, headed into Florida/Bama?
Is there any chance this would turn our way(LA.)?

I could, and do, turn into weather channel, local forecasters, etc, but I value you people's opinions........alot.

Thanks!

[Sanibel]

Yeah, that bulky shrimp shape is the look of a system starting to curl up. If that was in the Yucatan Channel it would attract a lot of attention. Surface clouds are starting to entrain - different from yesterday.

[tolakram]

Center appears to be clearing out on radar.

It's jogging around north, then west, as best I can tell. Still looks to me like landfall just a short time away.

[KWT]

Only reason it wasn't upgraded last advisory was because of recon, otherwise I bet it would be our next TS by now...

[jinftl]

A tropical storm warning has been posted so residents in the warning area should be preparing accordingly. An upgrade will take place when there is concrete evidence it is merited. It may already be a ts....and the warning for that is out....let's let the TPC do its job and make classifications based on data. Isn't that how they maintain such high credibility....they go with science and sometimes that might mean waiting for a plane to give data? Again, a ts warning is in place...folks are not being 'underwarned'. The only risk that would merit an urgent upgrade is if it appeared this was becoming a hurricane.

Just can't figure out TPC. This is better formed and stronger than Ana ever was. It's a tropical storm, name it an get over it TPC.

[RL3AO]

URNT15 KNHC 161535
AF304 0104A CYCLONE HDOB 02 20090816
152730 3025N 08855W 0174 00000 0162 +267 +212 360000 000 999 999 23
152800 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +265 +212 360000 000 999 999 23
152830 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +263 +212 360000 000 999 999 23
152900 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +260 +211 360000 000 999 999 23
152930 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0161 +264 +211 360000 000 999 999 23
153000 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +258 +211 360000 000 999 999 23
153030 3025N 08855W 0174 00000 0162 +252 +210 360000 000 999 999 23
153100 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0161 +252 +210 360000 000 999 999 23
153130 3025N 08855W 0174 00000 0163 +265 +210 360000 000 999 999 23
153200 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +266 +210 360000 000 999 999 23
153230 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +262 +210 360000 000 999 999 23
153300 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +255 +209 360000 000 999 999 23
153330 3025N 08855W 0175 00000 0162 +251 +211 049004 007 999 999 23
153400 3024N 08856W 0065 00075 0154 +240 +210 056008 010 999 999 03
153430 3023N 08857W 9831 00295 0168 +226 +206 071011 013 999 999 03
153500 3022N 08858W 9450 00639 0165 +214 +188 086005 009 999 999 03
153530 3020N 08857W 9124 00949 0182 +198 +160 187002 004 999 999 03
153600 3020N 08855W 8821 01254 0193 +181 +134 185004 005 999 999 03
153630 3020N 08853W 8367 01712 0192 +160 +112 150006 007 999 999 03
153700 3020N 08851W 8024 02067 0193 +139 +094 132007 008 999 999 03
$$
;

[jasons2k]

It looks like it's quickly wrapping-up to me. Good thing it's running out of room.

[tolakram]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Winds rising quickly on the backside of the center. I'm going to hazard a guess that the front right quadrant may be very close to TS strength.

[bayoubebe]

I guess the rain we are fixing to get here, has nothing to do with this system?

[vacanechaser]

A tropical storm warning has been posted so residents in the warning area should be preparing accordingly. An upgrade will take place when there is concrete evidence it is merited. It may already be a ts....and the warning for that is out....let's let the TPC do its job and make classifications based on data. Isn't that how they maintain such high credibility....they go with science and sometimes that might mean waiting for a plane to give data? Again, a ts warning is in place...folks are not being 'underwarned'.

Just can't figure out TPC. This is better formed and stronger than Ana ever was. It's a tropical storm, name it an get over it TPC.

thats not the point... i think folks have grown tired of the inconsistency of the nhc lately.... this thing looks way better than ana right now... i mean come on...no one has been a bigger supporter of them in the past than me, because i know most of then.. just like last year off the carolina coast... i was there, it should have had a name...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Pearl River]

The circulation appears to be small. The rain and showers out in the gom south of Pensacola west to N.O are moving W to WNW and not from N to S as they would be with a larger system's circulation.


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=LIX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[Evil Jeremy]

Hi everyone.
Just recently found out about this system.
Is this system, with a good amount of certainty, headed into Florida/Bama?
Is there any chance this would turn our way(LA.)?

I could, and do, turn into weather channel, local forecasters, etc, but I value you people's opinions........alot.

Thanks!

I dont think so. This will be inland by the end of the day, it does not have enough time to reach you guys, this is a Florida system.

[tolakram]

A tropical storm warning has been posted so residents in the warning area should be preparing accordingly. An upgrade will take place when there is concrete evidence it is merited. It may already be a ts....and the warning for that is out....let's let the TPC do its job and make classifications based on data. Isn't that how they maintain such high credibility....they go with science and sometimes that might mean waiting for a plane to give data? Again, a ts warning is in place...folks are not being 'underwarned'.

Just can't figure out TPC. This is better formed and stronger than Ana ever was. It's a tropical storm, name it an get over it TPC.

thats not the point... i think folks have grown tired of the inconsistency of the nhc lately.... this thing looks way better than ana right now... i mean come on...no one has been a bigger supporter of them in the past than me, because i know most of then.. just like last year off the carolina coast... i was there, it should have had a name...

But as they said in the discussion. A plane is in route. Why should they upgrade until the plane verifies? If the upgraded and the plane found it to be just a depression .... I'm really not understanding the criticism here.

[bayoubebe]

Hi everyone.
Just recently found out about this system.
Is this system, with a good amount of certainty, headed into Florida/Bama?
Is there any chance this would turn our way(LA.)?

I could, and do, turn into weather channel, local forecasters, etc, but I value you people's opinions........alot.

Thanks!

I dont think so. This will be inland by the end of the day, it does not have enough time to reach you guys, this is a Florida system.

Thank you for the reply.

[BigA]

The angle of attack on the coast for this system is critical, as a small deviation can mean an additional 3-4 hours over water. The big question is whether it clears the spit of land southeast of Panama City. If it does, it will have most of the day over water.

[jinftl]

I respect your views, but i think we will have to agree to disagree. I believe we will have Claudette before long and the only delay (although, as i noted, warnings are already in place for a ts) is that of the logistics of getting in the system and getting accurate readings and measurements.

If there were not ts warnings already in place, i would 100% agree that an intermediate upgrade, even based on satellite, would be merited. Waiting an hour or two at this point should not effect how folks should prepare with a ts warning in place. This is not an evacuation-risk situation. This is a windy rainstorm approaching land quickly.

A tropical storm warning has been posted so residents in the warning area should be preparing accordingly. An upgrade will take place when there is concrete evidence it is merited. It may already be a ts....and the warning for that is out....let's let the TPC do its job and make classifications based on data. Isn't that how they maintain such high credibility....they go with science and sometimes that might mean waiting for a plane to give data? Again, a ts warning is in place...folks are not being 'underwarned'.

Just can't figure out TPC. This is better formed and stronger than Ana ever was. It's a tropical storm, name it an get over it TPC.

thats not the point... i think folks have grown tired of the inconsistency of the nhc lately.... this thing looks way better than ana right now... i mean come on...no one has been a bigger supporter of them in the past than me, because i know most of then.. just like last year off the carolina coast... i was there, it should have had a name...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team