ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[paintplaye]

I tracked it on GR, and it is moving 330 degrees. If that keeps up, it looks like a Tallahassee hit.

[bayouself]

At this angle I don't think it will miss anyone between Florida and Louisiana.

Welcome Bayouself. Which part of the bayou?

Bayou Rond Pom Pon, close to Kraemer, on Lac Des Allemands...the sticks, cher!!

[FritzPaul]

If this thing hits the loop current, it's going to explode; given the sst's in that area!

[The Eye Wall]

To an extent. It's all about the upper-levels.

[Brent]

AL, 04, 2009081606, , BEST, 0, 270N, 835W, 30, 1011, TD,

TD 4 at 5am likely.

[lebron23]

it will be a TD .... on navy website as TD 4

[KWT]

Yep a very rapid upgrade, could well make it to a TS before it makes it inland, a lot of surprised people soon!

[brunota2003]

FYI...

Code: Select all

Current Storms (Aug 16 2009 )

Atlantic Ocean

    Storm 91 (INVEST)  latest wind vector  previous wind vector  latest ambiguity  previous ambiguity
                         latest NRCS  previous NRCS  latest BYU hires  previou BYU hires

    Storm 04 (FOUR)  latest wind vector  previous wind vector  latest ambiguity  previous ambiguity
                         latest NRCS  previous NRCS  latest BYU hires  previou BYU hires

    Storm 03 (BILL)  latest wind vector  previous wind vector  latest ambiguity  previous ambiguity
                         latest NRCS  previous NRCS  latest BYU hires  previou BYU hires

    Storm 02 (ANA)  latest wind vector  previous wind vector  latest ambiguity  previous ambiguity
                         latest NRCS  previous NRCS  latest BYU hires  previou BYU hires


Storm 04 eh?

[KWT]

Not got a huge amount of time to strengthen but does need to be watched...

[LaBreeze]

Panama City to Tallahassee strike?

[wxman57]

Surface obs still E-SE through it. I can't find any evidence of an LLC.

[KWT]

Hmmm you'd think you would be able to find the wind shift in the data rich Gulf?

Its got at most 18hrs now, even Humberto style its going to have to bomb to be anything more then a moderate TS. A rainmaker it seems.

[The Eye Wall]

0z UKMET detects 91L and makes landfall on the eastern panhandle.

[SETXWXLADY]

Hmmm you'd think you would be able to find the wind shift in the data rich Gulf?

Its got at most 18hrs now, even Humberto style its going to have to bomb to be anything more then a moderate TS. A rainmaker it seems.

Humberto bombed in 4 hrs. 90mph winds are better than an alarm clock. Lol

[Stormcenter]

This looks a lot better then Ana right now.



http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

[KWT]

Yeah but I think it was a lot better organised then the NHC showed at the time, so it didn't do all that bombing in that short amount of time, rather it was a slightly longer period wher Humberto was stronger the NHC expected.

[stormy1970al]

I don't think it is panic mode yet but anyone along the Northern Gulf Coast needs to keep an eye on this system. Last night our local news was saying that it is going to be a wet one along the Florida Panhandle to Missisippi. And as for all systems even a TS can wreck havoc on areas.

[KWT]

Yeah its still going to have to wrap up very fast if its going to become anything more then a weak/moderate TS, whilst Humberto is in the back of our minds, but it still needed a solid 24hrs after the stage that soon to be TD4 is at, and TD4 hasn't got that long over water, probably barely 18hrs.

I'm pretty confident this won't have time to wind itself up beyond say 50kts...still going to be a quick surprise thats for sure.

[Aric Dunn]

its looking good.. very small thats why its hard to find obs to close off the center.. but apparently the nhc is relying on radar heavily ...watch for rapid growths.. all conditions are there..

[Aric Dunn]

presssure falling fast at this buoy..