ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)

[Gustywind]

For now its not climbing in latitud.In fact it decended a little.

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
10/2345 UTC 14.1N 26.7W T1.0/1.5 99L

10/1745 UTC 14.4N 25.8W T1.0/1.5 99L
10/1145 UTC 14.3N 24.5W T1.5/1.5 99L
10/0545 UTC 14.2N 23.9W T1.5/1.5 99L
09/2345 UTC 14.2N 22.9W T1.5/1.5 99L
09/1745 UTC 14.2N 22.4W T1.5/1.5 99L
09/1330 UTC 14.2N 21.8W T1.5/1.5 99L

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html

I would hate to disagree, but it did indeed climb.

09/1330 14.2 N
10/1745 14.4 N

You looked at it upside down

The first one at the top is the most recent one (14.1N) and I separated it from the rest of the positions to highlight it.

Hey Cycloneye, maybe his "untrained eyes "missed the most recent position

[brunota2003]

Yes yes, my...been away from the tropics for a while eyes missed it

[HURAKAN]

This is getting ridiculous. The CPAC may get two named systems before the Atlantic has one. Incredible.

[srainhoutx]

Hmmm...

[Gustywind]

Yes yes, my...been away from the tropics for a while eyes missed it

no problem my friend that's glad to see that you informed us about that...

[HURAKAN]

A lot has changed in the past few days

[cycloneye]

This is getting ridiculous. The CPAC may get two named systems before the Atlantic has one. Incredible.

And to complete the ridiculous thing about this,the CPAC has 5.33 ACE numbers while the North Atlantic has zeros.I cant believe for a minute that the CPAC will finish ahead of the Atlantic when 2009 goes.

[HURAKAN]

This is getting ridiculous. The CPAC may get two named systems before the Atlantic has one. Incredible.

And to complete the ridiculous thing about this,the CPAC has 5.33 ACE numbers while the North Atlantic has zeros.I cant believe for a minute that the CPAC will finish ahead of the Atlantic when 2009 goes.

We just need another Bertha (2008) and we will be OK.

[gatorcane]

code orange is good for the time being. Don't see Ana still in the next 24-48 hours. Needs to get further west into some warmer SSTs and away from the SAL. It's something to keep any eye on but it won't be impacting land anytime soon if not ever.

The GFS system that develops in 3 days from now will steal the show from this anyway (just my 2 cents).

[Emmett_Brown]

Hmmm...

Looks better than it ever has on QuickSCAT... actually looking like a legit LLC forming, even if the IR looks ragged. Might still have a chance.

[srainhoutx]

Hmmm...

Looks better than it ever has on QuickSCAT... actually looking like a legit LLC forming, even if the IR looks ragged. Might still have a chance.

Models are struggling at best what to latch on to IMHO.

[HURAKAN]

As long it keeps producing some convection, 99L will be alive.

[HURAKAN]

Accuweather's take

[brunota2003]

They're a tad late...

[jinftl]

as long as it keeps some convection...but doesn't develop much....it will gain longitude....like we always say on here, the storms that develop in the far eastern atlantic are usually 'fish', the ones that hold together but don't develop signifcantly until further west are often the most troublesome storms.

As long it keeps producing some convection, 99L will be alive.

[Dr. Strangelove]

Accuweather's take

Brilliant.

[Aric Dunn]

its starting to pop for sure.. once we start seeing those -60 ,-70 degree cloud tops its a sign that low level convergence and moisture is increasing... now lets see if it can expand some more..

[Blown Away]

HPC Caribbean Disco...snipet...

TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
251 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2009

EXTENDED OUTLOOK: THE EMPIRICAL WAVE PROPAGATION MODELS MAINTAINS
GOOD CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS...SHOWING MJO CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IMPROVING
THROUGH MID AUGUST...WITH CONDITIONS TO REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH
THE END OF THE MONTH-FIRST WEEK IN SEPTEMBER. THE GLOBAL MODELS
ARE STARTING TO REACT TO THE CHANGE IN CONDITIONS/
ENVIRONMENT...AS THEY NOW SHOW RISK OF WARM CORE CYCLOGENESIS ON
BOTH OCEANS. AT UPPER LEVELS A CELL OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL
MEANDER NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES/OFF THE COAST OF THE
USA...WHICH IS TO THEN SUSTAIN A TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
A WEAK/NARROW RIDGE IS TO THEN REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF 23N. IF THIS
PATTERN PERSIST...TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMING OFF THE COAST OF
AFRICA ARE LIKELY TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH AS THEY ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE ISLAND CHAIN. THE ONES FORMING TO THE WEST OF 45W ARE UP
FOR GRAB...AS THEY ARE LIKELY TO THREATEN THE ISLAND CHAIN-PUERTO
RICO/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

This discussion was posted under another thread, but I thought it would give us an idea on what to expect if these waves develope.

[Annie Oakley]

as long as it keeps some convection...but doesn't develop much....it will gain longitude....like we always say on here, the storms that develop in the far eastern atlantic are usually 'fish', the ones that hold together but don't develop signifcantly until further west are often the most troublesome storms.

As long it keeps producing some convection, 99L will be alive.

It is still such a pretty thing...so wild. Have to admit-it is beyond us to tell it what to do or where to go-Nature Rules

[HURAKAN]

Looking a lot better compared to a few hours ago