ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

[vbhoutex]

Has what was td2 been upgraded to a higher chance of becoming a storm? I just saw that it was shown in red now on the NHC site ( just as invest 90 is shown in red) .

Yes is the short answer. It was addressed in the 8pm TWO.

[jinftl]

Not to dismiss anyone's posts...every one is valid....but i did not see where you were from until after i read the first few sentences and then guessed your location....it's human nature to draw storms to where we are.....i know i do!

The 2009 August 14 18Z GFS shows Invest-90's "little brother" coming up the Carolinas and suddenly strengthening. It looks a lot like Gaston in 2004. That caused huge floods in the Richmond, VA, area and possibly cost Richmond the Braves, its minor league baseball team. There seemed to be no way my wife could get to work then, so she didn't. If she had, we would have lost our Corolla.

[jasons2k]

we're a bit more concerned about these to features especially 90L as they're are more closer to us;

Yes, very true. I am glad to see you are following this closely, Gustywind, and I wish you safety and good luck if this storm impacts your beautiful island.

[HouTXmetro]

Ok, shouldn't TD2 find a weakness and Pave the way for 90L to recurve?

[ronjon]

Dean formed at 12N-31.6W - 90L getting close to that location. Looks pretty certain its caribbean bound now with the slower development.

[jinftl]

sounds reasonable enough to be a 'possibility'

Ok, shouldn't TD2 find a weakness and Pave the way for 90L to recurve?

[Derek Ortt]

Dean formed at 12N-31.6W - 90L getting close to that location. Looks pretty certain its caribbean bound now with the slower development.

check the BAM models. Stronger means farther west

[caribepr]

Was going to call it a night....but may stay on here for a bit...and its not to catch any updates on the 2 systems....wobble-watching is days away....rather it is for this great dialogue going on real-time!

Anyone who thinks this season has been boring should catch this dialogue going on here....differing ideas being discussed in a civil tone....s2k at its best!!!

I'm heading for bed, but just wanted to agree with you...'at its best' indeed and enjoyed the more for it (as well as getting great -possible & real- info on two systems that are of rather huge interest around here)

[ronjon]

Ok, shouldn't TD2 find a weakness and Pave the way for 90L to recurve?

Actually TD2 may slam into FL followed by 90L - just a possibility now but it has some model support.

[HouTXmetro]

Ok, shouldn't TD2 find a weakness and Pave the way for 90L to recurve?

Actually TD2 may slam into FL followed by 90L - just a possibility now but it has some model support.

Bad, with all that Real Estate I am anticipating both to become majors at some point.

[jinftl]

don't forget that 'canes approaching florida from the east often have a second landfall in the gulf (betsy, andrew, katrina)

Ok, shouldn't TD2 find a weakness and Pave the way for 90L to recurve?

Actually TD2 may slam into FL followed by 90L - just a possibility now but it has some model support.

Bad, with all that Real Estate I am anticipating both to become majors at some point.

[cycloneye]

Big burst of convection.

[Scorpion]

Wow, it's starting to really take form now. TD tomorrow, possibly TS.

[jinftl]

is it me or is this a pretty big system in diameter?

Big burst of convection.

[HouTXmetro]

What are the chances of witnessing Fujiwhara with these two storms?

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

14/2315 UTC 11.7N 30.8W T1.5/1.5 90L

[Gustywind]

we're a bit more concerned about these to features especially 90L as they're are more closer to us;

Yes, very true. I am glad to see you are following this closely, Gustywind, and I wish you safety and good luck if this storm impacts your beautiful island.

Tkanks a lot my friend Jasons it's a pleasure to read your nice and friendly post sincerely! Yeah we're monitoring 90L closely in case of. Hope you're ok Jasons and you enjoy the "cool spirit" of this board. All the carib friends of the TENT have nice thoughts to all of the US friends , we don't forget you, we're friends first
See you soon JASONS

[MusicCityMan]

I got a eerie feeling about both of these. Possible for florida to get a 1 2 punch?

[Air Force Met]

What are the chances of witnessing Fujiwhara with these two storms?

Its possible if they get a little closer and stronger. They need to be about 15 degrees apart or closer...and right now they are about that distance from each other.

This is one reason I have been discussing a little further south track with our customers. I think it will eventually come into play. Maybe only a little...but enough to keep TD2 on track towards the islands.