ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)

[weatherSnoop]

Swirl not quite as naked as before

[Derek Ortt]

mechanical problems. Only G-IV is flying today

[rrm]

looking more like a gom threat after each model run what does everyone else think?

[paintplaye]

If it takes this route, then there will be no storm in the gulf to watch.

[KWT]

Got to admit this is a gulf risk and possibly could be quite a big one depending on whether there is a front parked in the gulf at the time or not. Don't think its going to do that much till the gulf, but we shall see!

[rrm]

If it takes this route, then there will be no storm in the gulf to watch.

what makes you think that it wouldnt build back up considering the warm gulf waters?

[Evil Jeremy]

If it takes this route, then there will be no storm in the gulf to watch.

what makes you think that it wouldnt build back up considering the warm gulf waters?

After going through the mountains of both Cuba and Hispaniola, it would be very difficult for a storm to recover.

[wx247]

Should we be getting TS Watches this advisory?

[Scorpion]

After going through the mountains of both Cuba and Hispaniola, it would be very difficult for a storm to recover.

Not if it stays weak. Frederick did the same.

[JPmia]

yeah it looks like the UKMET 12z run is on to something here

[rrm]

what about ike didnt it get tore up and look at what the damage it did

[thetruesms]

Should we be getting TS Watches this advisory?

If not this one, then certainly in the next advisory

[Buck]

Should we be getting TS Watches this advisory?

I should think so.

[southerngale]

rrm...

It depends on many factors... the strength and size of the storm when it crosses land, how long it's over land, the terrain it crosses, etc. I don't think there's a simple answer. Each situation is different.

[Evil Jeremy]

There are indeed official TS watches out now.

[Evil Jeremy]

The center of the new cone takes Ana through the straits now, close to the keys:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... ml#a_topad

[RL3AO]

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLAND ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST.
EUSTATIUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

[KWT]

Will be interesting to see just what sort of reports we get from the Leeward Islands. I can't see this one missing them now given its not really picking up any major latitude.

[mpic]

Any chance those islands will tear it up?

[Evil Jeremy]

Any chance those islands will tear it up?

Which islands are you talking about? If you mean Cuba and Hispaniola, then defiantly yes.